Abstract
This article reconstructs Karl Deutsch’s fearful yet hopeful views about the powers and pathologies of military, and other, national and international network systems. These views presuppose Norbert Wiener’s Cybernetic Interpretive Hypothesis: that ‘society can only be understood through a study of the messages and communication facilities which belong to it’; that the societal trend is towards more computerized communication systems; and that they embody an ‘open vs. closed’ living systems ethos. Drawing on science and technology studies by Edwards and Mirowski, the author suggests how Deutsch’s and Wiener’s prophetic hopes, fears, and insights can also enrich and redefine contemporary debates about the historical-technological development of our national societies, the powers and pathologies of game-theoretically programmed computer networks, the assessment of the life-preserving potential of our partly automated security systems, the major threats from the continued poverty of the less developed world, problems of decentralized governance, and the political, ethical, and religious justifications for our national, international, and civilizational identities and purposes.
Editorial Note
This article was in review when Hayward Alker sadly passed away in 2007 (This article was first published as: Hayward Alker, “The Power of Networks: Insights From the Political Cybernetics of Karl W. Deutsch,” in European Journal of International Relations, vol. 17, no. 2, pp. 354–378). Reprinted with the permission of the SAGE permissions team, London, UK, 15 March 2019.). The previous and current editorial teams greatly appreciate the willingness of Thomas Biersteker and J. Ann Tickner to revise the article in light of the referee reports. We are also thankful to James Der Derian for providing an introduction and contextualization to the article.
Note from Thomas Biersteker
The article was edited to respond to the reviewers’ comments and delete some asides. There were places where I had to clarify the prose and correct for stylistic inconsistencies and a few typos. However, the edit was fairly light and I was able to leave the final four pages untouched. One of the most significant additions I made was to construct an Appendix of the interpretive hypotheses that Hayward Alker invoked and then repeatedly referred to in a shorthand manner throughout the text. The Appendix is almost entirely composed of Hayward Alker’s prose copied and pasted from passages in the main text. J. Ann Tickner went over the version I revised and made a few additional corrections.
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Notes
- 1.
Watson Institute for International Studies, Brown University, USA.
- 2.
This article revises a presentation to James Der Derian’s InfoTechWarPeace project conference on ‘The Power and Pathology of Networks’, the Watson Institute for International Studies, Brown University, 11 September 2004. Alker was in 2007 a professor at: University of Southern California and Brown University, USA.
- 3.
The quoted New York Times texts in this paragraph are from Weiner (2004: 1Aff.). One can also find much of the same terminology in accounts of Ronald Reagan’s ‘Star Wars’ program, its successor, ‘National Missile Defense’, and recent American proposals for European and East Asian missile defense systems.
- 4.
- 5.
- 6.
- 7.
On the basis of Deutsch (1986) and a much more thorough Social Science Citations search, Mary Deutsch Edsall commented on an earlier version of this note that Nerves had been cited at least 550 times by 1986, a fact missed by a review of recent citations to Deutsch’s work in Google Scholar.
- 8.
All quotes in this paragraph are from Wiener (1956: 178–183). Emphases are mine.
- 9.
This theme has reappeared, for example, in Hardt and Negri (2004). Without citing Wiener, they argue: ‘Perhaps what monsters like the golem are trying to teach us, whispering to us secretly under the din of our global battlefield, is a lesson about the monstrosity of war and our possible redemption through love’ (Hardt/Negri, 2004: 10–12, italics in the original). Etzioni (2004: 6) is similarly concerned with Golem-like technological means getting out of their originators’ control, ‘an insurrection of the instruments’.
- 10.
A List of Interpretive Hypotheses has been added by Thomas Biersteker in an Appendix to facilitate understanding of frequent references back to different interpretive hypotheses, as they are employed by Alker to develop the argument in the article.
- 11.
Deutsch publicly counters Wiener’s skepticism regarding cybernetic social science in Deutsch (1975: 371f.). A recent, similarly hopeful introduction to managing complex systems dynamics is Axelrod (1997). Philosophically, see also Juarrero (1999). Those interested in nation-building as a self-constituting cybernetic process should read Cederman (1997) and Cederman and Daase (2003).
- 12.
The additional paraphrases and quotations in this paragraph are from pp. 34–40.
- 13.
Compare Glaser/Fetter (2001).
- 14.
The mention of von Neumann’s name in the ‘dread and doom’ passage quoted from Mirowski as part of IH1 now makes more sense.
- 15.
Except among adepts at agent-based modeling, von Neumann’s more positive efforts to recast economics as a cyborg science are, regrettably, almost unknown among current IR game theorists.
- 16.
I find most intriguing Hayles’ sustained contrast of cybernetically constituted, inessential, ‘post-humanist’ self (part of 1H3a) vis-a-vis the ‘liberal humanist’ model of man.
- 17.
Evidence for this claim includes the author’s interviews with Karl and Ruth Deutsch, in the 1970s and 1980s, and more recent emails from Mary Deutsch Edsall.
- 18.
- 19.
My inserts ‘threats of enforcement’ and ‘habits of compliance’ are mentioned by Deutsch on p. 242.
- 20.
Deutsch (1966b: 36, 76, 140). The following quote is particularly responsive to our interpretive hypotheses: ‘Hobbes’ Leviathan … may thus be more slow-witted than his components, even though his circle of vision is wider … Large political systems are inferior to the marvelous brain structures of the [component] individuals’ (Deutsch, 1966b: 241).
- 21.
Deutsch seems here to be doing something like what Mirowski said of Anatol Rapoport, Kenneth Boulding and the Burks-Axelrod-Cohen-Holland group at the ‘peacenik’s RAND, the University of Michigan’ (Mirowski 1996: 484f.). Consistent with his IH2 and IH3, Mirowski sees them as trying to cleanse cyborg science of its military origins by unifying General Systems theory and peace research. Deutsch was a close friend of George Miller, Anatol Rapoport, and David Singer at Michigan, and spent 40 days a year there for 16 years until 1977 (Deutsch, 1980: 338).
- 22.
Alker (1981) also suggests provocative structural correspondences between Aristotelian entelechies, Leib-nizian monads, Watson-Crick DNA replications, von Neumann’s self-reproducing automata, and Parsonian social systems.
- 23.
With acknowledgment to Arnold Toynbee, idolatry is defined in contrast to reverence in terms of preferring and absolutizing the familiar and the local over the infinite and the universal (Deutsch, 1966b: 233f.). See also the discussion of the idolatry of extreme nationalism in Deutsch (1979: 301), and Deutsch’s appreciation of Wiener on ‘rigidity’ (Deutsch, 1975: 371).
- 24.
This instantiation also helps clarify John Kerry’s quotation of this passage in his presidential nomination acceptance speech at the 2004 Democratic Convention.
- 25.
Although Mandelbrot’s use of Neyman-Wald inductive inference strategies vis-a-vis nature does employ minimax reasoning, this suggests a somewhat Gibbsian-Augustinian view of nature, not a completely antagonistic Manichean one, a reading confirmed by: ‘Precisons que la ‘Nature’. la source du bruit [noise], ne doit etre consideree comme un joueur que si l’on veut que le jeu soit. [zero-sum]: l’information apparente est perdue par l’emetteur, l’equivocation [ambiguity] va a la Nature, et le reste au recepteur’ (Mandelbrot, 1953: 14).
- 26.
This carbon copy is in file 169, Box 11 of MC22 (the Norbert Weiner collection). Used with permission of the Institute Archivist of MIT.
- 27.
But, in support of less extreme versions of IH1 and IH1c, I agree with Mirowski that Wiener (and Deutsch) were very worried about what Wiener called ‘the subtle emotional Manichaeanism implicit in all crusades, all jihads, and all wars of communism against the devil of capitalism [which] Manichaeanism is a bad atmosphere for science’ (Wiener, 1956: 190–192).
- 28.
Deutsch was proud of his humanistic collaboration with Norbert Wiener (Deutsch/Wiener, 1963). But one also finds in the Karl Deutsch Papers, Harvard University Archives, call no. HUGFP 141.77, Box 1, a partly written, unpublished attempt of the two men together to model two nations’ mutual attention, responsiveness, or policy interdependence vis-a-vis each other. Based on an unpublished student paper (Ness, no date) there is a 15-page, partly typed file, labeled ‘Periodicity in Interacting Systems’, with five pages of matrix equations for a complex pattern of reciprocal policy interdependence, but not nearly enough data to estimate them. Cited with the permission of Harvard University Archivist Megan Sniffin-Marinoff.
- 29.
Here is a clear reference to Deutsch’s remarkable endorsement of a ‘politics of growth’ in the last chapter of Deutsch (1966b). Focusing on viable and self-developing or self-enhancing systems, he suggests complex measures of growth including growth in autonomous self-determination, increased abilities to avoid the increased self-preoccupation tendencies of larger systems, goal-changing abilities, and progress in integrative behavior that doesn’t destroy the autonomy or identity of the integrated units.
- 30.
Because of Deutsch’s own language, I contrast ‘open’ and ‘closed’ worlds here rather than Edwards’ similar distinction between ‘closed worlds’ and ‘green worlds.’ Inspired by Northrop Frye (commenting on Shakespeare) and Sherman Hawkins, respectively, Edwards’ contrast of green worlds and closed worlds (Table 10.1 in Edwards, 1996: 310) nonetheless fits remarkably well with the bottom half of ‘Table 1.1 How [rather Green] Decentralists and [more technocratic] Service Society Advocates and Members see Themselves and One Another’ in Kochen and Deutsch (1980: 6).
- 31.
The anti-militarization theme comes up in several places in Deutsch’s writings. For example, amalgamated security communities tend to disintegrate under ‘excessive military commitments’ and unidimensional security priorities can be debilitating of democratic governance. Inequality and scarcity together produce greater demands for military power. A fearful future of worldwide oligopoly is seen likely to be associated with ‘increased militarism, and an almost certain proliferation of nuclear weaponry’. Later on, Deutsch remarks: ‘The more militarization, the more tyranny and risk of error’ (Deutsch, 1979: 194f., 320, 330f.).
- 32.
In particular, see Paul Edwards’ brilliant ‘Epilogue: Cyborgs in the World Wide Web’ (1996: 352–365). Edwards helpfully shows how Arnold Schwarzenegger’s change from a zombielike, Closed World cyborg role in Terminator to a reprogrammed ally of the ‘good’ human protagonists in Terminator 2 suggests a cyborg-friendly shift in post-Cold War, post-Gulf War American public attitudes. After reading of the associated, rather clearly anti-feminist transformations effected in Terminator 2, one has a much more refined understanding of Governor Schwarzenegger’s prominent role in the 2004 Republican Party National Convention.
- 33.
In particular, Harold Lasswell, Deutsch’s NSF Co-Principal Investigator in setting up the Yale Political Data Program. In his ‘Introduction to the Paperback Edition’, Lasswell (1965: viii) explores as a potential global unifying myth, ‘The Machinehood of Humanity’, as a way of ‘ego alleviation’ for the displacement of humans from their central role in world history. Prophetically anticipating contemporary themes, Lasswell asks, “when shall we extend the protection of the Charter of Human Rights to ‘machines’ and ‘mutants’?”
- 34.
This, and subsequent quoted phrases in this paragraph are taken from Deutsch (1979: 1f.).
- 35.
Beyond Deutsch’s discussion of power and growth in Deutsch (1966b), there is the reassertion of this priority concern in Deutsch (1968: 46f), and the blunter rejection of hegemonic succession issues in 1979. After Britain, ‘the job [of world leader] has been eliminated … There will be no more hegemonic powers’ (Deutsch, 1979: 329).
- 36.
Deutsch (1979, etc.) often cites Inkeles and Smith (1974) as to the meaning and extent of such modern attitudes and beliefs. Deutsch would probably have approved of Inkeles’ attempt to get beyond ‘the lurid images of modern science’ like that of ‘machine-produced golems’ and the uniform individuals of Aldous Huxley’s Brave New World in recognizing that only a small number of the men he surveyed ‘qualified as truly modern’ (Inkeles/Smith, 1993: 162).
- 37.
Nationalism, or any other ideology, is extreme ‘to exactly that extent to which urgent and relevant messages from reality are overridden by unrealistic or irrelevant messages which this ideology prefers’; within a given network of social communication it is moderate ‘to the extent that realistic messages are still transmitted within it and still have a significant effect on the making of actual decisions’ (Deutsch, 1979: 302).
- 38.
- 39.
In his 1961 article Deutsch proposes a summary analytical model which uses 0.25% linguistic, cultural, and political assimilation rates (among mobilized populations) in contrast with 0.5–3.0% mobilization rates. In Deutsch (1979: 105–129) he finds much evidence tending to confirm the basic model, but suggests—far less than the 1.0% mobilization and 0.5% assimilation rates of 19th-century continental European countries—a typical late 20th-century mobilization rate of 0.75% associated with an even smaller 0.1 or 0.2 assimilation rate (Deutsch, 1979: 304).
- 40.
- 41.
These figures are revised projection estimates calculated on data through 1977.
- 42.
Given my focus, I only mention here a few related, network-oriented, socio-historical authors writing on this civilizational thematic: Manuel Castells, Randall Collins, Shmuel Eisenstadt, Jurgen Habermas, and William McNeill.
- 43.
- 44.
The strength of Deutsch’s commitment to responsive, appropriately decentralized decision-making systems delivering public goods or services—and thus to the notion of subsidiarity as a standard for national and international organizations—is a hallmark of Kochen and Deutsch (1980).
- 45.
It is important to note that Rapoport (1964) treats his repeated Prisoner’s Dilemma experiments as social psychological simulations suggestive of truths applicable to larger entities than individual student pairs.
- 46.
Deutsch (1966b: xx, note 32) refers to work done for Harold Guetzkow which highlights the representational divergences among different approaches to simulating international conflict (Alker/Brunner, 1969). The same note in Deutsch’s ‘Introduction’ refers to earlier reports on Guetzkow’s work, and Anatol Rapoport’s highly critical discussion of simulation by strategists, in Rapoport (1964: 125–159).
- 47.
GLOBUS is used to make a disciplined exploration of the feasibility of the Brandt Commission’s proposals for a new North-South-oriented development strategy in Bremer and Hughes (1990).
- 48.
I suspect that Deutsch would have liked the textually grounded approach of Gordon (2004), especially if the inferences studied were tested against larger historical data collections. Gordon is associated with the Institute of Creative Technology, attempting to draw battlefield lessons for the US Army.
- 49.
Even though they cite almost none of the social science discussed in this article, both Mirowski (viz Economics) and Hayes (viz Anthropology and Sociology) do discuss other social scientific work.
- 50.
Compare the constructive critique of ‘current [American] hypernationalistic attitudes’ in Urquhart (2005: 4f.).
- 51.
Compare Kratochwil’s (2005: 119) remarkably similar treatment of Rodolph Otto’s religious philosophy.
- 52.
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Appendix: List of Interpretive Hypotheses
Appendix: List of Interpretive Hypotheses
Wiener’s Cybernetic Interpretive Hypothesis: ‘[S]ociety can only be understood through a study of the messages and the communication facilities which belong to it… in the future development of these messages and communication facilities, messages between man and machines, between machines and man, and between machine and machine, are destined to play an ever-increasing part.’
- IH1::
Cyborgs (cybernetic organisms) were to be found everywhere after World War II and America had become a closed world sleek with dread and heavy with doom—the world of John von Neumann.
- IH1a::
Disorder or entropy becomes identical with agonistic strife for Norbert Wiener.
- IH1b::
Deception is at work, a thermodynamics of suspicion, of simulation and dissimulation, of surveillance and counter-surveillance has been born.
- IH1c::
Closure comes increasingly to resemble a prophylaxis; the language of viruses, worms, and a myriad of creepy-crawlies evoke the closure of a siege mentality, of quarantine, or perhaps the tomb.
- IH1d::
A closed world discourse formation describes the language, technologies, and practices that together supported the visions of centrally controlled, automated global power at the heart of American Cold War politics
- IH2::
There is a powerful contradiction in the heart of the overlapping discourse formations of cyborg land—a militarist-anti-militarist conflict symbolically linked to an interpretive contrast between von Neumann (the militarist) and Wiener (the anti-militarist).
- IH3::
Wiener was increasingly hostile toward economics, game theory, and the social sciences more generally.
- IH3a::
Wiener feared that cybernetics would annihilate the Enlightenment individual as the captain of his soul.
- IH3b::
He argued that the social sciences should be sequestered off from the natural sciences.
- IH4a::
Deutsch’s relevant writings and his mostly unrecorded communications with Wiener may be more deeply interpreted as partly contradicting, more or less consciously, totalizing versions of IH1 and IH3.
- IH4b::
These friendly discussions were often focused on the contest between Closed World and Open World cybernetic discourse formations, thus exemplifying IH2. Deutsch is here battling for the ontological ‘soul’ of cyborg land by suggesting a humanistic, ecological, non-militaristic, yet still scientific discourse formation concerning ‘open’ versus ‘closed’ individual, group, governmental, and governance practices.
- IH5::
In terms of Karl Mannheim’s hypothesis about the fundamental democratization processes of the 20th century, prolonged periods of increased parochialism and nationalism might occur in many countries (like India) just during the critical early decades of the nuclear age.
- IH6::
The international dynamic is weakening.
- IH6a::
The nation-state has failed in its basic task of safeguarding its population and its capital in the case of a total, nuclear war, and in its tendencies, increasing with mobilization levels and overall size, toward dangerously nationalistic self closure.
- IH6b::
The nation-state is thus in danger of becoming for its people a cognitive trap in times of peace and a death trap in the event of war.
- IH6c::
The world is becoming one in a community of threat and fear.
- IH7::
Not before the vast poverty of Asia and Africa have been reduced substantially by industrialization, and by gains in living standards and in education—will the age of nationalism and national diversity see the beginning of its end.
- IH8::
Deutsch draws on experimental simulations of two-person Prisoner’s Dilemma games to suggest conditions leading both to cooperative and non-cooperative outcomes at the world level.
- IH9::
When closed world discourses/practices at or near the heart of American (or any other entity’s) security-seeking command, control, and communication practices evidence strong tendencies in networks of socio-political communication toward lethal forms of self-closure, they are likely symptoms of much more general pathological, destructive forms of extreme ideologies, nationalist, transnationalist, or internationalist.
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Alker, H.R. (2020). The Power of Networks: Insights from the Political Cybernetics of Karl W. Deutsch. In: Taylor, C., Russett, B. (eds) Karl W. Deutsch: Pioneer in the Theory of International Relations. Pioneers in Arts, Humanities, Science, Engineering, Practice, vol 25. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-02910-8_10
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