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A large-scale study integrating nutritional indicators and clinicopathological parameters to evaluate prognosis, follow-up, and postoperative chemotherapy decisions in rectal cancer patients

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Abstract

Objective

The aim of this study was to evaluate the role of nutritional indicators and clinicopathological parameters in predicting the progression and prognosis for pathological stage II-III rectal cancer (RC) patients without neoadjuvant radiotherapy. In addition, we sought to explore the high-risk population who may require postoperative chemotherapy.

Methods

A total of 894 consecutive RC patients were enrolled in this study. Univariate and multivariate Cox analysis were performed to identify the independent risk factors for PFS and OS. The nomogram and calibration curves were conducted according to multivariable analysis result. Kaplan–Meier survival curves and log-rank tests were performed for different groups. Finally, random survival forest (RSF) model was developed to predict the probability of progression.

Results

Our results revealed that CEA level, pathological stage, tumor deposit, and PNI were independently associated with PFS in RC patients. Similarly, the results indicated that CEA level, pathological stage, tumor deposit, PNI, and NRI were independently associated with OS. RSF model revealed that group 1 had the highest risk of progression at the 12th month of follow-up, group 2 had the highest risk of progression at the 15th month of follow-up, while group 3 had the highest risk of progression at the 9th month of follow-up. Besides, subgroup analysis suggested that the high-risk group needs postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy, while patients in the low- and moderate-risk groups may not need postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy. Finally, we validated our results with the SEER database.

Conclusions

In conclusion, we demonstrated that preoperative nutritional indicator and clinicopathological parameters could act as auxiliary prognostication tools for RC patients without neoadjuvant radiotherapy. We also established follow-up strategies for different groups of patients. Collectively, incorporating nutritional assessment into risk stratification for RC resection is crucial and should be an integral part of preoperative planning.

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Data availability

The data that support the findings of this study are available from the corresponding author upon reasonable request.

Abbreviations

RC :

Rectal cancer

LARC :

Locally advanced rectal cancer

KPS :

Karnofsky performance status

AJCC :

American joint Committee on cancer

TNM :

Tumor-node-metastasis

CEA :

Carcinoembryonic antigen

BMI :

Body mass index

PNI :

Prognostic nutritional index

NRI :

Nutritional risk index

PAR :

Platelet to albumin ratio

CT :

Computed tomography

MRI :

Magnetic resonance imaging

PET-CT :

Positron emission tomography-CT

PFS :

Progression-free survival

OS :

Overall survival

SEER :

Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results

RSF :

Random survival forest

C-index :

Concordance-index

HR :

Hazard ratio

CI :

Confidence interval

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Acknowledgements

We thank all the investigators and patients who participated in the present study.

Funding

This work was supported by the Joint Funds for the National Clinical Key Specialty Construction Program (Grant No. 2021), the Fujian Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer Radiotherapy and Immunotherapy (Grant No. 2020Y2012), and Fujian Clinical Research Center for Radiation and Therapy of Digestive, Respiratory and Genitourinary Malignancies (Grant No. 2021Y2014).

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Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Contributions

YY, JW, HW, ZW, BX, and LS designed this study. YY, HW, SW, and LH contributed to the data collection. YY, HW, and ZW analyzed the data. JW, BX, and LS supervised the study. YY, HW, and ZW wrote the manuscript. All authors read and approved the final manuscript.

Corresponding authors

Correspondence to Junxin Wu, Benhua Xu or Lingdong Shao.

Ethics declarations

Ethical approval and consent to participate

The current study was approved by the ethics committee of Fujian Medical University Cancer Hospital (K2021-050–01), Fuzhou, China, and conducted in accordance with the principles of the Declaration of Helsinki and its amendment. All patients provided written informed consent prior to treatment, and all the information was anonymized prior to analysis.

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The manuscript has been approved by all authors for publication.

Competing interests

The authors declare no competing interests.

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Yilin Yu, Haixia Wu and Zhiping Wang contributed equally as first authors to this manuscript.

Junxin Wu, Benhua Xu and Lingdong Shao contributed equally as corresponding authors to this manuscript.

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Yu, Y., Wu, J., Wu, H. et al. A large-scale study integrating nutritional indicators and clinicopathological parameters to evaluate prognosis, follow-up, and postoperative chemotherapy decisions in rectal cancer patients. Support Care Cancer 31, 686 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00520-023-08147-x

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