Skip to main content

An Artificial Intelligence Strategy for the Prediction of Wind Speed and Direction in Sarawak for Wind Energy Mapping

  • Conference paper
  • First Online:
Recent Advances in Mathematical Sciences

Abstract

Accurate and reliable wind speed and direction prediction is one of the necessary concepts in implementing a wind energy system. In this paper, meteorological and geographical variables were modeled via artificial neural networks (ANNs), taking terrain elevation and roughness class into account. The feedforward neural network (FFNN) with back propagation trained with Levenberg–Marquardt algorithm was utilized, with wind speed and direction as the target function in each model. The results obtained using the formulated topographical models showed a regression value R in the range of 0.8256–0.9883. The optimum network based on the lower mean square error and fast computation time was 9-152-1. Thus, the developed topographical feedforward neural network (T-FFNN) is efficient to predict the wind speed and direction properly.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 84.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 109.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 109.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  1. Mabel, C.M., Fernandez, E.: Analysis of wind power generation and prediction using ANN: a case study. Renew. Energy 33, 986–992 (2008)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  2. Muhammad, S.L., Abidin, W.A.W.Z., Chai, W.Y., Baharun, A., Masri, T.: Development of wind mapping based on artificial neural network (ANN) for energy exploration in Sarawak. Int. J. Renew. Energy Res. (IJRER) 4, 618–627 (2014)

    Google Scholar 

  3. Azad, A.K., Rasul, M.G., Yusaf, T.: Statistical diagnosis of the best weibull methods for wind power assessment for agricultural applications. Energies 7, 3056–3085 (2014)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  4. Abbes, M., Belhadj, J.: Development of a methodology for wind energy estimation and wind park design. J. Renew. Sustain. Energy 6, 053103 (2014)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  5. Anvari-Moghaddam, A., Monsef, H., Rahimi-Kian, A., Nance, H.: Feasibility study of a novel methodology for solar radiation prediction on an hourly time scale: A case study in Plymouth, United Kingdom. J. Renew. Sustain. Energy 6, 033107 (2014)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. Lawan, S., Abidin, W., Chai, W., Baharun, A., Masri, T.: The status of wind resource assessment (WRA) techniques, wind energy potential and utilisation in Malaysia and other countries. J. Eng. Appl. Sci. 8, (2013)

    Google Scholar 

  7. Ratto, C., Festa, R., Romeo, C., Frumento, O., Galluzzi, M.: Mass-consistent models for wind fields over complex terrain: the state of the art. Environ. Softw. 9, 247–268 (1994)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. Guo, X., Palutikof, J.: A study of two mass-consistent models: problems and possible solutions. Bound. Layer Meteorol. 53, 303–332 (1990)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. Focken, U., Heinemann, D., Waldl, H.P.: Wind assessment in complex terrain with the numeric model Aiolos: implementation of the influence of roughness changes and stability. In: EWEC-Conference, pp. 1173–1176 (1999)

    Google Scholar 

  10. Dinar, N.: Mass consistent models for wind distribution in complex terrain–Fast algorithms for three dimensional problems. In: Boundary Layer Structure, ed, pp. 177–199, Springer, Bosdon (1984)

    Google Scholar 

  11. Focken, U., Lange, M.: Physical approach to short-term wind power prediction. Springer, New York (2006)

    Google Scholar 

  12. Ahmad, A., Anderson, T.: Global Solar Radiation Prediction Using Artificial Neural Network Models for New Zealand (2014)

    Google Scholar 

  13. Ak, R., Li, Y., Vitelli, V., Zio, E.: Estimation of wind speed prediction intervals by multi-objective genetic algorithms and neural networks. In: Acts of the XLVI Scientific Meeting of the Italian Statistical Society, Rome, Italy (2012)

    Google Scholar 

  14. Alkhatib, A, Heire. S., Kurt M.: Detailed analysis for implementing a short term wind speed prediction tool using artificial neural networks. In: International Journal on Advances in Networks and Services, vol. 5, pp. 149–158 (2012)

    Google Scholar 

  15. Anand, A.P., Saravanan, R., Muthaiah, R.: Threshold prediction of a cyclostationary feature detection process using an artificial neural network. In: International Journal of Engineering & Technology, vol. 5, pp. 0975–4024 (2013)

    Google Scholar 

  16. Kalogirou, S.A.: Artificial neural networksin renewable energy systems applications: A review. Renew. Sustain. Energy Rev. 5, 373–401 (2001)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  17. Kazemi, K., Moradi, S., Asoodeh, M.: A neural network based model for prediction of saturation pressure from molecular components of crude oil. Energy sources, Part A: Recovery, utilization, and environmental effects 35, 1039–1045 (2013)

    Google Scholar 

  18. Khatib, T., Alsadi, S.: Modeling of wind speed for palestine using artificial neural network. J. Appl. Sci. 11, 2634–2639 (2011)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  19. Fadare, D.: The application of artificial neural networks to mapping of wind speed profile for energy application in Nigeria. Appl. Energy 87, 934–942 (2010)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  20. Sözen, A., Arcaklioglu, E., Özalp, M., Kanit, E.G.: Use of artificial neural networks for mapping of solar potential in Turkey. Appl. Energy 77, 273–286 (2004)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  21. Ozgonenel, O., Thomas, D.W.: Short-term wind speed estimation based on weather data. Turkish J. Elect. Eng. Comput. Sci. 20, 335–346 (2012)

    Google Scholar 

  22. Lin, W.-M., Hong, C.-M.: A new elman neural network-based control algorithm for adjustable-pitch variable-speed wind-energy conversion systems. IEEE Trans. Power Electron. 26, 473–481 (2011)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  23. Musyafa, A., Cholifah, B., Dharma, A., Robandi, I.: Local short term wind speed prediction in the region Nganjuk City (East Java) using neural network. In: Local Short Term Wind Speed Prediction in the Region Nganjuk City (East Java) Using Neural Network (2013)

    Google Scholar 

  24. Philippopoulos, K., Deligiorgi, D., Kouroupetroglou, G.: Artificial neural network modeling of relative humidity and air temperature spatial and temporal distributions over complex terrains. In: Pattern Recognition Applications and Methods, ed, pp. 171–187, Springer, New York (2015)

    Google Scholar 

  25. Mohandes, M., Balghonaim, A., Kassas, M., Rehman, S., Halawani, T.: Use of radial basis functions for estimating monthly mean daily solar radiation. Solar Energy 68, 161–168 (2000)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  26. Madić, M., Radovanović, M.: An artificial intelligence approach for the prediction of surface roughness in \({\rm CO}_2\) laser cutting. J. Eng. Sci. Technol. 7, 679–689 (2012)

    Google Scholar 

  27. Ramachandra, T., Shruthi, B.: Wind energy potential mapping in Karnataka, India, Using GIS. Energy Convers. Manag. 46, 1561–1578 (2005)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  28. Bui, T.Q., Nguyen, T.N., Nguyen-Dang, H.: A moving kriging interpolation-based meshless method for numerical simulation of Kirchhoff plate problems. Int. J. Num. Methods Eng. 77, 1371–1395 (2009)

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgments

The authors duly thanked the support of Universiti Malaysia Sarawak (UNIMAS) who has supported the data used in the research.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to S. M. Lawan .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2016 Springer Science+Business Media Singapore

About this paper

Cite this paper

Lawan, S.M., Abidin, W.A.W.Z., Lawan, S., Lawan, A.M. (2016). An Artificial Intelligence Strategy for the Prediction of Wind Speed and Direction in Sarawak for Wind Energy Mapping. In: Kılıçman, A., Srivastava, H., Mursaleen, M., Abdul Majid, Z. (eds) Recent Advances in Mathematical Sciences. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-10-0519-0_7

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics