Skip to main content

A Machine Learning Approach for Seismic Vulnerability Ranking

  • Conference paper
  • First Online:
Engineering Applications of Neural Networks (EANN 2023)

Part of the book series: Communications in Computer and Information Science ((CCIS,volume 1826))

Abstract

Structures often suffer damages as a result of earthquakes, potentially threatening human lives, disrupting the economy and requiring large amounts of monetary reparations. Thus, it is essential for governments to be able to rank a given population of structures according to their expected degree of damage in an earthquake, in order for them to properly allocate the available resources for prevention. In this paper, the authors present a ranking approach, based on Machine Learning (ML) algorithms for pairwise comparisons, coupled with ad hoc ranking rules. The degree of damage of several structures from the Athens 1999 earthquake, along with collected attributes of the building, were used as input. The performance of the ML classification algorithms was evaluated using the respective metrics of Precision, Recall, F1-score, Accuracy and Area Under Curve (AUC). The overall performance was evaluated using Kendall’s tau distance and by viewing the problem as a classification into bins. The obtained results were promising, outperforming currently employed engineering practices. They have shown the capabilities and potential of these models in mitigating the effects of earthquakes on society.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 84.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 109.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

References

  1. Greek code for seismic resistant structures - EAK (2000). https://iisee.kenken.go.jp/worldlist/23_Greece/23_Greece_Code.pdf

  2. Alam, N., Alam, M.S., Tesfamariam, S.: Buildings’ seismic vulnerability assessment methods: a comparative study. Nat. Hazards 62, 405–424 (2012)

    Google Scholar 

  3. Barbat, A.H., Carreño, M.L., Pujades, L.G., Lantada, N., Cardona, O.D., Marulanda, M.C.: Seismic vulnerability and risk evaluation methods for urban areas a review with application to a pilot area. Struct Infrastructure Eng. 6(1–2), 17–38 (2010)

    Google Scholar 

  4. Buckland, M., Gey, F.: The relationship between recall and precision. J. Am. Society Inf. Sci. 45(1), 12–19 (1994)

    Google Scholar 

  5. Cicirello, V.A.: Kendall tau sequence distance: Extending Kendall tau from ranks to sequences. arXiv preprint arXiv:1905.02752 (2019)

  6. Code, P.: Eurocode 8: Design of structures for earthquake resistance-part 1: general rules, seismic actions and rules for buildings. European Committee for Standardization, Brussels (2005)

    Google Scholar 

  7. Cunningham, P., Delany, S.J.: k-nearest neighbour classifiers-A tutorial. ACM Comput. Surv. (CSUR) 54(6), 1–25 (2021)

    Google Scholar 

  8. Fawagreh, K., Gaber, M.M., Elyan, E.: Random forests: from early developments to recent advancements. Syst. Sci. Control Eng. An Open Access J. 2(1), 602–609 (2014)

    Google Scholar 

  9. Flach, P., Kull, M.: Precision-recall-gain curves: PR analysis done right. In: Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems 28 (2015)

    Google Scholar 

  10. Geurts, P., Ernst, D., Wehenkel, L.: Extremely randomized trees. Mach. Learn. 63, 3–42 (2006)

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  11. Ghasemi, S.H., Bahrami, H., Akbari, M.: Classification of seismic vulnerability based on machine learning techniques for RC frames. J. Soft Comput. Civil Eng. (2020)

    Google Scholar 

  12. Gutiérrez, P.A., Perez-Ortiz, M., Sanchez-Monedero, J., Fernandez-Navarro, F., Hervas-Martinez, C.: Ordinal regression methods: survey and experimental study. IEEE Trans. Knowl. Data Eng. 28(1), 127–146 (2015)

    Google Scholar 

  13. Herbrich, R.: Support vector learning for ordinal regression. In: Proceedings of 9th International Conference on Neural Networks 1999, pp. 97–102 (1999)

    Google Scholar 

  14. Karabinis, A.: Calibration of Rapid Visual Screening in Reinforced Concrete Structures based on data after a near field earthquake (7.9.1999 Athens - Greece) (2004). https://www.oasp.gr/assigned_program/2385

  15. Köppen, M.: The curse of dimensionality. In: 5th Online World Conference on Soft Computing in Industrial Applications (WSC5), vol. 1, pp. 4–8 (2000)

    Google Scholar 

  16. Kotsiantis, S.B.: Decision trees: a recent overview. Artif. Intell. Rev. 39, 261–283 (2013)

    Google Scholar 

  17. Kotsiantis, S.B., Zaharakis, I., Pintelas, P., et al.: Supervised machine learning: A review of classification techniques. Emerging Artifi. Intell. Appli. Comput. Eng. 160(1), 3–24 (2007)

    Google Scholar 

  18. Kumari, R., Srivastava, S.K.: Machine learning: A review on binary classification. Int. J. Comput. Appli. 160(7) (2017)

    Google Scholar 

  19. Lang, K., Bachmann, H.: On the seismic vulnerability of existing unreinforced masonry buildings. J. Earthquake Eng. 7(03), 407–426 (2003)

    Google Scholar 

  20. Li, L., Lin, H.T.: Ordinal regression by extended binary classification. In: Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems 19 (2006)

    Google Scholar 

  21. Liu, Y., Li, X., Kong, A.W.K., Goh, C.K.: Learning from small data: A pairwise approach for ordinal regression. In: 2016 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence (SSCI), pp. 1–6. IEEE (2016)

    Google Scholar 

  22. Lizundia, B., et al.: Update of fema p-154: Rapid visual screening for potential seismic hazards. In: Improving the Seismic Performance of Existing Buildings and Other Structures 2015, pp. 775–786 (2015)

    Google Scholar 

  23. Luo, H., Paal, S.G.: A locally weighted machine learning model for generalized prediction of drift capacity in seismic vulnerability assessments. Comput. Aided Civil Infrastructure Eng. 34(11), 935–950 (2019)

    Google Scholar 

  24. Marom, N.D., Rokach, L., Shmilovici, A.: Using the confusion matrix for improving ensemble classifiers. In: 2010 IEEE 26-th Convention of Electrical and Electronics Engineers in Israel, pp. 000555–000559. IEEE (2010)

    Google Scholar 

  25. Nanda, R., Majhi, D.: Review on rapid seismic vulnerability assessment for bulk of buildings. J. Institution of Eng. (India): Series A 94, 187–197 (2013)

    Google Scholar 

  26. Natekin, A., Knoll, A.: Gradient boosting machines, a tutorial. Front. Neurorobot. 7, 21 (2013)

    Google Scholar 

  27. Ningthoujam, M., Nanda, R.P.: Rapid visual screening procedure of existing building based on statistical analysis. In. J. Disaster Risk Reduct. 28, 720–730 (2018)

    Google Scholar 

  28. Pedregosa, F., et al.: Scikit-learn: Machine learning in Python. J. Mach. Learn. Res. 12, 2825–2830 (2011)

    MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  29. Rahman, A., Tasnim, S.: Ensemble classifiers and their applications: a review. arXiv preprint arXiv:1404.4088 (2014)

  30. Rosti, A., Rota, M., Penna, A.: An empirical seismic vulnerability model. Bull. Earthquake Eng., 1–27 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-022-01374-3

  31. Ruggieri, S., Cardellicchio, A., Leggieri, V., Uva, G.: Machine-learning based vulnerability analysis of existing buildings. Autom. Constr. 132, 103936 (2021)

    Google Scholar 

  32. Singh, A., Prakash, B.S., Chandrasekaran, K.: A comparison of linear discriminant analysis and ridge classifier on Twitter data. In: 2016 International Conference on Computing, Communication and Automation (ICCCA), pp. 133–138. IEEE (2016)

    Google Scholar 

  33. So, Y.: A tutorial on logistic regression. SAS White Papers (1995)

    Google Scholar 

  34. Soofi, A.A., Awan, A.: Classification techniques in machine learning: applications and issues. J. Basic Appl. Sci 13, 459–465 (2017)

    Google Scholar 

  35. Tesfamariam, S., Saatcioglu, M.: Risk-based seismic evaluation of reinforced concrete buildings. Earthq. Spectra 24(3), 795–821 (2008)

    Google Scholar 

  36. Vanschoren, J.: Meta-learning: A survey. arXiv preprint arXiv:1810.03548 (2018)

  37. Vicente, R., Parodi, S., Lagomarsino, S., Varum, H., Silva, J.M.: Seismic vulnerability and risk assessment: case study of the historic city centre of Coimbra, Portugal. Bull. Earthq. Eng. 9, 1067–1096 (2011)

    Google Scholar 

  38. Visa, S., Ramsay, B., Ralescu, A.L., Van Der Knaap, E.: Confusion matrix-based feature selection. Maics 710(1), 120–127 (2011)

    Google Scholar 

  39. Wauthier, F., Jordan, M., Jojic, N.: Efficient ranking from pairwise comparisons. In: International Conference on Machine Learning, pp. 109–117. PMLR (2013)

    Google Scholar 

  40. Yuan, Y., Wu, L., Zhang, X.: Gini-impurity index analysis. IEEE Trans. Inf. Forensics Secur. 16, 3154–3169 (2021)

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Ioannis Karampinis .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2023 The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG

About this paper

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this paper

Karampinis, I., Iliadis, L. (2023). A Machine Learning Approach for Seismic Vulnerability Ranking. In: Iliadis, L., Maglogiannis, I., Alonso, S., Jayne, C., Pimenidis, E. (eds) Engineering Applications of Neural Networks. EANN 2023. Communications in Computer and Information Science, vol 1826. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-34204-2_1

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-34204-2_1

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-031-34203-5

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-031-34204-2

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics