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The ‘Better Argument’ in Legitimate Risk Governance

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Abstract

The previously identified lawful means to promote or enforce disaster risk reduction, that states could implement if democratic support was given, leads this chapter to examine deliberative democracy as an avenue to mobilise democratic demand for disaster risk reduction. To that end, this chapter examines how deliberative processes can mitigate the influence of distorted risk perception on public risk evaluation and explores the advantages of deliberative democracy under normative political theory. The chapter further strengthens the case for deliberative processes by discussing competing schools of thought that propose empowering experts to make ‘rational’ risk decisions for the public to mitigate the influence of distorted risk perception. The discussion highlights the flaws of such proposals with respect to their practical implementation and their compatibility with normative political theory, particularly the concept of political legitimacy.

The material well-being of a democratic society depends on its ability to rationally manage a nearly limitless variety of often competing risks. The integrity of such a society’s commitment to self-governance depends on its ability to fashion procedures that are genuinely deliberative, open, and democratic. (Kahan et al. 2006, p. 1109)

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Notes

  1. 1.

    Convention for the Protection of Human Rights and Fundamental Freedoms, opened for signature 4 November 1950, 213 UNTS 221 (entered into force 3 September 1953).

  2. 2.

    See Sect. 1.1.2.

  3. 3.

    Ivčević et al. (2021).

  4. 4.

    Chambers (2003), p. 309.

  5. 5.

    Renn (2008), pp. 155, 294, 333.

  6. 6.

    Ibid, pp. 155, 187–188.

  7. 7.

    Habermas (2015), p. 37.

  8. 8.

    Renn (2008), pp. 294, 333.

  9. 9.

    Gunderson (2018), p. 719.

  10. 10.

    Habermas (1996), p. 304.

  11. 11.

    Green (1981), p. 11.

  12. 12.

    Knight and Johnson (1994), p. 286.

  13. 13.

    Ibid.

  14. 14.

    Estlund (2008); Christiano (2012), who refers to ‘truth sensitivity’; see further Chambers (2021), p. 153, who refers to Habermas conception of democracy.

  15. 15.

    Chambers (2021), pp. 158–159; Misak (2009), p. 35; Talisse (2009), p. 46.

  16. 16.

    Holst and Molander (2019), p. 541; Holst (2012), p. 41; Schäfer (2006), p. 188; Estlund and Landemore (2018).

  17. 17.

    Habermas (2015), p. 37; Misak (2009), pp. 32–34.

  18. 18.

    Chambers (2021), p. 154.

  19. 19.

    See generally, Cerovac (2016); Sunstein and Pildes (1997), pp. 135–136.

  20. 20.

    Rawls (1971), p. 548.

  21. 21.

    Grove and Meehl (1996), p. 293; van Coile (2016), pp. 32–38; see further Holst and Molander (2019), p. 553.

  22. 22.

    Grove and Meehl (1996), p. 316; see further Glöckner (2016), pp. 17–18.

  23. 23.

    See Renn (2008), pp. 178–179.

  24. 24.

    Van Coile (2016), pp. 32–35.

  25. 25.

    Ibid, p. 37.

  26. 26.

    Moore (2018), p. 641, who refers to Dewey (1927).

  27. 27.

    Howse (2000), p. 2330.

  28. 28.

    Renn (2008), p. 307.

  29. 29.

    See Fischer (1990), p. 24.

  30. 30.

    See Sunstein (2005b), p. 126; Schudson (2006), p. 500; Thompson (1990), p. 22; Holst and Molander (2019), pp. 553–556; Holst and Molander (2017), p. 241, with many references.

  31. 31.

    Moore (2018), p. 647, citing Fischer (2000); Holst and Molander (2017), p. 241.

  32. 32.

    Runciman (2018), p. 183.

  33. 33.

    Holst and Molander (2019), p. 553; Holst and Molander (2017), p. 242, citing Sunstein (2002b), Ch 3.

  34. 34.

    Holst and Molander (2017), pp. 242–243.

  35. 35.

    Ibid, pp. 241–243.

  36. 36.

    Moore (2018), pp. 641–642, citing Kitcher (2011); Stoll (2003), p. 268; van Coile (2016), p. 37; Gunderson (2018), p. 720.

  37. 37.

    Sunstein and Pildes (1997), pp. 135–136.

  38. 38.

    See Renn (2008), p. 96.

  39. 39.

    Habermas (2015), p. 37.

  40. 40.

    See Sect. 2.1.

  41. 41.

    Spence and So (2021), pp. 2–3; Ivčević et al. (2021).

  42. 42.

    Alemanno (2016), p. 201; Tversky and Kahneman (1974), p. 1131.

  43. 43.

    Sunstein (2002a), p. 64.

  44. 44.

    Ibid.

  45. 45.

    See Sect. 2.3.1.

  46. 46.

    Sunstein and Pildes (1997), p. 136.

  47. 47.

    Ibid, p. 135.

  48. 48.

    Ibid.

  49. 49.

    See Sects. 2.1.5 and 2.3.1.4.

  50. 50.

    Sunstein and Pildes (1997), p. 135.

  51. 51.

    Baan and Klijn (2004), pp. 114, 118; Stefanovic (2003), p. 242.

  52. 52.

    Baan and Klijn (2004), p. 118.

  53. 53.

    Cranor (1993), p. 129; see further Hansson (2012), p. 32; see Kamm (2007), pp. 14, 17, 291–292, 295; Breakey (2015), p. 1203.

  54. 54.

    Breyer (1993), Laudan (1994), Graham and Wiener (1997), Cross (1998), Sunstein (2002b), Adler and Posner (2006) and Revesz and Livermore (2008).

  55. 55.

    Sunstein (2002b), pp. 7, 49; see further Cross (1998), p. 35; discussed in Shrader-Frechette (2005).

  56. 56.

    Laudan (1997), pp. 24–27.

  57. 57.

    Cross (1998), p. 36; see further Cranor (1993), pp. 117–118, 122–123; Ames et al. (1987), p. 277; see Gonçalves (2013), pp. 123–124; Sunstein (2004a, b).

  58. 58.

    Cross (1998), p. 38; see for a similar description Cranor (1993), p. 127; Greenacre and Fleshner (2017), p. 35; Beatley (1989), p. 11.

  59. 59.

    Laudan (1994); Sunstein (2002b), p. 6.

  60. 60.

    Meghani (2014), p. 983; Christiansen and Hallsson (2017), p. 63.

  61. 61.

    Laudan (1994), pp. 9–12, 16, 18–22, 167; Sunstein (2002b), pp. 14–15, 30, 49, 79, 122.

  62. 62.

    Shrader-Frechette (2005), p. 94.

  63. 63.

    Sunstein (2002b), p. 6.

  64. 64.

    Laudan (1997), pp. 24–27.

  65. 65.

    Cranor (1993), p. 126; Lateef (2011), pp. 289–290; see further Rakić (2018), p. 150.

  66. 66.

    Cranor (1993), pp. 123, 126–129; Mirrlees (1982); Ames et al. (1987), p. 277; see further Gonçalves (2013), pp. 123–124; Kahan et al. (2006), pp. 1074–1076.

  67. 67.

    See for example, the study by Rose et al. (2007). This study examined a statistical sample of 5500 Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) mitigation grants between 1993 and 2003. It found the overall benefit-cost ratio to be 4:1. Another study found 102 of 117 case studies report ‘average cost-benefit ratios above the economic equilibrium’, see Hugenbusch and Neumann (2016), p. 29. Reasons for usual uncertainties in calculating the economic benefits of DRR are addressed in Childs (2013), p. 12 and in Shreve and Kelman (2014), p. 214, also cited in Albris et al. (2020), pp. 8–9.

  68. 68.

    Newman et al. (2017), p. 380.

  69. 69.

    Childs (2013), p. 8.

  70. 70.

    Cross (1998), p. 36.

  71. 71.

    Covello (1991), pp. 80–92; Stoll (2003), p. 337.

  72. 72.

    Covello (1991), p. 79.

  73. 73.

    Ibid.

  74. 74.

    Cross (1998).

  75. 75.

    Ames et al. (1987), p. 277.

  76. 76.

    Sunstein (2002b), p. 8; Laudan (1994), pp. 18–20; Laudan (1997), p. 10, discussed in Shrader-Frechette (2005).

  77. 77.

    Cranor (1993), p. 128.

  78. 78.

    Between 2003 and 2023, 165,353 Europeans have died in disasters triggered by natural hazards in CoE member states, while technological disaster killed 9778 Europeans, see EM-DAT, CRED/UCLouvain, Brussels, Belgium (as per 10 April 2023). However, it should be noted that EM-DAT considers situations or events as disasters, which overwhelms local capacity, necessitating a request to national or international level for external assistance as disaster.

  79. 79.

    The White House (2020a); similarly, The White House (2020c).

  80. 80.

    The United States’ Senate Homeland Security Committee Chairman Ron Johnson in an interview with Gilbert (2020).

  81. 81.

    de Lazari-Radek and Singer (2017); Haworth (1984), p. 5; Gomez (2017), p. 175; Rakić (2018), p. 149.

  82. 82.

    Ross and Athanassoulis (2012), pp. 838–839; Smart (1973); Byskov (2020), pp. 262–263.

  83. 83.

    Zack (2011), Ch 1; see further Lateef (2011), p. 290.

  84. 84.

    Cranor (1993), p. 127.

  85. 85.

    Ross and Athanassoulis (2012), p. 835; Williams (1973), pp. 136–137.

  86. 86.

    See, e.g., Cross (1998), p. 38; Greenacre and Fleshner (2017), p. 35.

  87. 87.

    Williams (1973), pp. 136–137.

  88. 88.

    See Möller (2012), p. 60; Hansson (2004); Dworkin (2015); Cranor (1993), p. 128; van de Poel and Fahlquist (2012), pp. 890–895; Shrader-Frechette (2005), pp. 103–104; Stoll (2003), p. 337.

  89. 89.

    Stoll (2003), p. 337.

  90. 90.

    Shrader-Frechette (2005), p. 99.

  91. 91.

    The White House (2020b).

  92. 92.

    Ross and Athanassoulis (2012), p. 839; Shrader-Frechette (2005), p. 99.

  93. 93.

    Ross and Athanassoulis (2012), p. 839.

  94. 94.

    Hansson (2012), p. 48; Möller (2012), p. 60.

  95. 95.

    For a comprehensive examination of the different combinations, see Kamm (2007), Ch 9; see further Breakey (2015), pp. 1203–1214.

  96. 96.

    Woollard and Howard-Snyder (2022), para 1.

  97. 97.

    Kamm (2007), p. 18.

  98. 98.

    Cranor (1993), pp. 127–128; Lateef (2011), p. 290; see further Schneewind (2010), p. 251; Kalokairinou (2018), p. 222; Smith (2002), p. 309; Lin and Anderson-Shaw (2009), p. 216.

  99. 99.

    Cranor (1993), pp. 127–128; Kalokairinou (2018), p. 223.

  100. 100.

    Scheffler (2004), p. 216.

  101. 101.

    Cranor (1993), p. 127.

  102. 102.

    Campbell (1967), p. 574.

  103. 103.

    Smith (2002), p. 101.

  104. 104.

    Ibid.

  105. 105.

    Ibid.

  106. 106.

    Ibid.

  107. 107.

    Kamm (2007), p. 296.

  108. 108.

    Renn (2008), p. 149; Renn and Klinke (2016), pp. 208–209.

  109. 109.

    Habermas (1997), p. 107.

  110. 110.

    Knight and Johnson (1994), p. 286.

  111. 111.

    Chambers (2021), pp. 152–154; Pateman (2012), p. 8.

  112. 112.

    Dietz (1994), p. 305.

  113. 113.

    Renn (2008), p. 294.

  114. 114.

    Dietz (1994), p. 305; see further Renn (2008), pp. 294, 319; Gunderson (2018), p. 721.

  115. 115.

    Dietz (1994), p. 305; Gunderson (2018), pp. 719–721.

  116. 116.

    Renn (2008), p. 319.

  117. 117.

    Ibid, p. 318.

  118. 118.

    See generally, ibid, pp. 187–188.

  119. 119.

    Chambers (2003), p. 309; Renn (2008), pp. 319–320.

  120. 120.

    Renn (2008), p. 320.

  121. 121.

    Ibid.

  122. 122.

    Ibid, p. 305.

  123. 123.

    Gutmann and Thompson (2004), pp. 5, 136, 146; see generally Moore (2018), p. 643.

  124. 124.

    Bohman (1999), p. 596.

  125. 125.

    Freer et al. (2013), p. 222; see further Faulkner et al. (2007).

  126. 126.

    Sun (2016), p. 32; see Raju and da Costa (2018), pp. 282–283; see further Chmutina and von Meding (2019).

  127. 127.

    Briceño (2015), p. 1; Wachinger et al. (2013), p. 1062; Raju and da Costa (2018), p. 285; Chmutina and von Meding (2019).

  128. 128.

    Briceño (2015), p. 1; see further Chmutina and von Meding (2019), pp. 289–290.

  129. 129.

    Raju and da Costa (2018), pp. 282–283; Briceño (2015), p. 5.

  130. 130.

    See Sect. 1.5.2.

  131. 131.

    Briceño (2015), p. 1; Chmutina and von Meding (2019), p. 290.

  132. 132.

    Freer et al. (2013), p. 198; Rougier (2013), pp. 33, 36.

  133. 133.

    Freer et al. (2013), pp. 198, 222; Rougier (2013), p. 33.

  134. 134.

    Freer et al. (2013), p. 222; see further Faulkner et al. (2007).

  135. 135.

    Baan and Klijn (2004), p. 118.

  136. 136.

    Ibid.

  137. 137.

    Ibid.

  138. 138.

    See Sect. 2.1.5.

  139. 139.

    See Sects. 2.3.1 and 2.3.2.

  140. 140.

    German Advisory Council on Global Change (1998), p. 53.

  141. 141.

    Van Coile (2016), p. 32; Rougier (2013), pp. 29–32; German Advisory Council on Global Change (1998), pp. 52–53; Mastrandrea et al. (2010); Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (2005).

  142. 142.

    See van Coile (2016), p. 38.

  143. 143.

    Albris et al. (2020), p. 6.

  144. 144.

    Renn et al. (2011), p. 234.

  145. 145.

    Van Coile (2016), p. 38.

  146. 146.

    Henriques (2016); Rashidah Paujah Ismail et al. (2018), p. 61.

  147. 147.

    Capurro et al. (2021) and Caulfield et al. (2021).

  148. 148.

    Caulfield et al. (2021), p. 406, citing Matthews (2020).

  149. 149.

    Capurro et al. (2021), p. 2181 (11).

  150. 150.

    Ibid, p. 2181 (1).

  151. 151.

    Ibid; Caulfield et al. (2021).

  152. 152.

    Mastrandrea et al. (2010), p. 1; Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (2005), p. 3, which stipulated a quantitative metric for expressing the confidence level.

  153. 153.

    Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (2005), para 13.

  154. 154.

    Mastrandrea et al. (2010), p. 1.

  155. 155.

    Ibid, Annex A, referring to Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (2005), para 13; see further on the development Mastrandrea et al. (2011).

  156. 156.

    Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (2005), para 13.

  157. 157.

    Mastrandrea et al. (2010), Annex A.

  158. 158.

    Moore (2018), p. 644.

  159. 159.

    Cf. Renn (2008), pp. 306–309; cf. Gunderson (2018), pp. 717–718.

  160. 160.

    For an overview of respective critics, see Renn (2008), p. 306.

  161. 161.

    Ibid, p. 304.

  162. 162.

    Chambers (2021), p. 152, citing Dryzek et al. (2019); Gastil et al. (2008); for further case study references, see Renn (2008), pp. 309, 350.

  163. 163.

    See references cited in Renn (2008), p. 313.

  164. 164.

    For plenty references, see ibid, pp. 309, 350.

  165. 165.

    For an overview and evaluation of experiences with these applications, see ibid, pp. 347–350.

  166. 166.

    See generally Gunderson (2018), p. 729.

  167. 167.

    Renn (2008), p. 350 with many references.

  168. 168.

    Gunderson (2018), p. 717.

  169. 169.

    Ibid, pp. 715–716, citing Dietz and Stern (2008), p. 226.

  170. 170.

    Renn (2008), p. 291.

  171. 171.

    Gunderson (2018), pp. 715–716, citing Dietz and Stern (2008), p. 226.

  172. 172.

    See Sect. 1.1.3.

  173. 173.

    Paletta (2011), pp. 870–871.

  174. 174.

    Scharpf (1997), p. 19; Christiano and Bajaj (2022), para 2.2.1.

  175. 175.

    Brettschneider (2005), p. 424; Holst (2012), p. 50.

  176. 176.

    Chambers (2017), p. 270; Fung (2007), p. 449.

  177. 177.

    Baade (2017), p. 311; Chambers (2003), p. 309.

  178. 178.

    Estlund and Landemore (2018), p. 120.

  179. 179.

    Knight and Johnson (1994), pp. 285–286; Christiano (2009), pp. 2–4; Gunderson (2018), pp. 719–720.

  180. 180.

    Christiano (2009), p. 3; Knight and Johnson (1994), p. 285.

  181. 181.

    Christiano (2009), p. 3; Knight and Johnson (1994), pp. 285–286.

  182. 182.

    Habermas (1996).

  183. 183.

    Gutmann and Thompson (2004).

  184. 184.

    Peter (2017), para 4.3.

  185. 185.

    Knight and Johnson (1994), pp. 281–287.

  186. 186.

    Habermas (1996), p. 304.

  187. 187.

    See Habermas (2015), pp. 36–39.

  188. 188.

    Ibid, p. 37; see generally Holst (2012), p. 51; Misak (2009), p. 33; Baade (2017), p. 313; cf. Schumpeter (2010), p. 226.

  189. 189.

    Peter (2017), para 3.3.

  190. 190.

    Chambers (2003), p. 309; Christiano (2009), pp. 7–8; Misak (2009), p. 33; Estlund and Landemore (2018), pp. 123–125.

  191. 191.

    Rawls (1987).

  192. 192.

    Ibid, p. 4 Fn 7.

  193. 193.

    Ibid, p. 13 Fn 21; Christiano (2009), pp. 8–9.

  194. 194.

    Baade (2017), p. 311; Misak (2009), p. 33; Chambers (2017), p. 268; Knight and Johnson (1994), p. 284; Peter (2017), para 4.3.

  195. 195.

    Chambers (2003), p. 308.

  196. 196.

    Chambers (2017), pp. 268–270.

  197. 197.

    See Muirhead (2015) and Bernholz (1966); see further Knight and Johnson (1994); see generally Estlund and Landemore (2018), p. 125.

  198. 198.

    See Baade (2017), pp. 308, 314–315; Waldron (2012), pp. 187, 191–197; Christiano and Bajaj (2022), para 1.

  199. 199.

    Christiansen and Hallsson (2017), p. 60.

  200. 200.

    Goodin (1993).

  201. 201.

    See Baade (2017), pp. 308, 314–315; Waldron (2012), pp. 187, 191–197; Christiano and Bajaj (2022), para 1.

  202. 202.

    Baade (2017), pp. 308–310.

  203. 203.

    Meghani (2009), p. 133.

  204. 204.

    Ibid.

  205. 205.

    Ibid, p. 131.

  206. 206.

    Fung (2007), p. 449.

  207. 207.

    Ibid, pp. 448–449; Meghani (2009), p. 131.

  208. 208.

    Baade (2017), p. 309.

  209. 209.

    Fung (2007), pp. 448–449; Meghani (2009), p. 131.

  210. 210.

    Fung (2007), p. 449.

  211. 211.

    Baade (2017), p. 309.

  212. 212.

    Muirhead (2015).

  213. 213.

    Waldron (2012), p. 198, with further references; Kitcher (2011), pp. 63–65.

  214. 214.

    Kitcher (2011), p. 65.

  215. 215.

    Baade (2017), pp. 315–316.

  216. 216.

    Christiano and Bajaj (2022), para 2.2.3.

  217. 217.

    Baade (2017), pp. 312–313.

  218. 218.

    ECtHR, Young, James and Webster v United Kingdom, Judgment, 13 August 1981, Eur Court HR (ser A) 44, para 63; the Court confirmed this interpretation in ECtHR, Chassagnou and Others v France, Judgment, 29 April 1999, Eur Court HR III 21, p. 65 para 112 and in ECtHR, Sørensen and Rasmussen v Denmark, Judgment, 11 January 2006, Eur Court HR I 1, pp. 29–30 para 58.

  219. 219.

    Schäfer (2006), p. 187; Baade (2017), pp. 316–317; Christiano and Bajaj (2022), paras 4, 4.3; Waldron (2012), pp. 200–201.

  220. 220.

    Schäfer (2006), p. 187; Baade (2017), pp. 316–317; Christiano and Bajaj (2022), paras 4, 4.3; Waldron (2012), pp. 200–201.

  221. 221.

    Strøm (2000), pp. 266–267.

  222. 222.

    Ibid; Gunderson (2018), p. 728; Baade (2017), pp. 313, 317.

  223. 223.

    Renn (2008), p. 332.

  224. 224.

    Baade (2017), pp. 312–313; see Moravcsik (2004), p. 337.

  225. 225.

    Christiano and Bajaj (2022), paras 2.2.1, 2.2.3; Fung (2007).

  226. 226.

    Waldron (2012), p. 200.

  227. 227.

    Ibid.

  228. 228.

    Ibid.

  229. 229.

    Chambers (2003), p. 308.

  230. 230.

    Waldron (2012), p. 200.

  231. 231.

    Chambers (2017), p. 270.

  232. 232.

    Ibid, pp. 268, 270; Holst (2012), p. 53.

  233. 233.

    Lauta (2018), p. 50.

  234. 234.

    Moore (2018), pp. 641–642; Jasanoff (2003), pp. 158, 161.

  235. 235.

    Holst (2014), p. 2; Holst and Molander (2017), p. 235; Holst and Molander (2019), p. 542.

  236. 236.

    Moore (2014), p. 54.

  237. 237.

    Jasanoff (1994); see further Vibert (2007).

  238. 238.

    Rayner (2003).

  239. 239.

    Rayner (2007), p. 166.

  240. 240.

    See Lauta and Faure (2016), p. 183; Rayner (2007), pp. 168, 171.

  241. 241.

    Swyngedouw (2010), pp. 225–227.

  242. 242.

    Lavazza and Farina (2020) and Boschele (2020).

  243. 243.

    Staudenmaier (2020); Lavazza and Farina (2020), pp. 1–2.

  244. 244.

    Staudenmaier (2020).

  245. 245.

    Baade (2017), p. 319; with respect to the European Union, see Moravcsik (2002, 2004).

  246. 246.

    Bohman (1999), p. 596; see Bouchard (2016), p. 588.

  247. 247.

    Moore (2018), p. 642.

  248. 248.

    Chambers (2017), p. 268.

  249. 249.

    Baade (2017), p. 319; Bouchard (2016).

  250. 250.

    Gutmann and Thompson (2004), pp. 5, 146; see further Holst and Molander (2017), p. 242.

  251. 251.

    Gutmann and Thompson (2004), pp. 5, 146; Bouchard (2016), pp. 593–594.

  252. 252.

    Moore (2018), p. 644.

  253. 253.

    Holst and Molander (2017), p. 242.

  254. 254.

    Ibid, pp. 242–243.

  255. 255.

    See Murphy and Gardoni (2012), p. 990; Hansson (2012), pp. 32–33.

  256. 256.

    Bae et al. (2020), W23.

  257. 257.

    World Health Organization, Regional Office for the Western Pacific (2020).

  258. 258.

    Altmetric (2020).

  259. 259.

    One study found that medical journals halved the reviewing period based on an assessment of 669 articles, Horbach (2020). Another, and more extensive, statistical study determined the median time between submission to journals’ acceptance of COVID-19 articles to be just 6 days in comparison to a typical median of around 100 days, Palayew et al. (2020).

  260. 260.

    Mehra et al. (2020a, b).

  261. 261.

    Mayo-Yánez (2020), Else (2020), Bajak Aleszu and Howe (2020) and Caulfield et al. (2021).

  262. 262.

    Rabin (2020).

  263. 263.

    Baade (2017), pp. 319–320.

  264. 264.

    See ibid, p. 313.

  265. 265.

    Misak (2009), p. 33; Baade (2017), p. 313.

  266. 266.

    Reuchamps and Suiter (2016).

  267. 267.

    Rayner (2003, 2007); Swyngedouw (2010); Vibert (2007); Cerovac (2016), p. 79.

  268. 268.

    Renn (2008), pp. 96–97, citing Cross (1998) and Coglianese (1999); see further Christoforou (2003), p. 208; cf. Murphy and Gardoni (2012), pp. 989–990.

  269. 269.

    Roeser et al. (2012), pp. 8–9.

  270. 270.

    Peter (2017), para 4.

  271. 271.

    Holst (2012), pp. 50–51.

  272. 272.

    Brennan (2016); Holst (2012), p. 41.

  273. 273.

    See Peter (2017), para 4.1.

  274. 274.

    See ibid.

  275. 275.

    Stewart (1995), p. 57; see further Jensen (2012), p. 407.

  276. 276.

    Beisbart (2012); on the development of the ‘rationality’ concept in legal studies, see Stoll (2003), pp. 328–330; Roeser et al. (2012), pp. 8–9; Jensen (2012).

  277. 277.

    Jensen (2012), p. 407.

  278. 278.

    Horkheimer (2013), p. 2; see generally Sunstein and Pildes (1997), p. 137.

  279. 279.

    Horkheimer (2013), p. 2.

  280. 280.

    Cross (1998), p. 35; see Sunstein and Pildes (1997), p. 131; see for a critique of such approaches Thompson (1990).

  281. 281.

    Breyer (1993), p. 55.

  282. 282.

    See Sects. 1.1.2 and 2.1.

  283. 283.

    Sunstein and Pildes (1997), p. 145.

  284. 284.

    Breyer (1993), p. 60.

  285. 285.

    Ibid.

  286. 286.

    Evans (2006), p. 222.

  287. 287.

    See, e.g., Slovic (1987) and Fischhoff et al. (1978).

  288. 288.

    For further references, see Shrader-Frechette (1991), pp. 89–99.

  289. 289.

    Brennan (2016).

  290. 290.

    See generally Ganesh (2020) and Jones (2020).

  291. 291.

    See, e.g., Duncan (2020) and Sanger et al. (2020).

  292. 292.

    Schudson (2006), p. 500; see Fischer (1990), p. 24; see Haring (2010), p. 248; see further Holst and Molander (2019), p. 548.

  293. 293.

    Jamieson (2014), p. 100.

  294. 294.

    Cf. Fiorino (2018).

  295. 295.

    Shearman and Smith (2007), p. 4.

  296. 296.

    See generally Christiano and Bajaj (2022), paras 2–2.2.3.

  297. 297.

    Holst (2012), pp. 42–43.

  298. 298.

    Evans (2006), p. 217; Holst and Molander (2019), p. 541; Holst (2012), p. 43.

  299. 299.

    Horkheimer (2013), p. 2.

  300. 300.

    Holst (2012), p. 43; Runciman (2018), p. 122.

  301. 301.

    For examples of governments with epistocratic characteristics in European history, see Holst (2012), p. 43; Runciman (2018), p. 183.

  302. 302.

    Mill (1861), p. 168; Holst (2012), p. 43; Runciman (2018), p. 122.

  303. 303.

    Haring (2010), pp. 160–161.

  304. 304.

    Fischer (1990), p. 17.

  305. 305.

    Runciman (2018), p. 180; Holst (2012), p. 41.

  306. 306.

    Haring (2010), pp. 260–261.

  307. 307.

    Estlund and Landemore (2018), p. 126; Runciman (2018), p. 180; see generally Mulligan (2015).

  308. 308.

    Runciman (2018), p. 123.

  309. 309.

    Brennan (2014, 2016).

  310. 310.

    Nunan (2014), p. 89.

  311. 311.

    Schumpeter (2010), pp. 241, 245; see Baade (2017), p. 310.

  312. 312.

    Schumpeter (2010), p. 214; see Baade (2017), pp. 310–311; Fung (2007), p. 448, who refers to this theory as ‘minimal democracy’.

  313. 313.

    Christiano and Bajaj (2022), para 4.2.1.

  314. 314.

    See Held (2006), pp. 146–151.

  315. 315.

    Schumpeter (2010), pp. 225–227; see Fung (2007), p. 448; Held (2006), pp. 146–148.

  316. 316.

    Held (2006), p. 147.

  317. 317.

    Schumpeter (2010), p. 230.

  318. 318.

    Held (2006), p. 148.

  319. 319.

    Nunan (2014), p. 96.

  320. 320.

    Christiano and Bajaj (2022), para 4.2.1.

  321. 321.

    Cf. Dryzek (2001), p. 663.

  322. 322.

    Runciman (2018), p. 184; see further Haring (2010), p. 249.

  323. 323.

    Held (2006), pp. 152–153.

  324. 324.

    Rawls (1987), p. 13 Fn 21.

  325. 325.

    See on this point Held (2006), p. 153.

  326. 326.

    Moravcsik (2004), p. 338.

  327. 327.

    See Horkheimer (2013), p. 2.

  328. 328.

    Rawls (1987).

  329. 329.

    See Sect. 5.1.1.2.

  330. 330.

    Cross (1998); see Sunstein and Pildes (1997), p. 131.

  331. 331.

    Haring (2010), p. 249, with further references; Thompson (1990), p. 22.

  332. 332.

    Hansson (2012), p. 29, with many references; see further Thompson (1990).

  333. 333.

    Stoll (2003), p. 331; Möller (2012), p. 71.

  334. 334.

    Green (1981), p. 11.

  335. 335.

    See Sects. 1.1.3, 1.5.4 and 5.1.1.2.2.

  336. 336.

    Hartzell-Nichols (2012), p. 948.

  337. 337.

    See, e.g., Cross (1998).

  338. 338.

    Thompson (1990), p. 22; see further Hansson (2012), pp. 29, 32–33.

  339. 339.

    See generally Hansson (2012), pp. 32–33.

  340. 340.

    Van Coile (2016), p. 37; Stoll (2003), p. 268.

  341. 341.

    Hansson (2012), p. 32.

  342. 342.

    See Murphy and Gardoni (2012), p. 990; Hansson (2012), pp. 32–33.

  343. 343.

    See Rawls (1997), p. 771; Cerovac (2016), p. 79.

  344. 344.

    Habermas (2015), p. 36; Cerovac (2016), pp. 77–78.

  345. 345.

    Mirrlees (1982); Cranor (1993), pp. 123, 126.

  346. 346.

    Hansson (2012), p. 32.

  347. 347.

    Ibid.

  348. 348.

    See ibid.

  349. 349.

    Ibid, p. 29.

  350. 350.

    Renn (2008), p. 155.

  351. 351.

    Haring (2010), p. 248; see further Saretzki (1994), p. 361; Held (2006), p. 154.

  352. 352.

    Haring (2010), p. 248; see further Saretzki (1994), p. 361.

  353. 353.

    Runciman (2018), p. 185.

  354. 354.

    Schumpeter (2010), p. 241.

  355. 355.

    Held (2006), pp. 153–154.

  356. 356.

    Walker (1966).

  357. 357.

    Horkheimer (2013), p. 1.

  358. 358.

    Stewart (1995), p. 58; see generally Sunstein and Pildes (1997), p. 137.

  359. 359.

    Stewart (1995), pp. 58–59.

  360. 360.

    Ibid, p. 59.

  361. 361.

    Roeser et al. (2012), p. 9; see generally Kahan et al. (2006), pp. 1074–1076, who refers to the ‘irrational-weigher model’.

  362. 362.

    Roeser et al. (2012), p. 9.

  363. 363.

    Christiansen and Hallsson (2017), pp. 59–60; Baade (2017), pp. 308–313.

  364. 364.

    Sunstein (2005b), p. 126; cf. Christiansen and Hallsson (2017).

  365. 365.

    Sunstein (2005b); cf. Christiansen and Hallsson (2017), in particular p. 60.

  366. 366.

    Sunstein (2002a), p. 102.

  367. 367.

    Ibid; Sunstein (2005b), p. 126; cf. on the merit of Sunstein’s argument Christiansen and Hallsson (2017); cf. further Kahan et al. (2006) and Shrader-Frechette (2005).

  368. 368.

    Slovic (2000), p. 22.

  369. 369.

    Evans (2006), p. 221; see further Cross (1998), p. 37.

  370. 370.

    Sunstein (2005b); see Viscusi (1992), p. 25; cf. Sunstein and Pildes (1997); Breyer (1993), pp. 55–63.

  371. 371.

    See Renn (2008), p. 96, citing Cross (1998) and Coglianese (1999).

  372. 372.

    For critical voices, see Christiansen and Hallsson (2017), p. 63; Fischhoff et al. (1978), p. 130; Slovic (1987).

  373. 373.

    Christiansen and Hallsson (2017), p. 63; Sunstein and Pildes (1997), pp. 128–130; Hartzell-Nichols (2012), p. 948; Shrader-Frechette (2005); Clarke (2010); MacLean (2012), pp. 798–799.

  374. 374.

    Meghani (2014), p. 983; Christiansen and Hallsson (2017), p. 63.

  375. 375.

    Christiansen and Hallsson (2017), p. 63; Sunstein and Pildes (1997), pp. 139–141; Viscusi (1992), Ch 2; Viscusi (2015), pp. 1123–1126; Hansson (2007), pp. 163–164.

  376. 376.

    Murphy and Gardoni (2012), p. 985.

  377. 377.

    Viscusi (1992), pp. 7–8; Sunstein (2005a), p. 353.

  378. 378.

    Sunstein (2005a), pp. 352–353; Murphy and Gardoni (2012), p. 985; Sunstein (2005b), p. 132.

  379. 379.

    Sunstein (2005a), p. 353; Murphy and Gardoni (2012), p. 985; MacLean (2012), p. 799.

  380. 380.

    Sunstein (2005a), p. 353; Murphy and Gardoni (2012), p. 985.

  381. 381.

    Meghani (2009), pp. 137–138.

  382. 382.

    Sunstein and Pildes (1997), pp. 140–141; Shrader-Frechette (1991), pp. 72–73.

  383. 383.

    Meghani (2009), pp. 137–138.

  384. 384.

    Sunstein and Pildes (1997), p. 141.

  385. 385.

    MacLean (2012), p. 799.

  386. 386.

    Sunstein and Pildes (1997), p. 141.

  387. 387.

    Ibid, p. 140.

  388. 388.

    Slovic (1987), p. 285.

  389. 389.

    See generally Held (2006), p. 153.

  390. 390.

    See Baade (2017), pp. 320–321.

  391. 391.

    Howse (2000), p. 2337.

  392. 392.

    Fischhoff et al. (1978), p. 149.

  393. 393.

    Urbinati (2014), p. 10, quoting Holmes (1995), p. 196; Rayner (2003), p. 164; Rayner (2007), p. 168.

  394. 394.

    In relation to Germany, see, e.g., Gesamtverband der Deutschen Versicherungswirtschaft e. V. (2021).

  395. 395.

    See Viscusi (1992), p. 25; see Murphy and Gardoni (2012), p. 985; Christiansen and Hallsson (2017), pp. 62–64; Ivčević et al. (2021).

  396. 396.

    See generally Fung (2007), p. 449.

  397. 397.

    Murphy and Gardoni (2012), p. 990; see further Sunstein and Pildes (1997), pp. 135–136.

  398. 398.

    See Sect. 5.2.1.

  399. 399.

    See Walker (1966).

  400. 400.

    Renn (2008), p. 96, citing Liberatore and Funtowicz (2003) and Jasanoff (2004); see further Stoll (2003), pp. 328–332.

  401. 401.

    Chambers (2003), p. 309.

  402. 402.

    Christiano (2020), para 5.

  403. 403.

    Habermas (1996), p. 304.

  404. 404.

    Gunderson (2018), p. 721.

  405. 405.

    Renn (2008), p. 313.

  406. 406.

    Christiano and Bajaj (2022), paras 2.2.1, 2.2.3; Walker (1966), pp. 286–289.

  407. 407.

    Holst (2012), p. 52; see further Fischer (1990), pp. 21–26.

  408. 408.

    Urbinati (2014), p. 10, quoting Holmes (1995), p. 196; Rayner (2003), p. 164; Rayner (2007), p. 168.

  409. 409.

    Howse (2000), p. 2330.

  410. 410.

    See Walker (1966).

  411. 411.

    Howse (2000), p. 2335; see generally Crosweller and Wilmshurst (2013).

  412. 412.

    See Walker (1966); Sunstein and Pildes (1997), pp. 145–146, who discuss Breyer’s proposal of an ‘expert cadre’.

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Simmig, C.A. (2023). The ‘Better Argument’ in Legitimate Risk Governance. In: Of Risks and Normative Responses. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-41104-5_5

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