Abstract
The changes in the meteorological variables are one of the most important factors that affect crop water requirements and, subsequently, water allocation for food production in an agriculture-based country like India. The present study evaluates the application of statistical trend detection tests and examines the magnitude slope of trends in climatic variables viz., rainfall, Potential Evapotranspiration (PET), and temperature over the west-flowing rivers in the Tapi to Tadri basin, India. In the present study, high-resolution daily gridded rainfall dataset of India Meteorological Department (IMD) at 0.25 × 0.25° resolution, while the PET and temperature data of Climate Research Unit (CRU) at 0.5 × 0.5° resolution have been analyzed for a period of 116 years (1901–2016) at the annual scale. The trends in aforesaid climate variables have been detected using the non-parametric Mann–Kendall (MK) and the Modified Mann–Kendall (MMK) tests, and the slope of trend magnitude is computed from Sen’s Slope (SS) test. The results indicated an increasing trend in annual rainfall across 61% grids, while decreasing across 37% grids and no trends were observed at remaining grids out of 119 grids. Further, an increasing trend in potential evapotranspiration, maximum, mean, and minimum temperatures were observed at all the 40 grids. Thus, an increase in temperature was greatly responsible for increasing trends in potential evapotranspiration across the study region. The outcomes of the present study provide insight into the climate variability and interaction among the meteorological variables across the Tapi to Tadri basin for the study period.
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
References
Alexander LV, Zhang X, Peterson TC, Caesar J, Gleason B, Klein Tank AMG, Haylock M, Collins D, Trewin B, Rahimzadeh F, Tagipour A, Rupa Kumar K, Revadekar J, Griffiths G, Vincent L, Stephenson DB, Burn J, Aguilar E, Brunet M, Taylor M, New M, Zhai P, Rusticucci M, Vazquez-Aguirre JL (2006) Global observed changes in daily climate extremes of temperature and precipitation. J Geo Res 111(5) D05109-1-22
Boccolari M, Malmusi S (2013) Changes in temperature and precipitation extremes observed in Modena, Italy. Atmos Res 122:16–31
Caloiero T (2017) Trend of monthly temperature and daily extreme temperature during 1951–2012 in New Zealand. Theor Appl Climtol 129(1–2):111–127
Doorenbos J, Pruitt WO (1977) Guidelines for predicting crop water requirements. In: Irrigation and Drainage Paper No 24, 2nd edn., Food and Agriculture Organization, Rome, p 156
Dore MHI (2005) Climate change and changes in global precipitation patterns: what do we know? Environ Int 31:1167–1181
Frich P, Alexander LV, Gleason B, Haylock M, Tank AMGK, Peterson T (2002) Observed coherent changes in climatic extremes during the second half of the twentieth century. Clim Res 19:193–212
Ghosh S, Luniya V, Gupta A (2009) Trend analysis of Indian summer monsoon rainfall at different spatial scales. Atmos Sci Let 10(4):285–290
Goyal RK (2004) Sensitivity of evapotranspiration to global warming: a case study of arid zone of Rajasthan (India). Agric Water Manag 69:1–11
Haijun L, Yan L, Tanny J, Ruihao Z, Guanhua H (2014) Quantitative estimation of climate change effects on potential evapotranspiration in Beijing during 1951–2010. J Geogr Sci 24:93–112
Hamed KH, Rao AR (1998) A modified Mann-Kendall trend test for autocorrelated data. J Hydrol 204:182–196
He Y, Tian P, Mu X, Gao P, Zhao G, Wang F, Li P (2017) Changes in daily and monthly rainfall in the Middle Yellow River, China. Theor Appl Climtol 129(1–2):139–148
Helfer F, Lemckert C, Zhang H (2012) Impacts of climate change on temperature and evaporation from a large reservoir in Australia. J Hydrol 475:365–378
Hirsch RM, Slack JR, Smith RA (1982) Techniques of trend analysis for monthly water quality data. Water Resour Res 20(6):727–732
Hobbins MT, Ramírez JA, Brown TC (2004) Trends in pan evaporation and actual evaporation across the conterminous U.S.: paradoxical or complementary? Geophys Res Lett 31:L13503
Huo Z, Dai X, Feng S, Kang S, Huang G (2013) Effect of climate change on reference evapotranspiration and aridity index in arid region of China. J Hydrol 492:24–34
India-WRIS report (2014) West flowing rivers from Tapi to Tadri basin. Central Water Commission, Govt. of India
Jain SK, Agarwal PK, Singh VP (2007) Hydrology and water resources of India, vol 57. Springer Science & Business Media
Liu B, Chen J, Lu W, Chen X, Lian Y (2016) Spatiotemporal characteristics of precipitation changes in the Pearl River Basin, China. Theor Appl Climtol 123(3–4):537–550
Liu M, Tian H, Yang Q, Yang J, Song X, Lohrenz SE, Cai WJ (2013) Long-term trends in evapotranspiration and runoff over the drainage basins of the Gulf of Mexico during 1901–2008. Water Resour Res 49:1988–2012
Liu Y, Zhuang Q, Pan Z, Miralles D, Tchebakova N, Kicklighter D, Chen J, Sirin A, He Y, Zhou G, Melillo J (2014) Response of evapotranspiration and water availability to the changing climate in Northern Eurasia. Clim Change 1–15
Kendall MG (1975) Rank correlation methods. Charles Griffin London
Kundu S, Khare D, Mondal A (2016) Interrelationship of rainfall, temperature and reference evapotranspiration trends and their net response to the climate change in Central India. Theor Appl Climtol 1–22
Mann HB (1945) Nonparametric tests against trend. Econometr J Econom Soc 245–259
Martinez CJ, Maleski JJ, Miller MF (2012) Trends in precipitation and temperature in Florida, USA. J Hydrol 452–453:259–281
Peel MC, Finlayson BL, McMahon TA (2007) Updated world map of the Köppen–Geiger climate classification. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci Discuss 4(2):439–473
Quirk T (2012) Did the global temperature trend change at the end of the 1990s? Asia-Pac J Atmos Sci 48:339–344
Sharma D, Babel MS (2014) Trends in extreme rainfall and temperature indices in the western Thailand. Int J Climatol 34(7):2393–2407
Sharma PJ, Loliyana VD, Resmi SR, Timbadiya PV, Patel PL (2017) Spatio-temporal trends in extreme rainfall and temperature indices over Upper Tapi Basin, India. Theoret Appl Climatol 1–26
Soltani M, Laux P, Kunstmann H, Stan K, Sohrabi MM, Molanejad M, Zawar-Reza P (2016) Assessment of climate variations in temperature and precipitation extreme events over Iran. Theor Appl Climatol 126(3–4):775–795
Sonali P, Kumar DN (2016) Spatio-temporal variability of temperature and potential evapotranspiration over India. J Water Climate Change 7(4):810–822
Song X, Zhang J, AghaKouchak A, Roy SS, Xuan Y, Wang G, He R, Wang X, Liu C (2014) Rapid urbanization and changes in spatiotemporal characteristics of precipitation in Beijing metropolitan area. J Geophy Res: Atmos 119(19)
Soro GE, Noufé D, Goula Bi TA, Shorohou B (2016) Trend analysis for extreme rainfall at sub-daily fand daily timescales in Côte d’Ivoire. Climate 4(3):37
Trenberth KE (2011) Changes in precipitation with climate change. Climate Res 47(1/2):123–138
Xiao C, Wu P, Zhang L, Song L (2016) Robust increase in extreme summer rainfall intensity during the past four decades observed in China. Sci Rep 6
Ye Z, Li Z (2017) Spatiotemporal variability and trends of extreme precipitation in the Huaihe River Basin, a climatic transitional zone in East China. Adv Met 3197435
Zhai P, Zhang X, Wan H, Pan X (2005) Trends in total precipitation and frequency of daily precipitation extremes over China. J Climate 18(7):1096–1108
Zhang Q, Singh VP, Peng J, Chen YD, Li J (2012) Spatial–temporal changes of precipitation structure across the Pearl River basin, China. J Hydrol 440:113–122
Acknowledgements
The authors are also thankful to India Meteorological Department (IMD) for providing the necessary data to conduct the present study. The third author gratefully acknowledges the financial support received from the Department of Science and Technology (DST), Ministry of Science and Technology, Government of India vide their letter no. DST/INSPIRE Fellowship/2015/IF150634 dated January 11, 2016.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2022 The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Mahyavanshi, P., Loliyana, V.D., Sharma, P.J. (2022). Variability of Rainfall, Temperature, and Potential Evapotranspiration at Annual Time Scale Over Tapi to Tadri River Basin, India. In: Jha, R., Singh, V.P., Singh, V., Roy, L.B., Thendiyath, R. (eds) Hydrological Modeling. Water Science and Technology Library, vol 109. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-81358-1_26
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-81358-1_26
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-030-81357-4
Online ISBN: 978-3-030-81358-1
eBook Packages: Earth and Environmental ScienceEarth and Environmental Science (R0)