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Quantitative Evaluation of Shale Brittleness Based on Brittle-Sensitive Index and Energy Evolution-Based Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process

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Abstract

A quantitative method for evaluating brittleness is pivotal in optimizing hydraulic fracturing of shale. Shale reservoirs are characterized by diverse components and complex diagenetic environment, resulting in multiple factors influencing the brittleness feature, which makes the traditional brittleness index hardly applied widely. This study proposes a new quantitative brittleness model for shale based on the significance assignment of the brittle-sensitive index (BSI) at different stage during the loading. This study divides the complete stress–strain curve into three stages and acquires corresponding BSI based on the brittle failure evolution. Then, a fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (FAHP) is proposed to determine the contribution weight coefficients of BSI at each stage to the brittle behavior of shale, where a comparison matrix is constructed based on the evolution of energy accumulating and releasing during the loading to avoid the experience lacking and consistency issues. Experimental evaluations of two sets of reservoir shale show that the new model can effectively indicate the variation of brittleness with affecting factors, such as brittle–plastic mineral content, porosity, burial depth, and confining pressure, which demonstrate its accuracy and superiorities. Comparative analysis of the published models reveals that the new model has stronger sensitivity to the buried depth. The procedure of weight determination can effectively explain the prediction of brittle variation under confining pressure. Furthermore, the proposed model, combined with the controlled artificial shale, indicates that the brittleness decreases with the kerogen content. The results are of great importance in optimizing hydraulic fracturing of shale gas reservoirs.

Highlights

  • A new quantitative brittleness model for shale is proposed based on the energy evolution-based fuzzy analytic hierarchy process.

  • The new model can effectively indicate the variation of brittleness with brittle–plastic mineral content, porosity, burial depth, and confining pressure.

  • The brittleness of shale is verified to be decreasing with the kerogen content by combining with the controlled artificial organic-rich shale and the proposed model.

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Abbreviations

E :

Young’s modulus

\({\varepsilon }_{\mathrm{i}}\) :

Ductile strain

\({\sigma }_{\mathrm{p}}\) :

Peak strength

\({\varepsilon }_{\mathrm{r}}\) :

Residual strain

S2:

The plastic energy

\({r}_{ik}\) :

Value of the i-th row and k-column in the optimal matrix

\({f}_{ij}\) :

Value of row i and column j in the fuzzy consistent matrix

\({r}_{i}\) :

Matrix obtained by summing the optimal matrix by row i

BEn 1, BEn 2, BEn 3 :

Normalized brittleness indexes

BM:

Brittle minerals

Q + C:

Quartz + calcium

TOC:

Total organic content

ν :

Poisson’s ratio

\({\varepsilon }_{\mathrm{p}}\) :

Total strain at failure

\({\sigma }_{\mathrm{r}}\) :

Residual stress

S1:

Elastic energy accumulated before the peak

S5:

Additional energy provided outside the peak

m :

Number of evaluation indicators

BSI:

Brittle-sensitive index

a, b and c :

Weight coefficients of BSI

NBM:

Non-brittle minerals

Cl + T + E:

Clay + TOC + else minerals

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Acknowledgements

This research is supported National Natural Science Foundation of China (42274175, 42004112, 42030812, 41974160), Natural Science Foundation of Sichuan Province (23NSFSC5311), and the Open Fund (PLC2020002) of the State Key Laboratory of Oil and Gas Reservoir Geology and Exploitation (Chengdu University of Technology). The data or code relating to this work is available by contacting the corresponding author.

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All the authors contributed to the study conception and design. Material preparation, data collection and analysis were performed by JX, JZ, JC and JD. The first draft of the manuscript was written by JX and JZ, and all the authors commented on previous versions of the manuscript. All the authors read and approve tdhe final manuscript.

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Correspondence to Jianyong Xie.

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Xie, J., Zhang, J., Fang, Y. et al. Quantitative Evaluation of Shale Brittleness Based on Brittle-Sensitive Index and Energy Evolution-Based Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process. Rock Mech Rock Eng 56, 3003–3021 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00603-022-03213-y

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