Summary
Using a coupled one-dimensional atmospheric model -- consisting of a narrow-band radiative-convective calculation of the vertical temperature profile plus a complete photochemical code to determine trace gas concentrations -- we estimate the potential effects on atmospheric ozone of a continuation through the middle of the next century of presently observed trace gas concentration changes. A “Base Case” scenario projecting presently observed trends forward in time gives a calculated ozone increase of about +3% by the year 2050. The effect of the individual species is estimated by a new “subtractive perturbation” approach.
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© 1985 ECSC, EEC, EAEC, Brussels and Luxembourg
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Owens, A.J., Hales, C.H., Filkin, D.L., Miller, C., Mc Farland, M. (1985). Multiple Scenario Ozone Change Calculations: The Subtractive Perturbation Approach. In: Zerefos, C.S., Ghazi, A. (eds) Atmospheric Ozone. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-009-5313-0_17
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-009-5313-0_17
Publisher Name: Springer, Dordrecht
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