Abstract
A data mining process we name Deep Candlestick Mining (DCM) is developed using Randomised Decision Trees, Long Short Term Memory Recurrent Neural Networks and k-means++, and is shown to discover candlestick patterns significantly outperforming traditional ones. A test for the predictive ability of novel versus traditional candlestick patterns is devised using all significant candlestick patterns within the traditional or deep mined categories. The deep mined candlestick system demonstrates a remarkable ability to outperform the traditional system by 75.2% and 92.6% on the German Bund 10-year futures contract and EURUSD hourly data.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Notes
- 1.
2 Crows; 3 Black Crows; 3 Inside; 3 Line Strike; 3 Outside; 3 Stars in South; 3 White Soldiers; Abandoned Baby; Advance Block; Belt Hold; Break Away; Closing Marubozu; Conceal Baby Swell; Counter Attack; Dark Cloud Cover; Down Side Gap 3 Methods; Downside Gap 2 Crows; Engulfing; Evening Star; Gap Side White; Hammer; Hanging Man; Harami; High Wave; Hikkake; Hikkake Mod; Homing Pigeon; Identical 3 Crows; In Neck; Inverted Hammer; Ladder Bottom; Long Line; Marubozu; Mat Hold; Matching Low; Morning Star; Piercing; Rise Fall 3 Methods; Separating Lines; Shooting Star; Short Line; Spinning Top; Stalled Pattern; Stick Sandwich; Takuri; Tasuki Gap; Thrusting; Tri Star; Unique 3 River.
References
Marshall, B., Young, M., Rose, L.: Candlestick technical trading strategies: Can they create value for investors? J. Bank. Finance 30, 2303–2323 (2005)
Horton, M.: Stars, crows, and doji: The use of candlesticks in stock selection. Q. Rev. Econ. Finance 49, 283–294 (2009)
Fock, J., Klein, C., Zwergel, B.: Performance of candlestick analysis on intraday futures data. J. Deriv. 13(1), 28–40 (2005)
Lu, T.: The profitability of candlestick charting in the Taiwan stock market. Pac.-Basin Financial J. 26, 65–78 (2014)
Geurts, P., Ernst, D., Wehenkel, L.: Extremely randomized trees. Mach. Learn. 63, 3–42 (2006)
Hochreiter, S., Schmidhuber, J.: Long short-term memory. Neural Comput. 9(8), 1735–1780 (1997)
Arthur, D., Vassilvitskii, S.: k-means++: the advantages of careful seeding. In: 18th Annual ACM-SIAM Symposium on Discrete Algorithms, pp. 1027–1035. Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics Philadelphia (2007)
Xie, H., Zhao, X., Wang, S.: A comprehensive look at the predictive information in Japanese candlesticks. In: International Conference on Computational Science (2012)
Breiman, L., Friedman, R.A., Olshen, R.A., Stone, C.G.: Classification and Regression Trees. Wadsworth, Pacific Grove, CA (1984)
Riedmiller, M., Braun, H.: A direct adaptive method for faster backpropagation learning: The RPROP algorithm. In: IEEE International Conference Neural Networks, pp. 586–591 (1993)
Smeeton, N.C.: Early history of the kappa statistic. Biometrics 41, 795. JSTOR 2531300 (1985)
Prado, A.H., Ferneda, E., Morais R.C.L., Luiz, B.J.A., Matsura, E.: On the effectiveness of candlestick chart analysis for the Brazilian stock market. In: 17th International Conference in Knowledge Based and Intelligent Information and Engineering Systems, vol. 22, pp. 1136–1145, Procedia Computer Science (2013)
Mann, A.D., Gorse, D.: A new methodology to exploit predictive power in (open, high, low, close) data. In: 26th International Conference on Artificial Neural Networks, Sardinia, September 2017. (in press)
Rousseeuw, J.P.: Silhouettes: A graphical aid to the interpretation and validation of cluster analysis. J. Comput. Appl. Math. 20, 53–65 (1987)
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2017 Springer International Publishing AG
About this paper
Cite this paper
Mann, A.D., Gorse, D. (2017). Deep Candlestick Mining. In: Liu, D., Xie, S., Li, Y., Zhao, D., El-Alfy, ES. (eds) Neural Information Processing. ICONIP 2017. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 10635. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-70096-0_93
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-70096-0_93
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-319-70095-3
Online ISBN: 978-3-319-70096-0
eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)