Abstract
This paper applies a social-cognitive model to the situation in Israel following the second intifada. In the model cognitive and social-contextual factors directly influence behavioral responses to terrorism as well as indirectly through affective factors. The findings suggest that the perceived risk of a terrorist attack influenced both preparedness and anxiety and concern. However, in some cases the influence of anxiety and concern on behavioral responses was greater than the cognitive or social-contextual factors i.e. gas mask preparedness. In other cases, the Iranian nuclear threat, the perceived risk did not influence the level of preparedness indirectly through anxiety and concern. The divergence in these findings reflects overconfidence in the state’s ability to cope with the nuclear threat and the hypothetical nature of the responses.
Chapter PDF
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Paton, D., Smith, L., Johnston, D.: When Good Intentions turn bad: Promoting natural hazard preparedness. Australian Journal of Emergency Management 20, 25–30 (2005)
Lee, J., Lemyre, L.: A Social-Cognitive Perspective of Terrorism Risk Perception and Individual Response in Canada. Risk Analysis 29, 1265–1280 (2009)
Ben Meir, Y., Bagno-Moldavsky, O.: The Voice of the People: Israeli Public Opinion on National Security 2012. Memorandum, vol. 126. Institute for National Security Studies (2012)
Inbar, E.: How Israel Bungled the Second Lebanon War. Middle East Quarterly XIV, 57–65 (2007)
Ministry of Foreign Affairs, http://mfa.gov.il/MFA/ForeignPolicy/Terrorism/Hizbullah/Pages/Israel-Hizbullah%20conflict-%20Victims%20of%20rocket%20attacks%20and%20IDF%20casualties%20July-Aug%202006.aspx
Ben Meir, Y., Bagno-Moldavsky, O.: Vox Populi: Trends in Israeli Public Opinion on Na-tional Security 2004-2009. Memorandum, vol. 106. Institute for National Security Studies (2010)
Ministry of Foreign Affairs, http://mfa.gov.il/MFA/Pages/default.aspx
Israel Defense Force, http://www.idfblog.com/facts-figures/rocket-attacks-toward-israel/
Rubin, U.: “Iron Dome” vs. Grade Rockets: A Dress Rehearsal for an All-Out War? Per-spectives Paper No. 173. BESA Center (2012)
Israel Defense Force, http://www.idfblog.com/facts-figures/rocket-attacks-toward-israel/
Goodwin, R., Willson, M., Gaines Jr., S.: Terror threat perception and its consequences in contemporary Britain. British Journal of Psychology 96, 389–406 (2005)
Huddy, L., Feldman, S., Capelos, T., Provost, C.: The consequences of terrorism: Disentan-gling the effects of personal and national threat. Political Psychology 23, 485–509 (2002)
Lerner, J., Gonzalez, R., Small, D., Fischhoff, B.: Effects of fear and anger on perceived risks of terrorism: A national field experiment. Psychological Science 14, 144–150 (2003)
Bergstrom, R., McCaul, K.: Perceived risk and worry: The effects of 9/11 on willingness to fly. Journal of Applied Social Psychology 34, 1846–1856 (2004)
Fischhoff, B., Bruine de Bruin, W., Perrin, W., Downs, J.: Travel Risks in a Time of Terror: Judgments and Choices. Risk Analysis 24, 1301–1309 (2004)
Kobbeltved, T., Brun, W., Johnsen, B., Eid, J.: Risk as feelings or risk and feelings? A cross-lagged panel analysis. Journal of Risk Research 8, 417–437 (2005)
Lee, J., Dallaire, C., Lemyre, L.: Qualitative analysis of cognitive and contextual determi-nants of Canadian’s individual response to terrorism: Towards a descriptive model. Health, Risk and Society 11, 431–450 (2009)
Paton, D., Smith, L., Johnston, D.: When good intentions turn bad: Promoting natural hazard preparedness. Australian Journal of Emergency Management 20, 25–30 (2005)
Sunstein, C.: Terrorism and probability neglect. Journal of Risk and Uncertainty 26, 121–136 (2002)
Ministry of Foreign Affairs, http://www.mfa.gov.il/mfa/foreignpolicy/terrorism/palestinian/pages/suicide%20and%20other%20bombing%20attacks%20in%20israel%20since.aspx
Israel Defense Force, http://www.idfblog.com/facts-figures/rocket-attacks-toward-israel/
Billig, M.: Is my home my castle? Place attachment, risk perception and Religious faith. Environment and Behavior 38, 248–265 (2006)
Levav, I., Kohn, R., Billig, M.: The protective effect of religiosity under terrorism. Psychiatry: Interpersonal and Biological Processes 71, 47–59 (2008)
Rubin, U.: “Iron Dome” vs. Grade Rockets: A Dress Rehearsal for an All-Out War? Perspectives Paper No. 173. BESA Center (2012)
The Home Front Command, http://www.oref.org.il/1045-en/Pakar.aspx
YNET News, http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-4380520,00.html
Velan, B., Boyko, V., Shenhar, G., Lerner-Geva, L., Kaplan, G.: Analysis of public responses to preparedness policies: the cases of H1N1 influenza vaccination and gas mask distribution. Israel Journal of Health Policy Research 2 (2013)
Jerusalem Post, http://www.jpost.com/Defense/As-Syria-strike-looms-Israeli-gas-mask-centers-get-extended-opening-hours-324623
Billig, M.: Is my home my castle? Place attachment, risk perception and Religious faith. Environment and Behavior 38, 248–265 (2006)
Casakin, H., Billig, M.: Effect of Settlement Size and Religiosity on Sense of Place in Communal Settlements. Environment and Behavior 41, 821–835 (2009)
Becker, G., Rubinstein, Y.: Fear and the Response to Terrorism: An Economic Analysis, Working Paper (2011)
Waxman, D.: Living with terror, not Living in Terror: The Impact of Chronic Terrorism on Israeli society. Perspectives on Terror 5 (2011)
Jerusalem Post, http://www.jpost.com/Defense/As-Syria-strike-looms-Israeli-gas-mask-centers-get-extended-opening-hours-324623
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2014 Springer International Publishing Switzerland
About this paper
Cite this paper
Cave, L.A. (2014). A Social-Cognitive Prediction of the Perceived Threat of Terrorism and Behavioral Responses of Terrorist Activities. In: Schmorrow, D.D., Fidopiastis, C.M. (eds) Foundations of Augmented Cognition. Advancing Human Performance and Decision-Making through Adaptive Systems. AC 2014. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 8534. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-07527-3_2
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-07527-3_2
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-319-07526-6
Online ISBN: 978-3-319-07527-3
eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)