Skip to main content
Log in

Shifts in Ecological Legacies Support Hysteresis of Stand Type Conversions in Boreal Forests

  • Original Article
  • Published:
Ecosystems Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Many disturbances are shifting in severity, frequency, and extent due to changing climate and human activities. Altered disturbance regimes can trigger shifts in ecosystem state where recovery to the pre-disturbance ecosystem is uncertain. In the western North American boreal forest, the intensification of wildfire can cause canopy dominance to switch from black spruce (Picea mariana) to deciduous trees such as Alaska paper birch (Betula neoalaskana) and trembling aspen (Populus tremuloides). Understanding the key mechanisms that determine the resilience and stability of these alternative community types is required for the prediction of future forest dynamics. Here, we assess patterns of post-fire tree recovery across a pre-fire gradient of spruce- to deciduous-dominated forests in Interior Alaska and quantify compositional and environmental thresholds that support the resilience of alternative canopy types. We found post-fire organic soil depth of stands on a recovery trajectory to deciduous dominance (7.3 ± 5.5 cm) were similar regardless of pre-fire composition and significantly shallower than spruce (14.9 ± 9.0 cm) or mixed trajectories (10.4 ± 5.9 cm). Deciduous-dominated stands were highly resilient to fire, as 100% remained deciduous-dominated post-fire. Even when deciduous trees only accounted for a small proportion (12%) of the pre-fire stand, deciduous trees often became dominant after wildfire. We conclude that the establishment of deciduous bud banks and seed sources creates a strong hysteresis in stand recovery that reinforces the resilience of deciduous-dominated boreal forests to wildfire. Accounting for the resilience of this alternative stable state to wildfire suggests that shifts from spruce to deciduous dominance caused by shifting wildfire will have long-term effects on future structure and function of boreal forests and vegetation feedbacks to climate change.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Figure 1
Figure 2
Figure 3
Figure 4

Similar content being viewed by others

Data Availability

All data used in this manuscript are archived with the Environmental Data Initiative (EDI) via the Bonanza Creek Long-term Ecological Research Program.http://dx.doi.org/10.6073/pasta/b78161335e3edbd2393378b197735d85.

References

  • Abatzoglou JT, Williams AP. 2016. Impact of anthropogenic climate change on wildfire across western US forests. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 113:11770–11775.

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Alexander HD, Mack MC. 2016. A Canopy Shift in Interior Alaskan Boreal Forests: Consequences for Above- and Belowground Carbon and Nitrogen Pools during Post-fire Succession. Ecosystems 19:98–114.

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Baltzer JL, Day NJ, Walker XJ, Greene D, Mack MC, Alexander HD, et al. 2021. Increasing fire and the decline of fire adapted black spruce in the boreal forest. Proc Natl Acad Sci 118:e2024872118.

    CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  • Beck PSA, Juday GP, Alix C, Barber VA, Winslow SE, Sousa EE, et al. 2011. Changes in forest productivity across Alaska consistent with biome shift. Ecology Letters 14:373–379.

    PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Bergeron Y. 2000. Species and Stand Dynamics in the Mixed Woods of Quebec’s Southern Boreal Forest. Ecology 81:1500–1516.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bond-Lamberty B, Peckham SD, Ahl DE, Gower ST. 2007. Fire as the dominant driver of central Canadian boreal forest carbon balance. Nature 450:89–92.

    CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Brown CD, Liu J, Yan G, Johnstone JF. 2015. Disentangling legacy effects from environmental filters of postfire assembly of boreal tree assemblages. Ecology 96:3023–3032.

    PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Chapin FSI, Woodwell GM, Randerson JT, Rastetter EB, Lovett GM, Baldocchi DD, et al. 2006. Reconciling carbon-cycle concepts, terminology, and methods. Ecosystems 9:1041–1050.

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Chen HY, Vasiliauskas S, Kayahara GJ, Ilisson T. 2009. Wildfire promotes broadleaves and species mixture in boreal forest. Forest Ecology and Management 257:343–350.

    Google Scholar 

  • Coop JD, Parks SA, Stevens-Rumann CS, Crausbay SD, Higuera PE, Hurteau MD, et al. 2020. Wildfire-driven forest conversion in western North American landscapes. BioScience 70:659–673.

    PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  • Fastie, C.L., Lloyd, A.H. & Doak, P. (2002). Fire history and postfire forest development in an upland watershed of interior Alaska. Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 108.

  • Foster AC, Armstrong AH, Shuman JK, Shugart HH, Rogers BM, Mack MC, et al. 2019. Importance of tree- and species-level interactions with wildfire, climate, and soils in interior Alaska: Implications for forest change under a warming climate. Ecological Modelling 409:108765.

    Google Scholar 

  • Foster AC, Shuman JK, Rogers BM, Walker XJ, Mack MC, Bourgeau-Chavez LL, et al. 2022a. Bottom-up drivers of future fire regimes in western boreal North America. Environ. Res. Lett. 17:025006.

    Google Scholar 

  • Foster AC, Wang JA, Frost GV, Davidson SJ, Hoy E, Turner KW, et al. 2022b. Disturbances in North American boreal forest and Arctic tundra: impacts, interactions, and responses. Environ. Res. Lett. 17:113001.

    Google Scholar 

  • Frey BR, Lieffers VJ, Landhäusser SM, Comeau PG, Greenway KJ. 2003. An analysis of sucker regeneration of trembling aspen. Can. J. for. Res. 33:1169–1179.

    Google Scholar 

  • Girardin MP, Ali AA, Carcaillet C, Blarquez O, Hély C, Terrier A, et al. 2013. Vegetation limits the impact of a warm climate on boreal wildfires. New Phytologist 199:1001–1011.

    PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Girardin MP, Terrier A. 2015. Mitigating risks of future wildfires by management of the forest composition: an analysis of the offsetting potential through boreal Canada. Climatic Change 130:587–601.

    Google Scholar 

  • Greene D, Johnson E. 1999. Modelling recruitment of Populus tremuloides, Pinus banksiana, and Picea mariana following fire in the mixedwood boreal forest. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 29:462–473.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gutsell SL, Johnson EA. 2002. Accurately ageing trees and examining their height-growth rates: implications for interpreting forest dynamics. Journal of Ecology 90:153–166.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hansen WD, Fitzsimmons R, Olnes J, Williams AP. 2020. An alternate vegetation type proves resilient and persists for decades following forest conversion in the North American boreal biome. Journal of Ecology 109(1):85.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hayes K, Buma B. 2021. Effects of short-interval disturbances continue to accumulate, overwhelming variability in local resilience. Ecosphere 12:e03379.

    Google Scholar 

  • Higuera PE, Brubaker LB, Anderson PM, Hu FS, Brown TA. 2009. Vegetation mediated the impacts of postglacial climate change on fire regimes in the south-central Brooks Range, Alaska. Ecological Monographs 79:201–219.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hoecker TJ, Higuera PE, Kelly R, Hu FS. 2020. Arctic and boreal paleofire records reveal drivers of fire activity and departures from Holocene variability. Ecology 101:e03096.

    PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Johnson EA, Miyanishi K, Kleb H. 1994. The Hazards of Interpretation of Static Age Structures as Shown by Stand Reconstructions in a Pinus Contorta – Picea Engelmannii Forest. The Journal of Ecology 82:923.

    Google Scholar 

  • Johnstone J, Chapin F. 2006. Effects of soil burn severity on post-fire tree recruitment in boreal forest. Ecosystems 9:14–31.

    Google Scholar 

  • Johnstone JF, Allen CD, Franklin JF, Frelich LE, Harvey BJ, Higuera PE, et al. 2016. Changing disturbance regimes, ecological memory, and forest resilience. Front Ecol Environ 14:369–378.

    Google Scholar 

  • Johnstone JF, Celis G, Chapin FS III, Hollingsworth TN, Jean M, Mack MC. 2020. Factors shaping alternate successional trajectories in burned black spruce forests of Alaska. Ecosphere 11:e03129.

    Google Scholar 

  • Johnstone JF, Chapin FS, Hollingsworth TN, Mack MC, Romanovsky V, Turetsky M. 2010a. Fire, climate change, and forest resilience in interior AlaskaThis article is one of a selection of papers from The Dynamics of Change in Alaska’s Boreal Forests: Resilience and Vulnerability in Response to Climate Warming. Can. J. for. Res. 40:1302–1312.

    Google Scholar 

  • Johnstone JF, Chapin Iii F, Foote J, Kemmett S, Price K, Viereck L. 2004. Decadal observations of tree regeneration following fire in boreal forests. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 34:267–273.

    Google Scholar 

  • Johnstone JF, Hollingsworth TN, Chapin FS, Mack MC. 2010b. Changes in fire regime break the legacy lock on successional trajectories in Alaskan boreal forest. Global Change Biology 16:1281–1295.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kane ES, Kasischke ES, Valentine DW, Turetsky MR, McGuire AD. 2007. Topographic influences on wildfire consumption of soil organic carbon in interior Alaska: Implications for black carbon accumulation. J. Geophys. Res. 112:G03017.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kelly R, Chipman ML, Higuera PE, Stefanova I, Brubaker LB, Hu FS. 2013. Recent burning of boreal forests exceeds fire regime limits of the past 10,000 years. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 110:13055–13060.

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Kukavskaya EA, Buryak LV, Shvetsov FOREXAMPLE, Conard SG, Kalenskaya OP. 2016. The impact of increasing fire frequency on forest transformations in southern Siberia. Forest Ecology and Management 382:225–235.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kurkowski TA, Mann DH, Rupp TS, Verbyla DL. 2008. Relative importance of different secondary successional pathways in an Alaskan boreal forest. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 38:1911–1923.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lenth, R., Singmann, H., Love, J., Buerkner, P. & Herve, M. (2019). emmeans: Estimated Marginal Means, aka Least-Squares Means.

  • Lloyd AH, Edwards ME, Finney BP, Lynch JA, Barber VA, Bigelow NH. 2006. Holocene development of the Alaskan boreal forest. In: Chapin I, Oswood M, Van Cleve K, Viereck LA, Verbyla DL, Eds. Alaska’s Changing Boreal Forest, . New York: Oxford University Press. pp 62–78.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mack MC, Walker XJ, Johnstone JF, Alexander HD, Melvin AM, Jean M, et al. 2021. Carbon loss from boreal forest wildfires offset by increased dominance of deciduous trees. Science 372:280–283.

    CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Mann DH, Rupp TS, Olson MA, Duffy PA. 2012. Is Alaska’s boreal forest now crossing a major ecological threshold? Arctic, Antarctic, and Alpine Research 44(3):319–331.

    Google Scholar 

  • Massey, R., Rogers, B., Berner, L., Cooperdock, S., Mack, M., Walker, X., and others (In Revision). Changes in forest composition and associated biophysical climate feedbacks across boreal North America.

  • McDowell NG, Allen CD, Anderson-Teixeira K, Aukema BH, Bond-Lamberty B, Chini L, et al. 2020. Pervasive shifts in forest dynamics in a changing world. Science 368:eaaz9463.

    CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Mekonnen ZA, Riley WJ, Randerson JT, Grant RF, Rogers BM. 2019. Expansion of high-latitude deciduous forests driven by interactions between climate warming and fire. Nat Plants 5:952–958.

    PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Mollicone D, Eva HD, Achard F. 2006. Human role in Russian wild fires. Nature 440:436–437.

    CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Neigh CSR, Nelson RF, Ranson KJ, Margolis HA, Montesano PM, Sun G, et al. 2013. Taking stock of circumboreal forest carbon with ground measurements, airborne and spaceborne LiDAR. Remote Sensing of Environment 137:274–287.

    Google Scholar 

  • Osterkamp TE, Romanovsky VE. 1999. Evidence for warming and thawing of discontinuous permafrost in Alaska. Permafr Periglac Process 10:17–37.

    Google Scholar 

  • Parisien M-A, Parks SA, Miller C, Krawchuk MA, Heathcott M, Moritz MA. 2011. Contributions of Ignitions, Fuels, and Weather to the Spatial Patterns of Burn Probability of a Boreal Landscape. Ecosystems 14:1141–1155.

    Google Scholar 

  • Pinheiro, J., Bates, D., & R Core Team. (2022). Nlme: Linear and Nonlinear Mixed Effects Models.

  • R Development Core Team. (2018). R: A language and environment for statistical computing.

  • Ratajczak Z, Carpenter SR, Ives AR, Kucharik CJ, Ramiadantsoa T, Stegner MA, et al. 2018. Abrupt Change in Ecological Systems: Inference and Diagnosis. Trends in Ecology & Evolution 33:513–526.

    Google Scholar 

  • Rogers BM, Randerson JT, Bonan GB. 2013. High-latitude cooling associated with landscape changes from North American boreal forest fires. Biogeosciences 10:699–718.

    Google Scholar 

  • Rogers BM, Soja AJ, Goulden ML, Randerson JT. 2015. Influence of tree species on continental differences in boreal fires and climate feedbacks. Nature Geoscience 8:228–234.

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Seidl R, Schelhaas M-J, Rammer W, Verkerk PJ. 2014. Increasing forest disturbances in Europe and their impact on carbon storage. Nature Climate Change 4:806–810.

    CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  • Seidl R, Turner MG. 2022. Post-disturbance reorganization of forest ecosystems in a changing world. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 119:e2202190119.

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Shenoy A, Johnstone JF, Kasischke ES, Kielland K. 2011. Persistent effects of fire severity on early successional forests in interior Alaska. Forest Ecology and Management 261:381–390.

    Google Scholar 

  • Simpson, G.L. (2022). Gratia: Graceful ggplot-Based Graphics and Other Functions for GAMs Fitted using mgcv.

  • Taylor AR, Chen HYH. 2011. Multiple successional pathways of boreal forest stands in central Canada. Ecography 34:208–219.

    Google Scholar 

  • Van Cleve K, Chapin FS III, Dyrness CT, Viereck LA. 1991. Element cycling in Taiga forests state-factor control. Bioscience 41:78–88.

    Google Scholar 

  • Walker XJ, Baltzer JL, Cumming SG, Day NJ, Ebert C, Goetz S, et al. 2019. Increasing wildfires threaten historic carbon sink of boreal forest soils. Nature 572:520–523.

    CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Walker XJ, Mack MC, Johnstone JF. 2017. Predicting ecosystem resilience to fire from tree ring analysis in black spruce forests. Ecosystems 20:1137–1150.

    Google Scholar 

  • Whitman E, Parisien M-A, Thompson DK, Flannigan MD. 2019. Short-interval wildfire and drought overwhelm boreal forest resilience. Sci Rep 9:18796.

    CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  • Wickham H. 2016. ggplot2: Elegant Graphics for Data Analysis. New York: Springer-Verlag.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wood SN. 2011. Fast stable restricted maximum likelihood and marginal likelihood estimation of semiparametric generalized linear models. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (statistical Methodology) 73:3–36.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wood SN. 2017. Generalized Additive Models: An Introduction with R, 2nd edn. New York: Chapman and Hall/CRC.

    Google Scholar 

  • Yarie J, Billings S. 2002. Carbon balance of the taiga forest within Alaska: present and future. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 32:757–767.

    Google Scholar 

  • Young AM, Higuera PE, Duffy PA, Hu FS. 2017. Climatic thresholds shape northern high-latitude fire regimes and imply vulnerability to future climate change. Ecography 40:606–617.

    Google Scholar 

  • Yue X, Mickley LJ, Logan JA, Hudman RC, Martin MV, Yantosca RM. 2015. Impact of 2050 climate change on North American wildfire: consequences for ozone air quality. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 15:10033–10055.

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Zuur, A., Ieno, E.N., Walker, N., Saveliev, A.A. & Smith, G.M. (2009). Mixed effects models and extensions in ecology with R. Springer Science & Business Media.

Download references

Acknowledgements

This project was supported by funding from the Department of Defense’s Strategic Environmental Research and Development Program (SERDP) under projects RC-2109 (MCM and JFJ) and RC18-1183 (SJG and MCM), NASA grant NNX15AT71A (MCM), Canada’s NSERC Discovery Grant program (JFJ), the US Joint Fire Sciences Program (05-1-2-06) (JFJ), and by the Bonanza Creek Long-term Ecological Research Program, which is supported by the US NSF (DEB-1636476) and the USDA Forest Service (RJVA-PNW-01-JV-11261952-231) (MCM and JFJ).

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to X. J. Walker.

Ethics declarations

Conflict of interest

The authors declare no conflicts of interest.

Rights and permissions

Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law.

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Walker, X.J., Okano, K., Berner, L.T. et al. Shifts in Ecological Legacies Support Hysteresis of Stand Type Conversions in Boreal Forests. Ecosystems 26, 1796–1805 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10021-023-00866-w

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10021-023-00866-w

Keywords

Navigation