Abstract
A more volatile and uncertain world today puts a premium on companies possessing foresight capabilities [e.g. 1]. As the industry at the center of globalisation, logistics is especially vulnerable, yet its efforts on strategic foresight is lagging behind compared to other industries – not at least due to the large prevalence of small- and medium-sized enterprises (SME). As part of the Leading-edge Cluster Logistics and under the guiding topic of “Activating Cluster Potentials” the joint research project Competitiveness Monitor (CoMo) addresses this challenge. The result of the project will be the prototype of a collaborative online platform that combines three innovative supporting tools for futures-oriented decision-making in a foresight support system [cf. 2]. The project first underwent a rigorous multi-method requirement analysis. After project-internal workshops according to the “Volere Requirement Specification Template” we additionally surveyed the 130 cluster partners concerning their expectations and implemented a world-wide real-time Delphi study among approximately 1,000 futurists, thought leaders and foresight experts about the future role of information and communication technology (ICT) for foresight. At the moment the project is progressing according to plan, with two of the prototype applications already in programming.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Rohrbeck, R.: Corporate Foresight: Towards a Maturity Model for the Future Orientation of a Firm. Springer, Heidelberg (2010)
Banuls, V.A., Salmeron, J.L.: Scope and design issues in foresight support systems. International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy 7(4), 338–351 (2011)
Ballou, R.H.: The evolution and future of logistics and supply chain management. European Business Review 19(4), 248–332 (2007)
The Council of Supply Chain Management Professionals: Supply Chain Management and Logistics Management Definitions (2011), http://cscmp.org/aboutcscmp/definitions.asp (February 14, 2012)
Yeung, A.C.L.: Strategic Supply Management, quality initiatives, and organizational performance. Journal of Operations Management 26(4), 490–502 (2008)
Qi, Y., Boyer, K.K., et al.: Supply Chain Strategy, Product Characteristics, and Performance Impact: Evidence from Chinese Manufacturers. Decision Sciences 40(4), 667–695 (2009)
Frankel, J.A., Rose, A.K.: The Endogeneity of the Optimum Currency Area Criteria. Economic Journal 108(449), 1009–1025 (1998)
Inklaar, R., Jong-A-Pin, R., Haan, J.D.: Trade and Business Cycle Synchronization in OECD Countries: A Re-examination. CESIfo Working Paper No. 1546 (2005)
Meixell, M.J., Gargeya, V.B.: Global supply chain design: A literature review and critique. Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review 41(6), 531–550 (2005)
Bhatnagar, R., Teo, C.-C.: Role of logistics in enhancing competitive advantage: A value chain framework for global supply chains. International Journal of Physical Distribution & Logistics Management 39, 202–226 (2009)
Jain, V., Benyoucef, L.: Managing long supply chain networks: some emerging issues and challenges. Journal of Manufacturing Technology Management, 2008 19(4), 469–496 (2008)
Dominic, P.D.D., et al.: The importance of service quality for competitive advantage – with special reference to industrial product. International Journal of Business Information Systems 6(3), 378–397 (2010)
Gunasekaran, A., Lai, K.-H., Edwin Cheng, T.C.: Responsive supply chain: A competitive strategy in a networked economy. Omega 36(4), 549–564 (2008)
Ruske, K.-D., et al.: Transportation & Logistics 2030 – Emerging Markets – New hubs, new spokes, new industry leaders?, vol. 3. PricewaterhouseCoopers, Duesseldorf (2010b)
Ruske, K.-D., et al.: Transportation and Logistics 2030 – Transport infrastructure — Engine or hand brake for global supply chains?, vol. 2. PricewaterhouseCoopers, Duesseldorf (2010a)
Ruske, K.-D., et al.: Transportation and Logistics 2030 – How will supply chains evolve in an energy-constrained, low-carbon world?, vol. 1. PricewaterhouseCoopers, Duesseldorf (2009)
Beamon, B.M.: Sustainability and the Future of Supply Chain Management. Operations and Supply Chain Management 1(1), 4–18 (2008)
Duncan, R.B.: Characteristics of Organizational Environments and Perceived Environmental Uncertainty. Administrative Science Quarterly 17(3), 313–327 (1972)
Jung, K.-P., Nowitzky, I.: Das besondere Risikopotential in der Logistik. In: Hector, B. (ed.) Risikomanagement in der Logistik, Deutscher Verkehrs-Verlag, Hamburg (2006)
Chapman, R.L., Soosay, C., Kandampully, J.: Innovation in logistic services and the new business model: A conceptual framework. International Journal of Physical Distribution & Logistics Management 33(7), 630–650 (2003)
Yazdanparast, A., Manuj, I., Swartz, S.M.: Co-creating logistics value: a service-dominant logic perspective. The International Journal of Logistics Management 21(3), 375–403 (2010)
Hines, A.: A practitioner’s view of the future of futures studies. Futures 34, 337–347 (2002)
von der Gracht, H.A., Vennemann, R., Darkow, I.-L.: Corporate Foresight and Innovation Management: A Portfolio-Approach in Evaluating Organizational Development. Futures - The Journal of Policy, Planning and Futures Studies 42(4), 380–393 (2010)
Singh, M.: A Review of the Leading Opinions on the Future of Supply Chains, Supply Chain 2020 Project Working Paper (2004)
Sodhi, M.S.: How to do strategic supply-chain planning. MIT Sloan Management Review 45, 69–75 (2003)
Deep, A., Dani, S.: Scenario Planning in Supply Chain Risk Management. In: The 10th International Research Seminar on Supply Chain Risk Management, Logistics and Supply Chain Futures Research Unit. Loughborough University, Loughborough (2010)
Klement, K.: Entstehung von Innovationsideen im eigenen Unternehmen aus der Perspektive eines Logistikdienstleisters. In: Pfohl, H.-C. (ed.) Innovationsmanagement in der Logistik. Gestaltungsansätze und praktische Umsetzung, pp. 210–226. Deutscher Verkehrs-Verlag, Hamburg (2007)
Robertson, S., Robertson, J.: Volere Requirements Specification Template. Atlantic Systems Guild Limited (2010)
Robertson, S., Robertson, J.: Mastering the Requirements Process, 2nd edn. Addison-Wesley Professional, Amsterdam (2006)
Rowe, G., Wright, G.: Expert Opinions in Forecasting: The Role of the Delphi Technique. In: Armstrong, J.S. (ed.) Principles of Forecasting: A Handbook for Researchers and Practitioners, pp. 125–144. Kluwer Academic Publishers, Boston (2001)
Linstone, H.A., Turoff, M.: Delphi: A brief look backward and forward. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 78(9), 1712–1719 (2011)
Gnatzy, T., et al.: Validating an innovative real-time Delphi approach - A methodological comparison between real-time and conventional Delphi studies. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 78(9), 1681–1694 (2011)
Surowiecki, J.: The Wisdom of Crowds: Why the Many Are Smarter Than the Few and How Collective Wisdom Shapes Business, Economies, Societies, and Nations. Doubleday, New York (2004)
Cuhls, K.: From Forecasting to Foresight Processes–New Participative Foresight Activities in Germany. Journal of Forecasting 22(2-3), 93–111 (2003)
Cuhls, K.: Participative foresight–how to involve stakeholders in the modelling process. In: Future Directions of Innovation Policy in Europe, Proceedings of the Innovation Policy Workshop. European Commission, Brussels (2002)
Kane, G.C., Fichman, R.G.: The shoemaker’s children: Using wikis for information systems teaching, research, and publication. MIS Quarterly 33(1), 1–17 (2009)
Jungk, R., Muellert, N.: Future workshops: How to Create Desirable Futures. Institute for Social Inventions, London (1988)
von der Gracht, H.A., Darkow, I.-L.: Scenarios for the logistics services industry: A Delphi-based analysis for 2025. International Journal of Production Economics 127, 46–59 (2010)
De Laat, B.: Conditions for effectiveness of roadmapping: A cross-sectional analysis of 80 different roadmapping exercises. In: Proceedings of the EU-US Scientific Seminar: New Technology Foresight, Forecasting & Assessment Methods, European Commission DG JRC-IPTS, Seville (2004)
Quist, J., Vergragt, P.: Past and future of backcasting: The shift to stakeholder participation and a proposal for a methodological framework. Futures 38(9), 1027–1045 (2006)
Höjer, M., Gullberg, A., Pettersson, R.: Backcasting images of the future city—Time and space for sustainable development in Stockholm. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 78(5), 819–834 (2011)
Nijs, D.E.L.W.: Imagineering: Towards a design approach to transform the enterprise logic. White paper in the context of the PhD-study under supervision of Prof. dr. ir. J.M.L. van Engelen, University of Groningen, Faculty Economy and Business Administration, Innovation Management and Strategy, Groningen, The Netherlands (2009)
Ho, T.-H., Chen, K.-Y.: New Product Blockbusters: The Magic and Science of Prediction Markets. California Management Review 50(1), 144–158 (2007)
Hayek, F.A.: The Use of Knowledge in Society. American Economic Review 35(4), 519 (1945)
Servan-Schreiber, E., et al.: Prediction Markets: Does Money Matter? Electronic Markets 14(3), 243–251 (2004)
Hanson, R.: Combinatory information market design. Information Systems Frontiers 5(1), 107–119 (2003)
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2013 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Markmann, C. et al. (2013). The Competitiveness Monitor as an Innovative Foresight Support System for Mobility, Logistics and Beyond. In: Clausen, U., ten Hompel, M., Klumpp, M. (eds) Efficiency and Logistics. Lecture Notes in Logistics. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-32838-1_4
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-32838-1_4
Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
Print ISBN: 978-3-642-32837-4
Online ISBN: 978-3-642-32838-1
eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)