Abstract
This chapter analyzes the circumstances and events that contributed to the loss of 23 000 lives in the 1985 Nevado del Ruiz catastrophe, providing useful guidelines for the management of future volcano emergencies. The presentation is organized into two principal sections. The first is a condensed chronicle of events and actions taken from November 1984 through to November 1985 that provides the background for the crucial events of November 13. In the second section, factors are evaluated that influenced the catastrophic outcome, and lessons are identified to avoid similar future occurrences.
In hindsight, the government on the whole acted sluggishly, although with vigor after September; but it was not willing to bear the economic or political costs of early evacuation or a false alarm. Scientific studies foresaw the hazards — including the recognition that several towns were in the “wrong place”, vulnerable to lahars generated by eruption-induced snowmelt — but were insufficiently precise to prompt reliable warning of the crucial event before the last possible minute. Catastrophe was therefore the calculated risk, and this combination — the limitations of prediction/ detection, the underadvised and inadequately prepared local authorities, the unprepared populace, the refusal to accept a possible false alarm, and the lack of will to act on the uncertain information available — provided its immediate and most obvious causes. The crucial event occurred just two days before the Armero emergency-management plan was to be critically examined and improved. The numeroes misjudgments which delayed progress of emergency management over the previous year — especially the lack of a timely hazard map — contributed significantly to the tragic outcome. Thus, the catastrophe was not caused by technological ineffectiveness or defectiveness, nor by an overwhelming eruption or an improbable run of bad luck, but rather by cumulative human error.
The main lessons are that hazard assessments and maps should be prepared well in advance of volcanic crises, the most vulnerable communities should be identified and reliable mitigation measures (including thorough public education and a tested warning system) should be undertaken at a very early stage, and emergency management must confront in advance the issues of risk communication, uncertainty, and false alarms so that decision making is not delayed and rapid public response may occur during times of crisis.
“One learns more from defeat than from victory.”
— Samuel Eliot Morison (1963, p. 187)
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Acosta J (1846) Relation de l’éruption boueuse sortie du volcan de Ruiz et de la catastrophe de Lagunilla dans la République de Nouvelle Grenade. CR Acad Sci 22: 709–710
Acosta J (1850) Sur les montagnes de Ruiz et de Tolima (Nouvelle Granada) et les éruptions boueuses de la Magdalena (Lettres à M. Elie de Beaumont). Bull Soc Geol Fr Ser II, 9: 489–496
Banks NG (1986) Hazard mitigation and rapid response to crises with mobile volcanic observatories (abstr.). EOS Trans Am Geophys Union 67 (16): 398
Banks NG, Van der Laat, R, Carvajal C, Serano, T (1986) Deformation monitoring at Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia (Abstr.). EOS Trans Am Geophys Union 67(16): 403
Banks NG, Carvajal C, Mora H, Tryggvason E (1990) Deformation monitoring at Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia October 1985-March 1988. In: Williams SN (ed) Nevado del Ruiz Volcano, Colombia. J Volcanol Geotherm Res 41: 269–296
Barberi F, Martini M, Rosi M (1985) Informe de la misión tecnica para la evaluacion del riesgo volcánico del Nevado del Ruiz-Cordillera Central-Colombia. Manizales 22 Octubre 1985. Ministero degli Affari Esteri-Italia-Dipartimento Cooperazione per lo Sviluppo, Roma 18 pp
Barberi F, Martini M, Rosi M (1990) Nevado del Ruiz volcano (Colombia): pre-eruption observations and the November 13, 1985 catastrophic event. In: Williams SN (ed), Nevado del Ruiz Volcano, Colombia. J Volcanol Geotherm Res 41: 1–12
Calvache ML (1986) The eruption of the Nevado del Ruiz volcano, Colombia (abst.). EOS Trans Am Geophys Union 67 (16): 405
Calvache ML (1990) Pyroclastic deposits of the November 13, 1985 eruption of Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia. In: Williams SN (ed), Nevado del Ruiz Volcano, Colombia. J Volcanol Geotherm Res 41: 67–78
Calvache ML, Duque G, Garcia N, Salazar JE, Salazar B (1985) Memorias del Seminario Sobre Riesgo Voleánico del Ruiz: Nat Univ Manizales Rev Vias y Transport 12(53): 114 pp
Cepeda H, Michael J, Murcia A, Parra E, Salinas R, Vergara H (1985a) Mapa Preliminar de Riesgos Volcánicos Potenciales del Volcan Nevado del Ruiz. Esc. 1:50 000. Memoria Ex-plicativa. INGEOMINAS Medellin Oct 7, 1985, 22 pp
Cepeda H, Michael J, Murcia A, Parra E, Salinas R, Vergara H (1985b) Mapa de Riesgos Volcanicos Potenciales del Nevado del Ruiz. Exc. 1:100000. Memoria Explicativa. INGEOMINAS Medellin Nov 12, 1985, 28 pp
Cepeda H, Michael J, Murcia A, Parra E, Salinas R, Vergara H (1986) Volcano risk potential maps of Nevado del Ruiz, Volcano, Colombia (abstr.) EOS Trans Am Geophys Union 67 (16): 407
CHEC (Centrol Hidro-Eléctrica de Caldas) (1983) Investigación Geotérmica. Macizo Voleánico del Ruiz, Fase II Etapa A Vol. I-X. Min Energiá y Minas, Bogotá (in Spanish)
Chester D (1993) Volcanoes and Society. Edward Arnold, London, 351 pp
Cuéllar J, Solano A (1985) Informe Preliminar de las actividades desarrolladas, INGEOMINAS, Bogotá, October 1985, 19 pp
Decker RW (1986) Ruiz Volcano, Colombia: trip report, February-March 1986. US Geol Surv, Menlo Park, 45 pp (unpublished)
Decker RW, Decker B (1981) Volcanoes. Freeman, San Francisco, 244 pp
DeMarchi B (1993) Effective communication between the scientific community and the media. In: Nemec J, Nigg JM, Siccardi F (eds) Prediction and Perception of Natural Hazards. Kluwer, Dordrecht, pp 183–191
Dombrowsky WR (1993) The social dimensions of warning and the transition from folk wisdom to laymanship. In: Nemec J, Nigg JM, Siccardi F (eds) Prediction and Perception of Natural Hazards. Kluwer, Dordrecht, pp 23–28
Dymon UJ, Winter NL (1993) Evacuation mapping: the utility of guidelines. Disasters 17(1): 12–24
Espinosa A (1986) Notas sobre la Acitividad Histórica del Volcán Nevado del Ruiz. INGEOMINAS, Cali, 17 pp
Fiske RS (1984) Volcanologists, journalists, and the concerned local public: A tale of two crises in the eastern Caribbean. In: Explosive Volcanism: Inception, Evolution, and Hazards. Geophys Study Committee, National Research Council, National Academy Press, Washington, pp 170–176
Francis P (1993) Volcanoes. Oxford University Press, Oxford
Giesecke A, Anzola P, Fernàndez B., Gonzàlez-Ferrán O, Hall M, Podestá B, Rodriguez A, Sarria A (1990) Riesgo Volcánico. Evaluation y Mitigación en America Latina. (Aspectos sociales, institucionales y cientificos. Centro Regional de Sismologia para América del sur-CERESIS [Apartado Postal 14–0363], Lima, Perú, 288 pp
Gil CF, Myer HJ, Chouet B, and Harlow D (1987) Observations of long-period events and tremors at Nevado del Ruiz Volcano 1985–1986. Hawaii Symp on How Volcanoes Work. Abstr Vol, Hawaiian Volcano Observatory, Hilo, Hawaii, Jan 19–25, p. 90
Gueri M, Perez LJ (1986) Medical aspects of the “El Ruiz” avalanche disaster, Colombia. Disasters 10: 150–157
Hall ML (1985) Activities and conclusions of visit by Dr. M. Hall to Volcán Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia. Instituto Geofisco, Escuela Politécnica Nacional, Quito, 4 pp. (Mission report; English and Spanish versions with subtle differences)
Hall ML (1990) Chronology of the principal events before the eruption of November 13, 1985. In: Williams SN (ed) Nevado del Ruiz, Volcano, Colombia. J. Volcanol Geotherm Res 41: 101–115
Hall ML (1992) The 1985 Nevado del Ruiz eruption: scientific, social, and governmental responses and interaction before the event. In: McCall GJH, Laming DJC, Scott SC, Geohazards:natural and man-made. Chapman and Hall, London, pp 43–52
Harlow DH, Munoz C, Cuellar J (1986) Seismic activity preceding the 13 November 1985 eruption of Ruiz volcano, Colombia (Abstr) EOS Trans Am Geophys Union 67 (16): 403
Herd G (1982) Glacial and volcanic geology of the Ruiz-Tolima complex, Cordillera Central, Colombia. Publ Geol Espec INGEOMINAS No 8, Bogotá, 48 pp
Herd G, Comité de Estudios Vulcanológicos (1986) The 1985 volcano disaster. EOS Trans Am Geophys Union 67 (19): 457–460
Hermelin M, Velásquez A, Bustamente M (1986) Aspectos históricos de eruptiones en el Volcan Nevado del Ruiz. Bol Vias 13 (56): 37 pp
Hess J (1987) Report from Washington. GSA news and information. Geol Soc Am, Boulder, Nov, p 248
Janda RJ, Banks NG, Pierson TC, Calvache ML, Thouret JC (1986) Interaction between ice and pyroclastic sediments erupted during the 13 November 1985 eruption of Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia (Abstr) EOS Trans Am Geophys Union 67 (16): 406
Katsui Y, Takahashi T, Egashira S, Kawachi S, Watanabe H (1986) The 1985 eruption of Nevado del Ruiz volcano, Colombia, and associated mudflow disaster. Report of Natural Disaster Scientific Research, no B-60–7 (Japan Ministry of Education): 61–91
Khan MI (1991) The impact of local elites on disater preparedness planning: the location of flood shelters in northern Bangladesh. Disasters 15(4): 340–354
Lima BR, Santa Cruz H, Lozzano J, Luna J (1988) Planning for health/mental health integration in emergencies. In: Lystad M, (ed), Mental health responses to mass emergencies. Brunner and Mazel, New York, pp 371–393
Martinelli B (1990) Analysis of seismic patterns observed at Nevado del Ruiz volcano, Colombia, during August-September 1985. In: Williams SN (ed) Nevado del Ruiz Volcano, Colombia. J Volcanol Geotherm Res 41: 297–314
Martinelli B (1991) Understanding triggering mechanisms of volcanoes for hazard evaluation. Episodes 14(1): 19–25
Medina JP (1986) The organization of the group to monitor volcano Nevado del Ruiz in Colombia (abstr.) EOS Trans Am Geophys Union 67 (16): 403
Mileti DS (1993) Communicating public earthquake risk information. In: Nemec J, Nigg JM, Siccardi F (eds) Prediction and perception of natural hazards. Kluwer, Dordrecht, pp. 144 – 152
Mileti DS, Fitzpatrick C (1991) Communication of public risk: its theory and its application. Sociological Practice Rev 2(1): 20–28
Mileti DS, Sorenson JH (1988) Planning and implementing warning systems. In: Lystad, M (ed), Mental health response to mass emergencies. Brunner-Mazel, New York, pp 321–345
Mileti DS, Bolton PA, Fernandez G, Updike RG (1986) Recommendations for improving the existing warning system for an impending eruption of the Nevado del Ruiz volcano, Colombia, S.A.: an advance report. Committee on Natural Disasters, National Academy Press, Washington, 10 pp
Mileti DS, Bolton PA, Fernandez G, Updike RG (1991) The eruption of Nevado del Ruiz Volcano, Colombia, South America. Natural Disasters Studies, vol 4, National Academy Press, Washington, 109 pp (based on information available in 1986)
Miller CD, Mullineaux DR, Hall ML (1978) Reconnaissance map of potential volcanic hazards from Cotopaxi Volcano, Ecuador. Scale 1:100 000. US Geol Surv Misc Invest, Reston, Map I-1072
Miller CD, Ewert JW, Lockhart AB (1993) The USGS/USAID volcano disaster assistance program: the next five years. US Geol Surv Open File Rep 93–379, Reston, 7 pp
Mojica J, Colmenares F, Villarroel C, Macia C, Moreno M (1986) Characteristicas del flujo de lodo ocurrido el 13 de Noviembre de 1985 en el valle de Armero (Tolima, Colombia): Historia y comentarios de los flujos de 1595 y 1845. Geol Colomb 14: 107–140
Morchio R (1993) The effect of the uncertainties in natural hazard prediction in the user communities. In: Nemec J, Nigg JM, Siccardi F (eds.) Prediction and perception of natural hazards. Kluwer, Dordrecht, pp 39–47
Morison SE (1963) The two-ocean war. A short history of the United States Navy in the Second World War. Atlantic Monthly Press. Little, Brown Boston, 611 pp
Munoz F, Meyer H -J (1987) Seismic activity preceding the 13 November 1985 eruption at Nevado del Ruiz. Hawaii Symp on How volcanoes work. Abstr vol Hawaiian Volcano Observatory, Hilo, Hawaii, Jan 19–25
Munoz F, Meyer H-J, Harlow D (1987) Seismic activity preceding the 13 November 1985 eruption of Ruiz volcano, Colombia. Hawaii Symp on How volcanoes work. Abstr Vol Hawaiian Volcano Observatory, Hilo, Hawaii, Jan 19–25: 185
Munoz CF, Nieto EA, Meyer HJ (1990) Analysis of swarms of high-frequency seismic events at Nevado del Ruiz volcano, Colombia (January 1986-August 1987). In: Williams, SN (ed) Nevado del Ruiz Volcano, Colombia. J Volcanol Geotherm Res 41: 327–354
Naranjo JL, Sigurdsson H, Crey SN, Fritz W (1986) Eruption of the Nevado del Ruiz Volcano, Colombia, on 13 November 1985: tephra fall and lahars. Science 233, 4767:961–963
Nemec J, Nigg JM, Siccardi F (eds.) (1993) Prediction and perception of natural hazards. Kluwer, Dordrecht: 226 p
Nieto EAH, Brandsdottir B, Munoz CF (1990) Seismicity associated with the reactivation of Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia, July 1985-December 1986. In: Williams SN (ed), Nevado del Ruiz Volcano, Colombia. J Volcanol Geotherm Res 41: 315–326
Parra E, Cepeda H (1990) Volcanic hazard maps of the Nevado del Ruiz volcano, Colombia. In: Williams SN (ed) Nevado del Ruiz Volcano, Colombia. J Volcanol Geotherm Res 41: 117–128
Perry RW, Lindell M K, Green MR (1981) Evacuation planning in emergency management. Lexington Books, Lexington, MA
Petak WJ, Atkisson AA (1982) Natural hazard risk assessment and public policy. Springer, Berlin Heidelberg New York
Peterson DW (1986) Volcanoes: tectonic setting and impact on society. In: Active tectonics. National Academy Press, Washington, pp 231–245
Peterson DW (1988) Volcano hazards and public response. J Geophys Res 93: 4161–70
Peterson DW, Tilling RI (1993) Interactions between scientists, civil authorities and the public at hazardous volcanoes In: Kilburn CRJ, Luongo G (eds.) Active lavas. UCL Press, London, pp 339–365
Pierson TC, Janda RJ, Thouret J-C, Borrero CA (1990) Origin, flow behavior, and deposition of eruption-triggered lahars on 13 November 1986, Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia. In: Williams, SN (ed) Nevado del Ruiz Volcano, Colombia. J Volcanol Geotherm Res 41: 17–66
Pinatubo Volcano Observatory Team (1991) Lessons from a major eruption: Mt. Pinatubo, Philippines. EOS Trans Am Geophys Union 72 (49): 545–555
Podesta B, Giesecke M (1990) El Nevado el Ruiz y el Riesgo Volcanico en America Latina. Centre Regional de Sismologia para América del sur-CERESIS, Lima, Peru, 50 pp. (Executive Summary of Giesecke et al. 1990)
Quarantelli EL (1993) The different worlds of science and mass communication: implications for information flow from the former to the latter. In: Nemec J, Nigg JM, Siccardi F (eds) Prediction and perception of natural Hazards. Kluwer, Dordrecht, pp 175–182
Rattien S (1990) The role of media in hazard mitigation disaster management. Disasters 14(1): 36 – 45
Rojas R, Correro CA (1986) Velocidad, descarga maxima y volumen del lahar del Rio Chinchiná, 13 Noviembre 1985. In: Proc Simposio Internacional sobre Neotectonica y Riesgos Volcanicos, Bogotá, Colombia, Diciembre 1–7, 1986
SEAN (1985) Ruiz volcano, Colombia: Smithsonian Institution. SEAN Bull 10 (11): 2–5
Sigurdsson H, Carey S, Palais JM, Devine J (1990) Pre-eruption compositional gradients and mixing of andesite and dacite magmas erupted from Nevado del Ruiz volcano, Colombia in 1985, In: Williams SN (ed), Nevado del Ruiz Volcano, Colombia. J Volcanol Geotherm Res 341: 127–152
Simon P (1625) Noticias Historiales de las Conquistas de Tierra Firme en las Indias Occidentales. Casa Editorial de Medardo Rios, Bogotá, 376 pp (1892)
Singer E, Entreny P M (1993) Reporting on risk: how the mass media portray accidents, diseases, disasters and other hazards. Russell Sage Foundation, New York, 288 p
Smith PJ (1990) Redefining decision: implications for managing risk and uncertainty. Disasters 14(3): 230–240
Sorensen JH and Mileti, DS (1987) Public warning needs. US Geol Surv Open File Rep 87 – 269, 9–75
Thouret J-C, Murcia LA, Salinas R, Perignon NV, Cantagrel JM (1985) Cronoestratigrafia med-iante dataciones K-AR y C-14 de los volcanoes Compuestos del Complejo Ruiz-Tolima y aspectos volcanoestructurales de Nevado del Ruiz (Cordillera Central, Colombia). Mem VI Congr Latinoamericano del Geol, Bogotá, Tom 1: 385–454
Thouret J-C, Janda RJ, Pierson TC, Calvache ML, Cendrero A (1987) L’eruption du 13 Novembre 1985 au Nevado El Ruiz (Cordillere Centrale, Colombie); interactions entre le dynamisme eruptif, la fusion glaciaire et la genese d’ecoulements volcano-glaciaires. C R Acad Sci ser II 305: 505–509
Thouret J-C (1990) Effects of the November 13, 1985 eruption on the Snow Pack and ice cap of Nevado del Ruiz Volcano, Colombia. J Volcanol Geotherm Res 341: 177–202
Tilling RI (1989) Volcanic hazards and their mitigation: progress and problems. Rev Geophys 27 (2): 237–269
Tomblin J (1985a) Report of a mission from 25 Sept-2 Oct. 1985. UNDRO, Geneva, 9 October, 5 pp and 6 Annexes
Tomblin J (1985b) Ruiz — A sleeping giant awakes. UNDRO News Office of the United Nations Disaster Relief Coordinator, Geneva, Nov/Dec, 1985 7 pp
Tomblin J (1988) UNDRO’s role in responding to volcanic emergencies. UNDRO News Office of the United Nations Disaster Relief Coordinator, Geneva, March/April 1988, 7–10
UNDRO (1985) Volcano emergency management. Office of the United Nations Disaster Relief Coordinator, United Nations, New York, 86 pp
Van der Laat R (1985) Informe de la misión técnica para la implementación de estudios de deformación del Volcán Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia. Unpubl Informe del Observatorio Vulcanológico y Seismológico de Costa Rica,.Univ Nacional Heredia, 23 pp and 15 pp Anexo
Velasquez A, Hermelin M, Bustamente M (1986) Activated del Volcan Nevado del Ruiz en épocas historicas. Bol Vias 13 (59): 20 pp
Voight B (1986) Gravitational failure hazards, Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia-Misson from 30 January to 16 February 1986. Comité de Estudios Vulcanológicos, Manizales 20 pp.
Voight B (1988) Countdown to catastrophe. Earth Miner Sci 57(2): 17–30
Voight B (1990) The 1985 Nevado del Ruiz volcano catastrophe: anatomy and retrospection. J Volcanol Geotherm Res 44: 349–386
Voight B, Calvache ML, Ospina HO (1986) Is the Arenas crater at Nevado del Ruiz endangered by gravitational slope collapse? EOS Trans Am Geophys Union 67(16): 406
Voight B, Calvache ML, Ospina Herrera O (1987) High-altitude monitoring of rock mass stability near the summit of Volcano Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia. Proc 6th Cong Int Soc for Rock Mechanics p 275
Waitt RB, Jr, Pierson TC, McLeod NS, Janda RJ, Voight B, Holcomb RT (1983) Eruptiontriggered avalanche, flood, and lava at Mount St. Helens — effects of winter snowpack. Science 221(4618): 1394–1396
Williams SN (ed) (1990) Nevado del Ruiz Volcano, Colombia. J Volcanol Geotherm Res Spec Issue 1:41 (1–4): 1–379; 11:42 (1): 1–224
Wolf T (1878) Der Cotopaxi und seine letzte Eruption am 26 Juni 1877. N Jahrb Mineral Geol Paleontol, pp 113–167
Zollweg JE (1990) Seismicity following the 1985 eruption of Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia. In: Williams (ed) Nevado del Ruiz Volcano, Colombia. J. Volcanol. Geotherm Res 41: 355–368.
Zollweg JE, Harlow DH, White RA, Norris RD, Guendel F (1986) Post-eruption seismicity at Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia: implications of the reservoir system and continued activity. EOS Trans Am Geophys Union 67(16): 406
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 1996 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Voight, B. (1996). The Management of Volcano Emergencies: Nevado del Ruiz. In: Monitoring and Mitigation of Volcano Hazards. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-80087-0_22
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-80087-0_22
Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
Print ISBN: 978-3-642-80089-4
Online ISBN: 978-3-642-80087-0
eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive