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How do resource dependence and technological progress affect carbon emissions reduction effect of industrial structure transformation? Empirical research based on the rebound effect in China

  • Low Emission Development Strategies and Sustainable Development Goals
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Abstract

Under the guidance of carbon peak and carbon neutral targets, the industrial structure transformation is vital for carbon emissions reduction in China. However, there is a rebound effect of carbon emissions during the industrial structure transformation. Resource dependence and technological progress have significant impacts on industrial structure transformation and its carbon reduction effect. This paper explores how industrial structure transformation under resource dependence causes the rebound effect from a technological progress perspective. The key results indicate that (1) resource dependence distorts the carbon emissions reduction effect of industrial structure transformation; (2) with the development of technology, the industrial structure upgrading under resource dependence could cause an increase on carbon emissions at the beginning, but the increase would be weakened subsequently, displaying a two-stage feature; (3) the industrial structure rationalization under resource dependence reduces carbon emissions at first, but the reduction would be weakened as the technology develops, then industrial structure’s rationalization shows an insignificant impact on carbon emissions, and finally reduces carbon emissions again, presenting a four-stage characteristic; (4) environmental protection technology can correct the distortion effect of resource dependence on the industrial structure rationalization and amplify the industrial structure rationalization’s reduction effects on carbon emissions; (5) with the development of energy-saving technology, industrial structure rationalization has a paradoxical impact on carbon emissions, the industrial structure rationalization first reduces, then increases, and finally reduces carbon emissions, indicating an inverted “N” relationship. Finally, policy recommendations for carbon emissions reduction are proposed from the perspective of industrial structure transformation and technological progress.

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Notes

  1. The resource curse, also known as the paradox of plenty, refers to the paradox that countries with an abundance of natural resources (like fossil fuels and certain minerals), tend to have less economic growth, and worse development outcomes than countries with fewer natural resources (Auty and Warhurst, 1993).

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Funding

The financial support from the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 71673257), Chongqing Social Science Planning Doctoral Training Program (No. 2021BS056), Chongqing Social Science Planning Project (2019QNGL35), and the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities (SWU1909750).

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Chongqing Administration Institute, Chongqing, People’s Republic of China

    You Zheng

  2. School of Economics and Management, China University of Geosciences (Wuhan), Wuhan, People’s Republic of China

    You Zheng, JianZhong Xiao & Fubin Huang

  3. Chongqing Institute of Social and Economic Development, Chongqing, People’s Republic of China

    You Zheng

  4. School of Economics and Management, Southwest University, Chongqing, People’s Republic of China

    Jian Tang

Authors
  1. You Zheng
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  2. JianZhong Xiao
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  3. Fubin Huang
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  4. Jian Tang
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Contributions

YZ: Data curation, methodology, software, and writing; JX: Conceptualization and supervision; FH: Editing and supervision; TJ: methodology, supervision.

Corresponding author

Correspondence to JianZhong Xiao.

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Zheng, Y., Xiao, J., Huang, F. et al. How do resource dependence and technological progress affect carbon emissions reduction effect of industrial structure transformation? Empirical research based on the rebound effect in China. Environ Sci Pollut Res 30, 81823–81838 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-022-20193-2

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-022-20193-2

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