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Probabilistische Netzsicherheitsbewertung

Probabilistic Security Assessment

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Zusammenfassung

Dargebotsabhängige Energieträger wie auch die zunehmende Anzahl an kurzfristigen Transaktionen am Strommarkt verursachen Unsicherheiten in der deterministischen Netzsicherheitsrechnung, welche auf dem n−1-Kriterium basiert. Ziel dieser Arbeit ist es, diese auftretenden Unsicherheiten zu erfassen, abzubilden und in einer modifizierten Art der Netzsicherheitsberechnung zu berücksichtigen. Diese Berechnung soll in der Phase der ,,Day-Ahead“-Betriebsplanung aussagekräftige Maßzahlen zur Beurteilung des Risikos eines prognostizierten Netzzustandes liefern.

Abstract

The high penetration of renewable infeed in the pan-European electricity network and the rising amount of electricity market short-term-transactions introduce new uncertainties to the inputs of conventional security assessment methods. The proposed method handles those uncertainties and accounts for them in a probabilistic way and provides as output the actual simulated power system’s risk measure. This enables for instance. a comparison of different dispatch methods.

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Danksagung

Diese Arbeit wurde durch die Europäische Union im Zuge des wissenschaftlichen Projekts ,,Umbrella“ finanziell unterstützt. (7th Framework Programme under grant agreement No. 282775-2)

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Correspondence to Klaus Köck.

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Köck, K., Renner, H. Probabilistische Netzsicherheitsbewertung. Elektrotech. Inftech. 131, 256–261 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00502-014-0262-5

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00502-014-0262-5

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