Abstract
This paper discusses some tests of lack-of-fit of a parametric regression model when errors form a long memory moving average process with the long memory parameter \(0<d<1/2\), and when design is non-random and uniform on \([0,1]\). These tests are based on certain minimized distances between a nonparametric regression function estimator and the parametric model being fitted. The paper investigates the asymptotic null distribution of the proposed test statistics and of the corresponding minimum distance estimators under minimal conditions on the model being fitted. The limiting distribution of these statistics are Gaussian for \(0<d<1/4\) and non-Gaussian for \(1/4<d<1/2\). We also discuss the consistency of these tests against a fixed alternative. A simulation study is included to assess the finite sample behavior of the proposed test.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Baillie RT (1996) Long memory processes and fractional integration in econometrics. J Econom 73:5–59
Beran J, Feng Y, Ghosh S, Kulik R (2013) Long-memory processes. Probabilistic properties and statistical methods. Springer, Hiedelberg
Bhansali RJ, Giraitis L, Kokoszka P (2007) Approximations and limit theory for quadratic forms of linear processes. Stoch Process Appl 117(1):71–95
Dehling H, Taqqu MS (1989) The empirical process of some long-range dependent sequences with an application to U -statistics. Ann Stat 17:1767–1783
Dehling H, Mikosch T (eds) (2002) Empirical process techniques for dependent data. Birkhäuser, Boston
Doukhan P, Oppenheim G, Taqqu MS (eds) (2003) Theory and applications of long-range dependence. Birkhäuser, Boston
Giraitis L, Surgailis D (1985) CLT and other limit theorems for functionals of Gaussian processes. Zeitschrift fur Wahrscheinlichkeitstheorie verwandte Gebiete 70:191–212
Giraitis L, Koul HL, Surgailis D (1996) Asymptotic normality of regression estimators with long memory errors. Stat Probab Lett 29:317–335
Giraitis L, Koul HL, Surgailis D (2012) Large sample inference for long memory processes. Imperial College Press, London
Gradstein IS, Ryzhik IM (1962) Table of integrals, series, and products (in Russian). Fizmatgiz, Moscow
Guo H, Koul HL (2008) Asymptotic inference in some heteroscedastic regression models with long memory design and errors. Ann Stat 36:458–487
Hart JD (1997) Nonparametric smoothing and lack-of-fit tests. Springer series in statistics. Springer, New York
Koul HL (2011) Minimum distance lack-of-fit tests for fixed design. J Stat Plan Inference 141:65–79
Koul HL, Ni P (2004) Minimum distance regression model checking. J Stat Plan Inference 119:109–141
Koul HL, Baillie RT, Surgailis D (2004) Regression model fitting with a long memory covariate process. Econom Theory 20:485–512
Lobato I, Robinson PM (1998) A nonparametric test for \(I(0)\). Rev Econ Stud 68:475–495
Orey S (1958) A central limit theorem for \(m\)-dependent random variables. Duke Math J 25:543–546
Pratt J (1960) On interchanging limits and integrals. Ann Math Stat 31:74–77
Robinson PM (2003) Long-memory time series. Advanced texts in econometrics. Oxford University Press, Oxford
Surgailis D (2003) Non CLTs: U-statistics, multinomial formula and approximations of multiple Ito-Wiener integrals. In: Doukhan P, Oppenheim G, Taqqu MS (eds) Long range dependence: theory and applications. Birkhäuser, Boston, pp 129–142
Taqqu MS (2003) Fractional Brownian motion and long-range dependence. In: Doukhan P, Oppenheim G, Taqqu MS (eds) Long range dependence: theory and applications. Birkhäuser, Boston, pp 5–38
Acknowledgments
Authors wish to thank the two anonymous referees for thoughtful comments that helped to improve the presentation.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Additional information
H. L. Koul Research supported in part by NSF DMS Grant 1205271. D. Surgailis thanks the Michigan State University for hosting his visit from April 7 to May 10, 2013, during which this work was completed. Research of D. Surgailis was also supported in part by Grant MIP- 063/2013 from the Research Council of Lithuania.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Koul, H.L., Surgailis, D. & Mimoto, N. Minimum distance lack-of-fit tests under long memory errors. Metrika 78, 119–143 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00184-014-0492-x
Received:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00184-014-0492-x