Abstract
Accurate and reliable wind speed and direction prediction is one of the necessary concepts in implementing a wind energy system. In this paper, meteorological and geographical variables were modeled via artificial neural networks (ANNs), taking terrain elevation and roughness class into account. The feedforward neural network (FFNN) with back propagation trained with Levenberg–Marquardt algorithm was utilized, with wind speed and direction as the target function in each model. The results obtained using the formulated topographical models showed a regression value R in the range of 0.8256–0.9883. The optimum network based on the lower mean square error and fast computation time was 9-152-1. Thus, the developed topographical feedforward neural network (T-FFNN) is efficient to predict the wind speed and direction properly.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Mabel, C.M., Fernandez, E.: Analysis of wind power generation and prediction using ANN: a case study. Renew. Energy 33, 986–992 (2008)
Muhammad, S.L., Abidin, W.A.W.Z., Chai, W.Y., Baharun, A., Masri, T.: Development of wind mapping based on artificial neural network (ANN) for energy exploration in Sarawak. Int. J. Renew. Energy Res. (IJRER) 4, 618–627 (2014)
Azad, A.K., Rasul, M.G., Yusaf, T.: Statistical diagnosis of the best weibull methods for wind power assessment for agricultural applications. Energies 7, 3056–3085 (2014)
Abbes, M., Belhadj, J.: Development of a methodology for wind energy estimation and wind park design. J. Renew. Sustain. Energy 6, 053103 (2014)
Anvari-Moghaddam, A., Monsef, H., Rahimi-Kian, A., Nance, H.: Feasibility study of a novel methodology for solar radiation prediction on an hourly time scale: A case study in Plymouth, United Kingdom. J. Renew. Sustain. Energy 6, 033107 (2014)
Lawan, S., Abidin, W., Chai, W., Baharun, A., Masri, T.: The status of wind resource assessment (WRA) techniques, wind energy potential and utilisation in Malaysia and other countries. J. Eng. Appl. Sci. 8, (2013)
Ratto, C., Festa, R., Romeo, C., Frumento, O., Galluzzi, M.: Mass-consistent models for wind fields over complex terrain: the state of the art. Environ. Softw. 9, 247–268 (1994)
Guo, X., Palutikof, J.: A study of two mass-consistent models: problems and possible solutions. Bound. Layer Meteorol. 53, 303–332 (1990)
Focken, U., Heinemann, D., Waldl, H.P.: Wind assessment in complex terrain with the numeric model Aiolos: implementation of the influence of roughness changes and stability. In: EWEC-Conference, pp. 1173–1176 (1999)
Dinar, N.: Mass consistent models for wind distribution in complex terrain–Fast algorithms for three dimensional problems. In: Boundary Layer Structure, ed, pp. 177–199, Springer, Bosdon (1984)
Focken, U., Lange, M.: Physical approach to short-term wind power prediction. Springer, New York (2006)
Ahmad, A., Anderson, T.: Global Solar Radiation Prediction Using Artificial Neural Network Models for New Zealand (2014)
Ak, R., Li, Y., Vitelli, V., Zio, E.: Estimation of wind speed prediction intervals by multi-objective genetic algorithms and neural networks. In: Acts of the XLVI Scientific Meeting of the Italian Statistical Society, Rome, Italy (2012)
Alkhatib, A, Heire. S., Kurt M.: Detailed analysis for implementing a short term wind speed prediction tool using artificial neural networks. In: International Journal on Advances in Networks and Services, vol. 5, pp. 149–158 (2012)
Anand, A.P., Saravanan, R., Muthaiah, R.: Threshold prediction of a cyclostationary feature detection process using an artificial neural network. In: International Journal of Engineering & Technology, vol. 5, pp. 0975–4024 (2013)
Kalogirou, S.A.: Artificial neural networksin renewable energy systems applications: A review. Renew. Sustain. Energy Rev. 5, 373–401 (2001)
Kazemi, K., Moradi, S., Asoodeh, M.: A neural network based model for prediction of saturation pressure from molecular components of crude oil. Energy sources, Part A: Recovery, utilization, and environmental effects 35, 1039–1045 (2013)
Khatib, T., Alsadi, S.: Modeling of wind speed for palestine using artificial neural network. J. Appl. Sci. 11, 2634–2639 (2011)
Fadare, D.: The application of artificial neural networks to mapping of wind speed profile for energy application in Nigeria. Appl. Energy 87, 934–942 (2010)
Sözen, A., Arcaklioglu, E., Özalp, M., Kanit, E.G.: Use of artificial neural networks for mapping of solar potential in Turkey. Appl. Energy 77, 273–286 (2004)
Ozgonenel, O., Thomas, D.W.: Short-term wind speed estimation based on weather data. Turkish J. Elect. Eng. Comput. Sci. 20, 335–346 (2012)
Lin, W.-M., Hong, C.-M.: A new elman neural network-based control algorithm for adjustable-pitch variable-speed wind-energy conversion systems. IEEE Trans. Power Electron. 26, 473–481 (2011)
Musyafa, A., Cholifah, B., Dharma, A., Robandi, I.: Local short term wind speed prediction in the region Nganjuk City (East Java) using neural network. In: Local Short Term Wind Speed Prediction in the Region Nganjuk City (East Java) Using Neural Network (2013)
Philippopoulos, K., Deligiorgi, D., Kouroupetroglou, G.: Artificial neural network modeling of relative humidity and air temperature spatial and temporal distributions over complex terrains. In: Pattern Recognition Applications and Methods, ed, pp. 171–187, Springer, New York (2015)
Mohandes, M., Balghonaim, A., Kassas, M., Rehman, S., Halawani, T.: Use of radial basis functions for estimating monthly mean daily solar radiation. Solar Energy 68, 161–168 (2000)
Madić, M., Radovanović, M.: An artificial intelligence approach for the prediction of surface roughness in \({\rm CO}_2\) laser cutting. J. Eng. Sci. Technol. 7, 679–689 (2012)
Ramachandra, T., Shruthi, B.: Wind energy potential mapping in Karnataka, India, Using GIS. Energy Convers. Manag. 46, 1561–1578 (2005)
Bui, T.Q., Nguyen, T.N., Nguyen-Dang, H.: A moving kriging interpolation-based meshless method for numerical simulation of Kirchhoff plate problems. Int. J. Num. Methods Eng. 77, 1371–1395 (2009)
Acknowledgments
The authors duly thanked the support of Universiti Malaysia Sarawak (UNIMAS) who has supported the data used in the research.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2016 Springer Science+Business Media Singapore
About this paper
Cite this paper
Lawan, S.M., Abidin, W.A.W.Z., Lawan, S., Lawan, A.M. (2016). An Artificial Intelligence Strategy for the Prediction of Wind Speed and Direction in Sarawak for Wind Energy Mapping. In: Kılıçman, A., Srivastava, H., Mursaleen, M., Abdul Majid, Z. (eds) Recent Advances in Mathematical Sciences. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-10-0519-0_7
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-10-0519-0_7
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Singapore
Print ISBN: 978-981-10-0517-6
Online ISBN: 978-981-10-0519-0
eBook Packages: Mathematics and StatisticsMathematics and Statistics (R0)