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Ensemble learning for prominent feature selection and electric power prediction in agriculture sector

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Abstract

The agricultural industry is critical to the Indian GDP, yet it faces several issues, such as energy, unemployment, and water scarcity. Among these challenges, reliable access to electricity stands out as a crucial factor for implementing smart farming techniques tailored to diverse crops and irrigation patterns. This paper addresses the intricate task of load forecasting in the agriculture sector, employing machine learning and ensemble learning methods. By scrutinizing various agroclimatic and weather characteristics, we pinpoint exogenous features influencing load prediction and prioritize their significance. The study introduces a groundbreaking approach, Temporal Adaptive Ensemble Learning (TAEL), designed to augment accuracy by incorporating temporal dynamics. Six distinct cases, varying in input parameters, are meticulously examined, employing ensemble approaches and benchmarking against Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) and K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN) models. The findings emphasize the vital role of integrating agroclimatic and time series features, showcasing notable enhancements in algorithmic performance across all cases. The proposed TAEL model stands out, achieving a remarkable mean accuracy of 87.1% and a 20.4% MAPE error. This underscores its effectiveness compared to traditional statistical and machine learning approaches, addressing limitations observed in existing studies. The research not only identifies critical factors influencing load prediction but also pioneers a novel approach, TAEL, contributing to the advancement of agricultural load forecasting methodologies.

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Data availability

Data underlying the results presented in this paper are not publicly available at this time but may be obtained from the corresponding author on reasonable request.

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Acknowledgements

The author is thanks to JVVNL for providing the original dataset, as well as to Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce & Industry (FICCI) for funding the work with the collaboration of Genus Power Infrastructures Limited.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Malaviya National Institute of Technology Jaipur, Jaipur, India

    Megha Sharma & Namita Mittal

  2. Genus Power Infrastructures Limited, Jaipur, India

    Anukram Mishra & Arun Gupta

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  1. Megha Sharma
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  2. Namita Mittal
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  3. Anukram Mishra
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  4. Arun Gupta
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Correspondence to Megha Sharma.

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Sharma, M., Mittal, N., Mishra, A. et al. Ensemble learning for prominent feature selection and electric power prediction in agriculture sector. Multimed Tools Appl (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11042-024-18179-y

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