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Reliability Optimization in Plant Production

  • SYSTEMS ANALYSIS
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Cybernetics and Systems Analysis Aims and scope

Abstract

We consider the problem of optimizing the structure of sown areas, taking into account the risk of crop losses. To minimize the risk, we propose to optimize the buffered probability of exceedance (bPOE), instead of the probability of failure (exceedance), which is widely used in the theory of reliability. In contrast to the probability of exceedance, bPOE has better properties: this risk measure is a continuous function that takes into account all the values located in the tail of the crop loss distribution function.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. V. M. Glushkov Institute of Cybernetics, National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, Kyiv, Ukraine

    V. A. Pepelyaev, A. N. Golodnikov & N. A. Golodnikova

Authors
  1. V. A. Pepelyaev
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  2. A. N. Golodnikov
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  3. N. A. Golodnikova
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Correspondence to V. A. Pepelyaev.

Additional information

Translated from Kibernetyka ta Systemnyi Analiz, No. 2, March–April, 2022, pp. 35–41.

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Pepelyaev, V.A., Golodnikov, A.N. & Golodnikova, N.A. Reliability Optimization in Plant Production. Cybern Syst Anal 58, 191–196 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10559-022-00450-5

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10559-022-00450-5

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