Abstract
Rainfall series and their corresponding extreme event processes are analysed in order to study the evolution of their mean value and variability. Two statistical approaches are used, one based on the analysis of the entire time series and the other on modelling the extreme event process. The performance of two precipitation indices, SPI and percentiles, has been compared using long, medium and short time scales. We present the results corresponding to Huesca and Murcia rainfall records, two markedly different locations in Spain.
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Cebrián, A.C., 1999: Análisis, modelización y predicción de episodios de sequía. Ph.D. Thesis. Universidad de Zaragoza, 203 pp.
Davison, A.C. and Smith, R. L., 1990: Models for exceedances over high thresholds. J. R. Statist. Soc. B 52, 3, 393–442.
Embrechts, P., Kluppelberg, C. and Mikosch, T., 1997: Modelling extremal events. Springer, Berlin Heidelberg, 645 pp.
Gruza, G., Rankova, E., Razuvaev, V. and Bulygina, O., 1999: Indicators of climate change for the Russian federation. Climatic Change 42, 219–242.
Karl, T. R. and Knight, R.W., 1998: Secular trends of precipitation amount, frequency and intensity in the United States. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. 79, 231–242.
McKee, T.B., Doesken, N.J. and Kleist, J., 1993: The relationship of drought frequency and duration to time scales. Preprints, 8th Conference on Applied Climatology, Anaheim, CA, 179–84.
Plummer, N. et al., 1999: Changes in climate extremes over the Australian region and New Zealand during the twentieth century. Climatic Change 42, 183–202.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2001 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Abaurrea, J., Cebrián, A.C. (2001). Trend and Variability Analysis of Rainfall Series and their Extreme Events. In: India, M.B., Bonillo, D.L. (eds) Detecting and Modelling Regional Climate Change. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-04313-4_17
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-04313-4_17
Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
Print ISBN: 978-3-642-07594-0
Online ISBN: 978-3-662-04313-4
eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive