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Mortality Projection

  • Living reference work entry
  • First Online:
Encyclopedia of Gerontology and Population Aging

Synonyms

Life expectancy projection; Lifespan projection; Longevity projection; Mortality extrapolation; Mortality forecasting

Definition

Mortality projection refers to inference about future levels of mortality, survival, and longevity indicators, as well as the age distribution of future mortality patterns disaggregated by sex and other relevant individual or group characteristics. It belongs to the core of demographic projection and is essential for studying implications of demographic change for social welfare, pensions, insurance and in other socioeconomic domains.

Introduction

Mortality projection – typically, of a set of about two hundred death rates by age and sex for each year of the projection period – is an essential part of population projection that is needed to assess future sizes of population by age and sex, study consequences of population ageing, future evolution of human lifespan, inequality in life duration, and provide outlooks for insurance and pension systems....

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Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. North-Caucasian State Academy, Cherkessk, Russia

    Dalkhat M. Ediev

  2. International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria

    Dalkhat M. Ediev

  3. Department of Demography (HSMSS), Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow, Russia

    Dalkhat M. Ediev

Authors
  1. Dalkhat M. Ediev
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Correspondence to Dalkhat M. Ediev .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

  1. Population Division, UN Dept of Economic Social Affairs Population Division, New York, NY, USA

    Danan Gu

  2. Department of Population Health Sciences, Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, NC, USA

    Matthew E. Dupre

Section Editor information

  1. Population Division, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, United Nations, New York, NY, USA

    Patrick Gerland Ph.D.

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Ediev, D.M. (2020). Mortality Projection. In: Gu, D., Dupre, M. (eds) Encyclopedia of Gerontology and Population Aging. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-69892-2_557-1

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-69892-2_557-1

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  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-319-69892-2

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-319-69892-2

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