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How to Balance Pros and Cons, and Other Helpful Hints

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The Biased Mind

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Abstract

Shaken by illusions and emotions, will you be more secure on rational grounds? Let us try balancing pros and cons and discover how Charles Darwin reached the decision to marry. And let us learn “fast and frugal rules” and discover how to predict divorce from simple clues. You could also become an expert in wine tasting, but could you have finished building the Sydney Opera House earlier?

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Notes

  1. 1.

    Dawes, R. M., 2000

  2. 2.

    Bar-Hillel, M. and Ben-Shakhar, G., 2000

  3. 3.

    Gigerenzer, G., 2008

  4. 4.

    Expected utility is the mainstream economics theory about decision-making under risk

  5. 5.

    http://www.google.fr/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=1&ved=0CCUQFjAA&url=http%3A%2F%2Fyhs.yorktown.org%2Fdownload.axd%3Ffile%3Da7bc8b513eba453e9a8ee865b3aef737%26dnldType%3DResource&ei=UUC9U8mxGsLQ0QWr4YDQCg&usg=AFQjCNGdnbglS9-DP7bLqw2ZtcJS72DeYQ&bvm=bv.70138588,d.d2k

  6. 6.

    The full text of the letter can be found for instance on http://franklinpapers.org/franklin/yale?vol=31&page=455a

  7. 7.

    Dawes, R. M., 1979

  8. 8.

    Meehl, P., 2013 (orig. 1954)

  9. 9.

    Dawes, R. M., 2000

  10. 10.

    Dawes, R. M., 1979

  11. 11.

    Dawes, R. M., 1979

  12. 12.

    Dawes, R. M., 1979

  13. 13.

    Dawes, R. M., 1979

  14. 14.

    Shafir, E., 1993

  15. 15.

    Huber, V. L., Neale, M. A. and Northcraft, G. B., 1987

  16. 16.

    Carrère, S., Buehlman, K. T., Gottman, J. M., Coan, J. A. and Ruckstuhl, L., 2000

  17. 17.

    Dawes, R. M., 2000

  18. 18.

    Dawes, R. M., 2000

  19. 19.

    Wiseman, R., 2010

  20. 20.

    http://quoteinvestigator.com/2014/02/07/two-classes/

  21. 21.

    Boltanski, C. and Thévenot, L., 1989

  22. 22.

    Hutchinson, J. M. C. and Gigerenzer, G., 2005

  23. 23.

    Zeckhauser, R. and Viscusi, W. K., 2000

  24. 24.

    Garcia-Retamero, R. and Dhami, M. K., 2009

  25. 25.

    Slovic, P., Fischhoff, B. and Lichtenstein, S., 1982

  26. 26.

    Swets, J. A., 2000

  27. 27.

    Tierney, J., 1991

  28. 28.

    Kahneman, D. and Tversky, A., 1982

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Paris, France

    Jérôme Boutang & Michel De Lara

Authors
  1. Jérôme Boutang
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  2. Michel De Lara
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Correspondence to Jérôme Boutang .

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Boutang, J., Lara, M. (2016). How to Balance Pros and Cons, and Other Helpful Hints. In: The Biased Mind. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-16519-6_7

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