Abstract
To investigate the short-term effects of ambient air pollution and meteorological factors on daily tuberculosis (TB), semi-parametric generalized additive model was used to assess the impacts of ambient air pollutants and meteorological factors on daily TB case from 2005 to 2010 in Chengguan District, Lanzhou, China. Then a non-stratification parametric model and a stratification parametric model were applied to study the interactive effect of air pollutants and meteorological factors on daily TB. The results show that sulfur dioxide (SO2), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), and particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter less than 10μm (PM10) were positively correlated with daily TB case; the excess risk (ER) and 95% confidence interval (CI) were 1.79% (0.40%, 3.20%), 3.86% (1.81%, 5.96%), and 0.32% (0.02%, 0.62%), respectively. Daily TB case was positively correlated with maximum temperature, minimum temperature, average temperature, vapor pressure, and relative humidity, but negatively correlated with atmospheric pressure, wind speed, and sunshine duration. The association with average temperature was the strongest, whose ER and 95% CI were 4.43% (3.15%, 5.72%). In addition, there were significant interaction effects between air pollutants and meteorological factors on daily TB case.
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The datasets used and/or analyzed during the current study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.
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Acknowledgements
We appreciate the Center for Disease Control and Prevention of the Chengguan District of Lanzhou for providing disease data, Environmental Monitoring Station of Lanzhou for providing ambient air pollution data, and the Meteorological Bureau of Gansu Province for providing meteorological data. Also, we thank the editors and reviewers for helping improve the quality of this article.
Funding
This work was supported by the Premium Funding Project for Academic Human Resources Development in Beijing Union University: BPHR2017CZ03 and the National Key R&D Program of China under contract 2016YFC0206201.
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Zhaocheng Niu: Conceptualization, investigation, methodology, experiment, data curation, writing—original draft preparation.
Yuejun Qi: Software, investigation, conceptualization, methodology, experiment, writing—review and editing.
Puqiu Zhao: Validation, data curation.
Yidu Li: Software, validation, visualization.
Yan Tao: Resources, supervision, validation, investigation, funding acquisition, writing—review and editing.
Lu Peng: Software, investigation.
Mingli Qiao: Experiment, validation.
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Niu, ., Qi, Y., Zhao, P. et al. Short-term effects of ambient air pollution and meteorological factors on tuberculosis in semi-arid area, northwest China: a case study in Lanzhou. Environ Sci Pollut Res 28, 69190–69199 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-021-15445-6
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-021-15445-6