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Topside ionospheric TEC modeling using multiple LEO satellites based on genetic algorithm-optimized machine learning models

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Abstract

Machine learning approaches are introduced to model the three-dimensional topside total electron content (TEC) using multiple low Earth orbit (LEO) satellites. The three-dimensional topside TEC can be described by empirical models, such as the NeQuick-G or IRI-2016 model, which has limited accuracy. In this study, we proposed two models based on eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) and neural network (NN) to estimate the three-dimensional topside TEC. The models were trained using onboard GNSS observations from 21 LEO satellites at different orbit altitudes, and a genetic algorithm (GA) was applied to optimize the hyperparameters of models. The differential slant total electron content (dSTEC) assessment shows that the XGBoost-GA model outperforms the IRI-2016 and NeQuick-G models, and an accuracy improvement of about 19.5% and 44.8% can be achieved, respectively. Compared to the empirical models, the XGBoost-GA model also achieves an accuracy improvement of about 40% in the LEO-based vertical TEC (VTEC) accuracy. XGBoost-GA and NN-GA also outperform the empirical models in terms of positioning accuracy. With more LEO satellites, ML techniques can be a key processing approach in modeling the topside ionosphere.

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Data availability

The DCB products can be obtained from ftp://ftp.gipp.org.cn/product/dcb. The IGS data used in this study is acquired from the CDDIS (https://cddis.nasa.gov) via registration. The solar activity and geomagnetic indices can be found in the OMNI website https://omniweb.gsfc.nasa.gov. Onboard GNSS observations of LEO satellites can be found in https://swarm-diss.eo.esa.int; https://scihub.copernicus.eu/gnss; https://data.cosmic.ucar.edu/gnss-ro; https://podaac.jpl.nasa.gov. The author thanks the IRI working group provides access to the IRI model (https://irimodel.org/IRI-2016/), and the NeQuick-G model can be obtained at https://www.gsc-europa.eu/support-to-developers/nequick-g-source-code. Trained ML-based models and the example data are available in https://www.zenodo.org/record/8052389.

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Acknowledgements

This research is financially supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC 42074036) and the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities (2042022dx0001, 2042023kf0003). The numerical calculations in this study are performed on the supercomputing system of the Supercomputing Center of Wuhan University.

Funding

National Natural Science Foundation of China (42,074,036), Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities (2042022dx0001, 2042023kf0003).

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Correspondence to Lei Wang.

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Han, Y., Wang, L., Chen, R. et al. Topside ionospheric TEC modeling using multiple LEO satellites based on genetic algorithm-optimized machine learning models. GPS Solut 28, 19 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10291-023-01565-8

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