Abstract
A model examining the National Water Wealth (NWW) and its allocation between the municipal sector and the agricultural sector, where water value is defined as the present value of Water Rights, is presented. Five factors are considered: (i) uncertainty of water supply; (ii) population growth rate; (iii) the effect of time on NWW without new water production; (iv) agency costs, and; (v) production of new waters. The work is based on the model by Jensen and Meckling (J Finance Econ. 3:305–360, 1976), dealing with the effects of agency costs on the value of public companies. Agency costs are subject to conflicting interests between managers, shareholders and bondholders. In the water economy agency, costs stem from a divergence of interests between the government, the agricultural and the municipal sectors. Uncertainty of supply reduces water wealth of both sectors, with a stronger adverse impact on water wealth of the agricultural sector. Our model shows how production of new waters can have contributive effects on national water wealth. The modeling demonstrates the option of reducing the overall uncertainty of water supply and production of new waters which leads to favorable effects on the national water wealth.
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Abbreviations
- Cpdt :
-
Agency costs of debt
- Cpgt :
-
Agency costs of owner’s equity
- Cptt :
-
Total agency costs
- Egwrt :
-
Expected groundwater recharge quantity
- F:
-
The extent of the Water Commissioner’s lack of identification with the agricultural sector
- Fx:
-
Maximal F for each period
- Jr:
-
Constant ratio between the average discount rate for the two sectors (Rvt) and the discount rate of the municipal sector (Rmt)
- Lunt :
-
Relative uncertainty of supply imposed on the agricultural
- Nwht :
-
It is Nwwt including the present value of desalination
- Nwwt :
-
National Water Wealth
- Nwwt (Cptt):
-
NWW assuming agency costs
- Pg:
-
Fixed positive rate of population growth
- Qht :
-
Present value of desalination
- Qhyt :
-
Annual constant average quantities of water generated from desalination
- Qmt :
-
Water allocation for the municipal sector
- Ragt (Cpgt):
-
Discount rate of the agricultural sector assuming agency costs of owner’s equity
- Rat :
-
Discount rate of the agricultural sector
- Rft :
-
Risk-free discount rate
- Rht :
-
Discount rate of desalination
- Rmt :
-
Discount rate of the municipal sector
- Rmt(Cpdt):
-
Discount rate of the municipal sector assuming agency costs of debt
- Rvt :
-
Weighted average discount rate of the two sectors
- Rvt(Cptt):
-
Weighted average discount rate of the two sectors assuming agency costs
- Va:
-
constant quantity of water per period allocated to the agricultural sector from the period t+1 onwards
- Va(Cpgt):
-
Fixed average amount of water allocation per period (assuming agency costs of owner’s equity) for the agricultural sector from period t+1 onwards
- Vgt :
-
Water quantity that the Water Commissioner sees as “his own”
- Vot :
-
Water quantity that the Water Commissioner does not see as “his own”
- Vot(Cpgt):
-
Water wealth of the agricultural sector assuming agency costs of owner’s equity
- Wsat :
-
Agricultural sector’s share in Nwwt
- Wsmt :
-
Municipal sector’s share in Nwwt
- Wwat :
-
Residual water wealth of the agricultural sector
- Wwat (Cpgt):
-
Residual water wealth of the agricultural sector
- Wwht :
-
The weight of water wealth stemming from desalination out of NWW
- Wwmt :
-
Water wealth of the municipal sector
- Wwmt(Cpdt):
-
Water wealth of the municipal sector assuming agency costs of debt
- Wwht :
-
The weight of natural water wealth out of NWW (including desalination)
- α:
-
Water Commissioner’s relative identification with the agricultural sector
- β:
-
Fixed positive coefficient
- γ:
-
Fixed positive coefficient relation between μd and μg
- ρ:
-
Fixed positive coefficient
- μd :
-
Fixed positive constant
- μg :
-
Fixed positive constant
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Erez Braude passed away.
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Braude, E., Hauser, S., Sinuany-Stern, Z. et al. Water Allocation Between the Agricultural and the Municipal Sectors Under Scarcity: A Financial Approach Analysis. Water Resour Manage 29, 3481–3501 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-015-0986-y
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-015-0986-y