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Solar variability and stochastic effects on climate

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Abstract

The effect of fluctuations on a simple energy balance model is examined. A new, long characteristic time scale referring to the passage between different stable climatic states is identified. It is shown that a weak external forcing whose period is comparable to this scale enables the system to switch between different states with a high probability. The connection with glaciation cycles is pointed out.

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Proceedings of the 14th ESLAB Symposium on Physics of Solar Variations, 16–19 September 1980, Scheveningen, The Netherlands.

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Nicolis, C. Solar variability and stochastic effects on climate. Sol Phys 74, 473–478 (1981). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00154530

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00154530

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