Skip to main content

The “Trump Factor” in the Gulf Divide

  • Chapter
  • First Online:
Divided Gulf

Part of the book series: Contemporary Gulf Studies ((CGS))

Abstract

In this chapter, Cafiero looks at Donald Trump’s presidency as the key variable in the Qatar crisis of 2017. As a security guarantor of all Gulf Cooperation Council members, the US, under the leadership of President Obama, played an important role in thwarting further action from being taken against Qatar by Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Bahrain during the Gulf crisis of 2014. In 2017, however, Cafiero argues the Saudi and Emirati leadership saw an invaluable opportunity to finally settle scores with Qatar given that Trump sat in the Oval Office and had previously indicated his preference for a new US foreign policy that rejected many pillars of his predecessors’ approaches to international affairs. As the chapter will show, based on Trump’s staunch opposition to Iran as an influential power in the Middle East, as well as his rhetoric against the Muslim Brotherhood, Riyadh and Abu Dhabi (mis)calculated that the new US administration would buy an anti-Qatar narrative and interpret the blockade as a sign that Washington’s Arab allies were serious about cooperating with the US in the struggle against violent extremism.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 109.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Hardcover Book
USD 139.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Notes

  1. 1.

    Ulrichsen, K. (2018). The Needless Crisis in the Arabian Gulf. Arab Center Washington DC, 5 June 2018. http://arabcenterdc.org/policy_analyses/the-needless-crisis-in-the-arabian-gulf/.

  2. 2.

    Krieg, A. (2018). One Year on, Trump Remains the Cause of—And Solution to—The Qatar Crisis. Middle East Eye, 23 May 2018.

  3. 3.

    Lynch, M. (2013). The Arab Uprising: The Unfinished Revolutions of the New Middle East. New York: Public Affairs.

  4. 4.

    Sheiko, Y. (2018). The United Arab Emirates: Turkey’s New Rival. The Washington Institute for Near East Policy, 16 February 2018. www.washingtoninstitute.org/fikraforum/view/the-united-arab-emirates-turkeys-new-rival.

  5. 5.

    Younis, N. (2017). ISIS: The Rise of ISIS: Iraq and Persian Gulf Security. In K. Ulrichsen (ed.). The Changing Security Dynamics of the Persian Gulf. London: Hurst.

  6. 6.

    Ghafar, A. (2017). Muhammed bin Salman and the Push to Establish a New Saudi Political Order. The Brookings Institution, 9 November 2017. www.brookings.edu/blog/markaz/2017/11/09/muhammed-bin-salman-and-the-push-to-establish-a-new-saudi-political-order/.

  7. 7.

    Ulrichsen, K. (2017). The United Arab Emirates: Power, Politics and Policy-Making. New York: Routledge.

  8. 8.

    Gadel, A. and El-Bouanani, M. (2018). MbS and MbZ: Two Princes in a Hurry Shake Up the Gulf. The New Arab, 27 April 2018.

  9. 9.

    Al Jazeera. (2017). What’s Next for Qatar and the GCC? Al Jazeera UpFront, 7 July 2017. www.aljazeera.com/programmes/upfront/2017/07/qatar-gcc-170707094554748.html.

  10. 10.

    Mangan, D. (2018). Tiny Qatar Plays a Big, Complicated Role in Trump’s World. CNBC, 10 September 2018. www.cnbc.com/2018/09/10/qatar-plays-a-big-complicated-role-in-trump-world.html.

  11. 11.

    Hennessey-Fiske, M. (2017). Will Qatar Agree to Arab Countries’ New List of Demands? Unlikely. Los Angeles Times, 24 June 2017.

  12. 12.

    Interview with interlocutor in Doha, Qatar (May 2016).

  13. 13.

    Ulrichsen, K. (2018). Fire and Fury in the Gulf. Gulf State Analytics, 31 January 2018. https://gulfstateanalytics.com/fire-fury-gulf/.

  14. 14.

    Glasser, S. (2018). The Full Transcript: Ben Rhodes and Samantha Power. Politico, 15 January 2018.

  15. 15.

    Ibid.

  16. 16.

    Ulrichsen, K. (2018). The Needless Crisis in the Arabian Gulf. Arab Center Washington DC, 5 June 2018. http://arabcenterdc.org/policy_analyses/the-needless-crisis-in-the-arabian-gulf/.

  17. 17.

    Lewis, A. (2016). East Libyan Factions See Possible Boost in Trump Victory. Reuters, 10 November 2016.

  18. 18.

    Beckwith, R. (2016). Read Donald Trump’s Speech Criticizing Hillary Clinton on Foreign Policy. Time, 22 June 2016.

  19. 19.

    Beinart, P. (2018). Mike Pompeo’s Allies on the Anti-Muslim Right. The Atlantic, 15 March 2018.

  20. 20.

    Hosenball, M. (2017). Trump Administration Debates Designating Muslim Brotherhood as Terrorist Group. Reuters, 9 January 2017.

  21. 21.

    Cafiero, G. (2016). Donald Trump: A Win for the UAE? LobeLog, 28 November 2016. https://lobelog.com/donald-trump-a-win-for-the-uae/.

  22. 22.

    Kumar, A. and Wieder, B. (2017). Steve Bannon’s Already Murky Middle East Ties Deepen. McClatchy Washington Bureau, 23 October 2017. www.mcclatchydc.com/news/politics-government/white-house/article180111646.html.

  23. 23.

    Kirkpatrick, D. (2018). Who Is Behind Trump’s Links to Arab Princes? A Billionaire Friend. New York Times, 13 June 2018.

  24. 24.

    Karni, A. (2017). Jared Kushner’s Mission Impossible. Politico, 11 February 2017.

  25. 25.

    Ibid.

  26. 26.

    Ulrichsen, ‘The Needless Crisis in the Arabian Gulf’.

  27. 27.

    Entous A., Miller, G., Sieff, K., and DeYoung, K. (2017). Blackwater Founder Held Secret Seychelles Meeting to Establish Trump-Putin Back Channel. Washington Post, 3 April 2017.

  28. 28.

    Ibid.

  29. 29.

    Ibid.

  30. 30.

    Emmons, A., Grim, R., and Swisher, C. (2018). Saudi Crown Prince Boasted That Jared Kushner Was “In His pocket”. The Intercept, 21 March 2018. https://theintercept.com/2018/03/21/jared-kushner-saudi-crown-prince-mohammed-bin-salman/.

  31. 31.

    Qatar Tribune. (2018). A Year After Riyadh Summit, Unity and Stability Elude the Region. Qatar Tribune, 22 May 2018.

  32. 32.

    Ulrichsen, ‘The Needless Crisis in the Arabian Gulf’.

  33. 33.

    MEMO. (2017). Former Adviser to Trump: Riyadh Summit Triggered Siege on Qatar. Middle East Monitor, 25 October 2017. www.middleeastmonitor.com/20171025-former-adviser-to-trump-riyadh-summit-triggered-siege-on-qatar/.

  34. 34.

    Ibid.

  35. 35.

    Qatar Tribune, ‘A Year After Riyadh Summit’.

  36. 36.

    Swisher, C. and Grim, R. (2018). Jared Kushner’s Real-Estate Firm Sought Money Directly from Qatar Government Weeks Before Blockade. The Intercept, 2 March 2018. https://theintercept.com/2018/03/02/jared-kushner-real-estate-qatar-blockade/.

  37. 37.

    Ibid.

  38. 38.

    Rampton, R. (2017). Trump Takes Sides in Arab Rift, Suggests Support for Isolation of Qatar. Reuters, 6 June 2017.

  39. 39.

    Gaouette, N. and Starr, B. (2017). Trump Appears to Take Credit for Gulf Nations’ Move Against Qatar. CNN, 6 June 2017.

  40. 40.

    Geltzer, J. (2017). What Trump’s Qatar Tweets Revealed. The Atlantic, 7 June 2017.

  41. 41.

    Stewart, P. (2017). U.S. Military Praises Qatar, Despite Trump Tweet. Reuters, 6 June 2017.

  42. 42.

    Al Jazeera. (2018). Qatar’s Blockade in 2017, Day by Day Developments. Al Jazeera, 18 February 2018. www.aljazeera.com/news/2017/10/qatar-crisis-developments-october-21-171022153053754.html.

  43. 43.

    Ajmera, A. and Stone, M. (2017). Qatar Signs $12 Billion Deal to Buy F-15 Jets from U.S. Reuters, 14 June 2017.

  44. 44.

    Qiblawi, T. (2017). Gulf Crisis: Tillerson Leaves Qatar After Saudi Meetings. CNN, 13 July 2017.

  45. 45.

    Finn, T. (2017). U.S., Qatar Sign Agreement on Combating Terrorism Financing. Reuters, 10 July 2017; United States Department of State. (2017). First U.S.-Qatar Counterterrorism Dialogue. United States Department of State, 8 November 2017. www.state.gov/r/pa/prs/ps/2017/11/275409.htm.

  46. 46.

    Finn, T. (2017). Visiting Doha, Tillerson Calls Qatari Position ‘Reasonable’. Reuters, 11 July 2017.

  47. 47.

    Al Jazeera. (2017). Trump: We Will Maintain Good Relations with Qatar. Al Jazeera, 15 July 2015. www.aljazeera.com/news/2017/07/trump-good-relations-qatar-170714230137824.html.

  48. 48.

    Mudahka, F. (2018). Trump’s Renewed Reconciliation Calls ‘Could Help Solve Gulf Crisis’. Gulf News, 1 February 2018.

  49. 49.

    Des Roches, D. (2017). A Base Is More Than Buildings: The Implications of the Qatar Crisis. War on the Rocks, 8 June 2017. https://warontherocks.com/2017/06/a-base-is-more-than-buildings-the-military-implications-of-the-qatar-crisis/.

  50. 50.

    Karam, J. (2017). Sanctions, Leaving Military Base ‘Possible Options Against Qatar’. Arab News, 27 May 2017.

  51. 51.

    Adams, T. (2018). From Qatar’s Blockade, a Bold, Unexpected New Vision Is Emerging. The Guardian, 6 May 2018.

  52. 52.

    Enos, E. and Stohl, R. (2017). Examining US Arms Sales to Qatar. Stimson Center, 20 July 2017. www.stimson.org/content/examining-us-arms-sales-qatar.

  53. 53.

    Arab News. (2018). Gulf Arabs Relish Tillerson Firing; Iran Weighs Nuclear Deal. Arab News, 14 March 2018. www.arabnews.com/node/1266091/middle-east.

  54. 54.

    Ibid.

  55. 55.

    Harris, G. (2018). Pompeo’s Message to Saudis? Enough Is Enough: Stop Qatar Blockade. New York Times, 28 April 2018.

  56. 56.

    Henderson, S. (2018). Pompeo Says ‘Enough’ to Gulf Royals’ Rift with Qatar. The Hill, 30 April 2018. https://thehill.com/opinion/international/385435-pompeo-says-enough-to-gulf-royals-rift-with-qatar.

  57. 57.

    (2018). Qatar, US Plan ‘Expansion’ of Al-Udeid Airbase. The New Arab, 25 July 2018. www.alaraby.co.uk/english/news/2018/7/24/qatar-us-plan-expansion-of-al-udeid-airbase.

  58. 58.

    Baabood, A. (2017). Oman and the Gulf Diplomatic Crisis. Oxford Gulf & Arabian Peninsula Studies Commentary, Autumn 2017. www.oxgaps.org/files/commentary_-_baabood.pdf.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2019 The Author(s)

About this chapter

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this chapter

Cafiero, G. (2019). The “Trump Factor” in the Gulf Divide. In: Krieg, A. (eds) Divided Gulf. Contemporary Gulf Studies. Palgrave Macmillan, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-13-6314-6_8

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics