Abstract
This work is focused to design a network in terms of predicting the exchange price of Foreign Rupees in accordance to other currencies through a proper analysis of various past datasets. The prediction of the exchange rate has been done between world’s traded currencies such as USD versus INR. The algorithms such as Genetic Algorithm (GA), Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO), Salp Swarm Algorithm (SSA) has been applied to optimize the Artificial Neural Network (ANN) for the foreign exchange prediction. Two performance metrics has been considered for tabulating and comparing the models are: Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and Mean Absolute Error (MAE). The predicted outcome gives the efficiency of the model over various popular models.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
References
Das, S.R., Mishra, D., Rout, M.: A hybridized ELM-Jaya forecasting model for currency exchange prediction. J. King Saud Univ. Comput. Inf. Sci. 32(3), 345–366 (2020)
Tubishat, M., Idris, N., Shuib, L., Abushariah, M.A., Mirjalili, S.: Improved Salp Swarm Algorithm based on opposition based learning and novel local search algorithm for feature selection. Expert Syst. Appl. 145, 113–122 (2020)
Ramadhani, I., Rismala, R.: Prediction of multi-currency exchange rates using correlation analysis and backpropagation. In: 2016 International Conference on ICT for Smart Society (ICISS), pp. 63–68. IEEE
Kansal, V., Dhillon, J.S.: Emended salp swarm algorithm for multiobjective electric power dispatch problem. Appl. Soft Comput. 90, 106172 (2020)
Galeshchuk, S.: Neural networks performance in exchange rate prediction. Neurocomputing 172, 446–452 (2016)
Yu, L., Lai, K.K., Wang, S.: Multistage RBF neural network ensemble learning for exchange rates forecasting. Neurocomputing 71(16–18), 3295–3302 (2008)
Sespajayadi, A., Nurtanio, I.: Technical data analysis for movement prediction of Euro to USD using genetic algorithm-neural network. In: 2015 International Seminar on Intelligent Technology and Its Applications, pp. 23–26 (2015)
Dash, R., Rautray, R., Dash, R.: Utility of a shuffled differential evolution algorithm in designing of a Pi-sigma neural network based predictor model. Appl. Comput. Inform. (2019)
Bagheri, A., Peyhani, H.M., Akbari, M.: Financial forecasting using ANFIS networks with quantum-behaved particle swarm optimization. Expert Syst. Appl. 41(14), 6235–6250 (2014)
Ni, H., Yin, H.: Exchange rate prediction using hybrid neural networks and trading indicators. Neurocomputing 72(13–15), 2815–2823 (2009)
Jena, P.R., Majhi, R., Majhi, B.: Development and performance evaluation of a novel knowledge guided artificial neural network (KGANN) model for exchange rate prediction. J. King Saud Univ. Comput. Inf. Sci. 27(4), 450–457 (2015)
Baffour, A.A., Feng, J., Taylor, E.K.: A hybrid artificial neural network-GJR modeling approach to forecasting currency exchange rate volatility. Neurocomputing 365, 285–301 (2019)
Pandey, T.N., Jagadev, A.K., Dehuri, S., Cho, S.B.: A novel committee machine and reviews of neural network and statistical models for currency exchange rate prediction: an experimental analysis. J. King Saud Univ. Comput. Inf. Sci. (2018)
Dash, R.: Performance analysis of a higher order neural network with an improved shuffled frog leaping algorithm for currency exchange rate prediction. Appl. Soft Comput. 67, 215–231 (2018)
Wei, Y., Sun, S., Ma, J., Wang, S., Lai, K.K.: A decomposition clustering ensemble learning approach for forecasting foreign exchange rates. J. Manag. Sci. Eng. 4(1), 45–54 (2019)
Das, S.R., Mishra, D., Rout, M.: An optimized feature reduction-based currency forecasting model exploring the online sequential extreme learning machine and krill herd strategies. Phys. A 513, 339–370 (2019)
Sermpinis, G., Theofilatos, K., Karathanasopoulos, A., Georgopoulos, E.F., Dunis, C.: Forecasting foreign exchange rates with adaptive neural networks using radial-basis functions and particle swarm optimization. Eur. J. Oper. Res. 225(3), 528–540 (2013)
Zhang, H.: Optimization of risk control in financial markets based on particle swarm optimization algorithm. J. Comput. Appl. Math. 368, 112530 (2020)
Diebold, F.X., Hahn, J., Tay, A.S.: Multivariate density forecast evaluation and calibration in financial risk management: high-frequency returns on foreign exchange. Rev. Econ. Stat. 81(4), 661–673 (1999)
Tenti, P.: Forecasting foreign exchange rates using recurrent neural networks. Appl. Artif. Intell. 10(6), 567–582 (1996)
Kohara, K., Ishikawa, T., Fukuhara, Y., Nakamura, Y.: Stock price prediction using prior knowledge and neural networks. Intell. Syst. Account. Finance Manag. 6(1), 11–22 (1997)
Ibrahim, R.A., Ewees, A.A., Oliva, D., Elaziz, M.A., Lu, S.: Improved salp swarm algorithm based on particle swarm optimization for feature selection. J. Ambient. Intell. Humaniz. Comput. 10(8), 3155–3169 (2019)
Panda, N., Majhi, S.K.: Improved salp swarm algorithm with space transformation search for training neural network. Arab. J. Sci. Eng. 45(4), 2743–2761 (2020)
Panda, N., Majhi, S.K.: How effective is the salp swarm algorithm in data classification. In: Computational Intelligence in Pattern Recognition, pp. 579–588. Springer, Singapore (2020)
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2022 The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd.
About this paper
Cite this paper
Mohanty, A.K., Panda, M., Mishra, D. (2022). Foreign Exchange Price Prediction Using Artificial Neural Network Optimized by Salp Swarm Algorithm. In: Sahoo, J.P., Tripathy, A.K., Mohanty, M., Li, KC., Nayak, A.K. (eds) Advances in Distributed Computing and Machine Learning. Lecture Notes in Networks and Systems, vol 302. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-16-4807-6_38
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-16-4807-6_38
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Singapore
Print ISBN: 978-981-16-4806-9
Online ISBN: 978-981-16-4807-6
eBook Packages: Intelligent Technologies and RoboticsIntelligent Technologies and Robotics (R0)