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Modelling the Australian Electricity Spot Prices: A VAR-BEKK Approach

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Abstract

This paper investigates the transmission of spot electricity prices and price volatility among the five Australian regional electricity markets. In particular, VAR(k)-BEKK(p, q) models with optimized lag lengths and different distributional assumptions are analysed. Empirical results suggest that a VAR(3)-BEKK(1,2) under Student-t assumption can better describe the complex dynamics between the markets.

The views expressed in the article are those of the authors and do not involve the responsibility of SOSE Soluzioni per il Sistema Economico S.p.A.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    For a deep understanding of the BEKK-type specifications refer to [2].

  2. 2.

    The dummy γ t assumes value one if day t is a public holiday or a weekend and value zero otherwise.

References

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Correspondence to Davide De Gaetano .

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Braione, M., Gaetano, D.D. (2018). Modelling the Australian Electricity Spot Prices: A VAR-BEKK Approach. In: Corazza, M., Durbán, M., Grané, A., Perna, C., Sibillo, M. (eds) Mathematical and Statistical Methods for Actuarial Sciences and Finance. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-89824-7_35

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