Skip to main content

Management of Complex Systems: Toward Agent-Based Gaming for Policy

  • Chapter
  • First Online:
Policy Practice and Digital Science

Part of the book series: Public Administration and Information Technology ((PAIT,volume 10))

Abstract

In this chapter, we discuss the implications of complexities in societal systems for management. After discussing some essential features of complex systems, we discuss the current focus of managers and management theory on prediction and the problems arising from this perspective. A short overview is given of the leadership and management literature, identifying what information is lacking concerning the management of complex systems. Next agent-based gaming, which allows for modeling a virtual and autonomous population in a computer-game setting, is introduced as a tool to explore the possibilities to manage complex systems. The chapter concludes with a research agenda for management and leadership in complex systems.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 149.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Hardcover Book
USD 199.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Notes

  1. 1.

    In December 2013 4988 Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV were registered, against 83 in January 2014 (Kane 2014).

  2. 2.

    On 04-12-2013, Gilbert sent out an e-mail on the SIMSOC list asking for examples of ABMs that have actually been used to support policy decision making or for other purposes “in the real world.”

References

  • Arai K, Deguchi H, Matsui H, (2006) Agent-based modeling meets gaming simulation. Springer, Japan

    Google Scholar 

  • Barreteau O, Bousquet F, Attonaty JM (2001) Role-playing games for opening the black box of multi-agent systems: method and lessons of its application to Senegal River Valley irrigated systems. J Artif Soc Soc Simul 4(2):12 (http://www.soc.surrey.ac.uk/JASSS/4/2/5.html)

    Google Scholar 

  • Bass BM (1990) Bass & Stogdill’s handbook of leadership: theory, research, and managerial applications, 3rd ed. Free Press, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Bravo G, Vallino E, Cerutti AK, Pairotti MB (2013) Alternative scenarios of green consumption in Italy: an empirically grounded model. Environ Model Softw 47:225–234

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Collinson D (2005) Dialectics of leadership. Hum Relat 58:1419–1442.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Endsley (1995) Measurement of situation awareness in dynamic systems. Hum Factor 37(1):65–84.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Edwards, BD, Day, EA, Arthur, W Jr, Bell, ST (2006) Relationships among team ability composition, team mental models, and team performance. J Appl Psychol 91(3):727–736.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gilbert N, Troitzsch KG (2005) Simulation for the social scientist. Open University Press, Buckingham.

    Google Scholar 

  • Guyot P, Honiden S (2006) Agent-based participatory simulations: merging multi-agent systems and role-playing games. J Artif Soc Soc Simul 9(4):8. http://jasss.soc.surrey.ac.uk/9/4/8.html

    Google Scholar 

  • Jager W (2000) Modelling consumer behavior. Doctoral thesis. Groningen, University of Groningen, Centre for Environmental and Traffic psychology

    Google Scholar 

  • Jager W, Janssen MA, De Vries HJM, De Greef J, Vlek CAJ (2000) Behaviour in commons dilemmas: homo economicus and homo psychologicus in an ecological-economic model. Ecol Econ 35:357–380

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Jager W, Janssen M, Bockarjova M (2014). Diffusion dynamics of electric cars and adaptive policy: towards an empirical based simulation. Adv Soc Simul 229:259–270

    Google Scholar 

  • Janssen MA, W Jager (2001) Fashions, habits and changing preferences: simulation of psychological factors affecting market dynamics. J Econ Psychol 22:745–772

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kane M (2014) Sales of plug in vehicles in the Netherlands drop off big time. Insideeves.com. http://insideevs.com/sales-of-plug-in-vehicles-in-the-netherlands-drop-off-big-time/ retrieved on 08–07–2014

  • Kozlowski SWJ, Watola DJ, Nowakowski JM, Kim BH, Botero IC (2008) Developing adaptive teams: a theory of dynamic team leadership. In E Salas, GF Goodwin, CS Burke (eds) Team effectiveness in complex organizations: cross-disciplinary perspectives and approaches. Psychology Press, New York.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lisk TC, Kaplancali UT, Riggio RE (2012) Leadership in multiplayer online gaming environments. Simul Gaming 43(1):133–149.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mialhe F, Becuc N, Gunnelld Y, (2012) An agent-based model for analyzing land use dynamics in response to farmer behaviour and environmental change in the Pampanga delta (Philippines). Agric Ecosyst Environ 161(2012):55–69.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Schoenmacker GH (2014) Agent-based consumer modelling of the Dutch lighting market. Master Thesis Department of Artificial Intelligence Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, University of Groningen.

    Google Scholar 

  • Speelman EN (2014) Gaming and simulation to explore resilience of contested agricultural landscapes. Doctoral Thesis, Wageningen University, Farming Systems Ecology

    Google Scholar 

  • Squazzoni F, Jager W, Edmonds B (2013) Social simulation in the social sciences: a brief overview. Soc Sci Comput Rev. First published on December 6, 2013. doi:10.1177/0894439313512975

    Google Scholar 

  • Uhl-Bien M, Marion, R (2009) Complexity leadership in bureaucratic forms of organizing: a meso model. Leadersh Q 20:631–650

    Google Scholar 

  • Uhl-Bien M, Marion R, McKelvey B (2007) Complexity leadership theory: shifting leadership from the industrial age to the knowledge era. Leadersh Q 18:298–318.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Van Eck PS, Jager W, Leeflang PSH (2011) Opinion leaders’ role in innovation diffusion: a simulation study. J Prod Innov Manag 28:187–203

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wijermans W, Jorna R, Jager W, Van Vliet T, Adang O (2013) CROSS: modelling crowd behaviour with social-cognitive agents. J Artif Soc Soc Simul 16(4):1

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgment

This chapter has been written in the context of the eGovPoliNet project. More information can be found on http://www.policy-community.eu/

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Wander Jager .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2015 Springer International Publishing Switzerland

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Jager, W., van der Vegt, G. (2015). Management of Complex Systems: Toward Agent-Based Gaming for Policy. In: Janssen, M., Wimmer, M., Deljoo, A. (eds) Policy Practice and Digital Science. Public Administration and Information Technology, vol 10. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-12784-2_13

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics