Abstract
Flash droughts feature rapid onsets of soil moisture drought events and result in severe impacts and damages, especially on agricultural and ecological systems. How the flash drought regime across China varies on multitemporal scales with climate change is not fully clear yet. In this study, we extended the flash drought definition to apply to arid regions by adding an absolute soil moisture variation criterion. Then, we detected flash drought events across China during 1981–2021 and characterized their frequency, duration, and affected area changes on seasonal, annual, and decadal scales, using soil moisture data from the European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts climate reanalysis-Land. Results show that flash drought hotspots appeared in North China and the Yangtze River Basin. During 1981–2021, the hotspots, even nationwide, underwent significant increases in frequencies, durations, and affected areas of flash droughts. The increases held in the extremely high values of the frequencies and durations in the decadal comparisons. Especially, North China saw the most extensive and rapid increases. Seasonally, flash drought frequencies and durations intensified more during spring and autumn, and seasonal hotspots in eastern China shifted in phase with spatial patterns of soil moisture loss balanced by precipitation and evapotranspiration. Thus, flash droughts tended to amplify atmospheric aridity. These findings on the hotspot regions and the spatiotemporal evolutions of flash droughts across China would pinpoint soil moisture responses to climate change and prepare for climate change impacts on local ecosystems.
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The ERA5-Land reanalysis data are obtained from https://cds.climate.copernicus.eu/cdsapp#!/home, and the Agrometeorological Soil Moisture Dataset is available at http://www.cma.gov.cn/2011qxfw/2011qsjcx.
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Funding
This work was jointly supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (42075171, 42130613), the Jiangsu Collaborative Innovation Center for Climate Change, and the scientific research fund of Chengdu University of Information Technology (KYTZ202122).
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Material preparation and analysis were performed by SZ, data collection was performed by DJ, and the manuscript was written by ML and SZ. All authors commented on previous versions of the manuscript.
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Zhang, S., Li, M., Ma, Z. et al. The intensification of flash droughts across China from 1981 to 2021. Clim Dyn 62, 1233–1247 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06980-8
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06980-8