Abstract
The analysis of the reliability of modeling the risk of default by Russian companies on bonds using boolean variables is carried out. When determining the type of Boolean variables, the operations of logical addition and logical multiplication were used, which makes it possible to take into account the ratio of the company’s liabilities and various sources of financing the company’s liabilities, such as sales proceeds, company profits, and current assets. When analyzing the applicability of complex Boolean variables, the Fisher criterion was used. A regression analysis of the effectiveness of modeling the risk of default by Russian companies on bonds has been carried out. From the whole variety of variables reflecting the financial condition of the company, we have identified those variables that can be most accurately used in the study of the risk of default by Russian companies on securities.
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Makarov, S.I., Boldyrev, M.A. (2022). Application of Bool Variables in Analysis of Risks in the Bond Market. In: Ashmarina, S.I., Mantulenko, V.V. (eds) Digital Technologies in the New Socio-Economic Reality. ISCDTE 2021. Lecture Notes in Networks and Systems, vol 304. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-83175-2_60
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