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The Syrian Insurgency and Its Aftermath

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Abstract

The failure of the Syrian revolution was the violent culmination of the popular revolutions that thrust themselves in 2010 upon the Arab world, known popularly as the ‘Arab Spring’. Bashar Assad’s uncompromising reaction was the culmination of a reactionary trend aimed at defeating the upsurge of the popular Arab desire for a democratic polity. An examination of the contrary forces that halted the Arab spring is crucial to understanding the endless nature of the conflict in Syria. The extreme and violent reaction by Syrian government forces, while driving the popular will underground, opened the field for organized radical Islamic groups. The chapter looks at the reasons that motivated the Assad government in persisting with its violent reaction and whether another road was possible. In the context of the US occupation of Iraq, Syrian reaction created a rationale, no less a precedent, on the part of regional and world powers to enter the civil war. The motivation for their entry, unmindful of international law prescriptions, is elaborated.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    Jamie Tarabay, ‘For Many Syrians the Story of the War Began with Graffiti in Dara’a’, CNN, March 15, 2018, https://edition.cnn.com/2018/03/15/middleeast/daraa-syria-seven-years-on-intl/index.html.

  2. 2.

    Scott Anderson, ‘The True Story of Lawrence of Arabia’, Simthsonian Magazine, July 2014, https://www.smithsonianmag.com/history/true-story-lawrence-arabia-180951857/?page=3.

  3. 3.

    The Associated Press, ‘Syria Government Forces Plant Flag in Dara’a, the Cradle of the Uprising’, CBC, July 12, 2018, https://www.cbc.ca/news/world/syria-daraa-recapture-1.4744308.

  4. 4.

    Julian Reder, ‘The Peninsula Shield Force: The Gulf Cooperation Council’s Vestigial Organ’, International Policy Digest, May 8, 2017, https://intpolicydigest.org/2017/05/08/peninsula-shield-force-gulf-cooperation-council-s-vestigial-organ/.

  5. 5.

    Ibid. Koert Debeuf.

  6. 6.

    Emma Graham-Harrison, ‘Beyond Syria: The Arab Spring’s Aftermath,’ The Guardian, December 30, 2018, https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/dec/30/arab-spring-aftermath-syria-tunisia-egypt-yemen-libya.

  7. 7.

    Bruce Riedel, ‘Who Are the Houthis and Why Are We at War with Them’, Brookings, December 18, 2017, https://www.brookings.edu/blog/markaz/2017/12/18/who-are-the-houthis-and-why-are-we-at-war-with-them/.

  8. 8.

    Ibid.

  9. 9.

    Ibid. Ishac Diwan.

  10. 10.

    Frederic Wehrey & Jeffrey Feltman, ‘Libya Is Entering Another Civil War America Can Stop It’, The New York Times, April 5, 2019, https://www.nytimes.com/2019/04/05/opinion/libya-civil-war-.html.

  11. 11.

    Guma al-Gumaty, ‘Turkey, Syria and the Libyan Conundrum’, AJImpat, January 18, 2020, https://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/opinion/turkey-russia-libyan-conundrum-200118144000930.html.

  12. 12.

    Ibid. EmmaGraham-Harrison.

  13. 13.

    Ibid.

  14. 14.

    Ishac Diwan, ‘The Arab Spring’s Second Chance’, Project Syndicate, April 23, 2019, https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/algeria-sudan-army-power-struggle-by-ishac-diwan-2019-04.

  15. 15.

    Radwan Ziyada, ‘The Arab Spring’s Failure in Democratic Transition’, Middle East Monitor, May 2, 2018, https://www.middleeastmonitor.com/20180502-the-arab-springs-failure-in-democratic-transition/.

  16. 16.

    Ibid. Radwan Ziyada.

  17. 17.

    Lynch, Marc, ‘How Syria Ruined the Arab Spring’, Foreign Policy, May 3, 2013, https://foreignpolicy.com/2013/05/03/how-syria-ruined-the-arab-spring/.

  18. 18.

    Charles Glass, ‘Syria Burning: Out Thirty Year’s War?’ Nation, Vol. 360, No. 10, pp. 24–26, https://eds.b.ebscohost.com/eds/detail/detail?vid=0&sid=54732fa3-fc46-46cc-ac72-b04ab7ec0af9%40pdc-v-sessmgr04&bdata=JnNpdGU9ZWRzLWxpdmUmc2NvcGU9c2l0ZQ%3d%3d#AN=128477723&db=ulh.

  19. 19.

    Ibid. Charles Glass.

  20. 20.

    Ibid.

  21. 21.

    Reinoud Leenders & Mansour Kholoud, ‘Humanitarianism, State Sovereignty and Authoritarian Regime Maintenance in the Syrian War’, Political Science Quarterly, Summer 2018, Vol. 133, No. 2, pp 225–257, https://eds.a.ebscohost.com/eds/detail/detail?vid=0&sid=9503ee87-3e77-48ce-bdc6-e116863931a7%40sdc-v-sessmgr03&bdata=JnNpdGU9ZWRzLWxpdmUmc2NvcGU9c2l0ZQ%3d%3d#AN=130267262&db=crh.

  22. 22.

    Ibid.

  23. 23.

    Maria Tsvetkova, ‘Syrian Militants Rocket Russian Airbase in Syria- Russian Military’, Reuters, May 6, 2019, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-russia-syria-military/syrian-militants-rocket-russian-airbase-in-syria-russian-military-idUSKCN1SC1SD.

  24. 24.

    Ibid. Charles Glass.

  25. 25.

    Ibid.

  26. 26.

    Ibid. Ghitis Frida.

  27. 27.

    Tobias Schneider & Theresa Lutkefend, ‘Nowhere to Hide: The Logic of Chemical Weapon Use in Syria’, The Global Public Policy Institute, February 17, 2019, https://www.gppi.net/media/GPPi_Schneider_Luetkefend_2019_Nowhere_to_Hide_Web.pdf.

  28. 28.

    Ibid.

  29. 29.

    Ibid.

  30. 30.

    Jose Ciro Martinez & Eng Brent, ‘Stifling Stateness: The Assad Regime’s Campaign Against Rebel Governance’, Security Dialogue, 2018, Vol. 49, No. 4, pp. 235–253, https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/pdf/10.1177/0967010618768622.

  31. 31.

    Ibid.

  32. 32.

    Ibid. Jose Ciro Martinez & Eng Brent.

  33. 33.

    Hassan Hassan, ‘Assad Has Decisively Won His Brutal Battle’, The Guardian, December 30, 2018, https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/dec/30/syria-year-cemented-assad-victory-trump-us-troops.

  34. 34.

    Anna Mysliwiec, ‘When the Dictator Wins: How Assad Is Using Reconstruction to Strengthen His Grip on Syria’, Harvard Kennedy School Review, 1 January 2019, Vol. 19, pp. 30–36, https://eds.a.ebscohost.com/eds/pdfviewer/pdfviewer?vid=1&sid=7222c5a9-7eb3-490a-9cf8-51939dbd4f1c%40sessionmgr4008.

  35. 35.

    Ibid.

  36. 36.

    Ibid.

  37. 37.

    The Editors, ‘The Syrian Civil War Might Be Ending,but the Crisis Will Live On’, World Politics Review (WPR), July 17, 2019, https://www.worldpoliticsreview.com/insights/28041/the-syrian-civil-war-might-be-ending-but-the-crisis-will-live-on.

  38. 38.

    Volker Perthes, ‘Conflict and Realignment in the Middle East’, Survival: Global Politics and Strategy, 1 June 2018, Vol. 60, No. 3, pp. 95–104, https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/00396338.2018.1470760.

  39. 39.

    Steven Metz, ‘What Syria Reveals about the Future of War’, World Politics Review, February 16, 2018, https://www.worldpoliticsreview.com/articles/24205/what-syria-reveals-about-the-future-of-war.

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Abhyankar, R.M. (2020). The Syrian Insurgency and Its Aftermath. In: Syria. Palgrave Macmillan, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-15-4562-7_3

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