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Invasive fountain grass (Pennisetum setaceum (Forssk.) Chiov.) increases its potential area of distribution in Tenerife island under future climatic scenarios

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Abstract

Mapping the distribution of invasive species under current and future climate conditions is crucial to implement sustainable and effective conservation strategies. Several studies showed how invasive species may benefit from climate change fostering their invasion rate and, consequently, affecting the native species community. In the Canary Islands and on Tenerife in particular, previous research mostly focused on climate change impacts on the native communities, whereas less attention has been paid on alien species distribution under climate change scenarios. In this study, we modelled the habitat distribution of Pennisetum setaceum, one of the most invasive alien species on Tenerife. In addition, we described the species’ potential distribution shift in the light of two climate change scenarios (RCP2.6, RCP8.5), highlighting the areas that should be prioritized during management and eradication programs. P. setaceum’s suitable areas are located in the coastal area, with higher habitat suitability near cities and below 800 m asl. In both future climate change scenarios, the geographic distribution of P. setaceum suitable areas is characterized by an elevational shift, which is more pronounced in the RCP8.5 scenario. Despite being drought resistant, water supply is crucial for the species’ seed germination, thus supporting future species’ shift to higher elevation and in the north–north–west part of the island, where it could benefit from the combined effect of orographic precipitations and humidity carried by trade winds.

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Acknowledgements

We would like to thank the Teno Rural Park for having shared its IAS database. We are grateful to the anonymous reviewers for the constructive and positive suggestions. D.D.R. was supported by an ERASMUS+ 2015-2016 grant provided by the European Commission.

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Author notes

  1. Daniele Da Re

    Present address: George Lemaitre Center for Earth and Climate Research, Earth and Life Institute, UCLouvain, Place Louis Pasteur 3, 1348, Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium

  2. Federico De Pascalis

    Present address: Department of Environmental Sciences and Policy, University of Milan, via Celoria 26, 20133, Milan, Italy

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Life Sciences, University of Trieste, Via L. Giorgieri 10, 34127, Trieste, Italy

    Daniele Da Re, Enrico Tordoni, Federico De Pascalis & Giovanni Bacaro

  2. Departamento de Botánica, Ecología y Fisiología Vegetal, Universidad de La Laguna, Avenida Astrofísico Francisco Sánchez s/n, 38206, La Laguna, Tenerife, Spain

    Zaira Negrín-Pérez, José María Fernández-Palacios, José Ramón Arévalo & Rüdiger Otto

  3. Alma Mater Studiorum University of Bologna, Department of Biological, Geological and Environmental Sciences, via Irnerio 42, 40126, Bologna, Italy

    Duccio Rocchini

  4. Department of Applied Geoinformatics and Spatial Planning, Faculty of Environmental Sciences, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Kamýcka 129, Suchdol, 16500, Praha, Czech Republic

    Duccio Rocchini

  5. Servicio de Medio Ambiente, Cabildo Insular de La Palma, Avenida Los Indianos, 20, 38700, Santa Cruz de La Palma, Canary Islands, Spain

    Félix Manuel Medina

  6. German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv), Leipzig Halle-Jena-Leipzig, Deutscher Platz 5e, 04103, Leipzig, Germany

    Eduardo Arlé

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  1. Daniele Da Re
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Correspondence to Daniele Da Re.

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Communicated by Paul M. Ramsay.

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Da Re, D., Tordoni, E., De Pascalis, F. et al. Invasive fountain grass (Pennisetum setaceum (Forssk.) Chiov.) increases its potential area of distribution in Tenerife island under future climatic scenarios. Plant Ecol 221, 867–882 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11258-020-01046-9

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