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Spatio-Temporal Changes of Rainfall Pattern Under Changing Climate in West Bengal, India

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Climate Change, Agriculture and Society

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Abstract

The study of rainfall variability is essential to the environmental researcher as it influences the agricultural-based economy like West Bengal. The primary aim of this research paper is to assess the inconsistent nature of the annual and seasonal rainfall of West Bengal. The 110 years (1901–2010) data of 18 meteorological stations of West Bengal are used in this study. The nonparametric Mann–Kendall (MK), modified Mann–Kendall (mMK), and Sen’s slope estimator (Q) are used to detect the trend and magnitude of the trend. Furthermore, the sub-trends of the data series are estimated using the innovative trend analysis (ITA) method. The percent bias (PBIAS) method is also used to compare the second half with the first half of the data series. The results of the ITA showed Alipore (2.64) and Balurghat (Q = −2.17) had a maximum increasing and a decreasing trend in the annual rainfall. On the seasonal, summer (56%) and post-monsoon (100%) seasons are dominated by increasing trends, while decreasing trends dominate monsoon (61%) and winter (56%) seasons. The results of the MK/mMK and PBIAS, more or less similar to the ITA, confirm its reliability for trend detection. The findings of this study can provide a proper way to develop future projects, as it can clarify the reliable information about the rainfall variability throughout the year and can also afford a power of sustain for water resources and agricultural development.

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Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Geography and Applied Geography, University of North Bengal, Siliguri, India

    Debapriya Poddar & Tapash Mandal

  2. Department of Geography, Rampurhat College, PO-Rampurhat, Birbhum, 731224, India

    Jayanta Das

Authors
  1. Debapriya Poddar
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  2. Tapash Mandal
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  3. Jayanta Das
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Correspondence to Jayanta Das .

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Editors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Geography, Serampore Girls’ College, Serampore, West Bengal, India

    Asraful Alam

  2. Department of Geography, Aliah University, Kolkata, West Bengal, India

    Rukhsana

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Poddar, D., Mandal, T., Das, J. (2023). Spatio-Temporal Changes of Rainfall Pattern Under Changing Climate in West Bengal, India. In: Alam, A., Rukhsana (eds) Climate Change, Agriculture and Society. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-28251-5_2

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