Abstract
Research on geological disasters has made several achievements in monitoring, early warning, and risk assessment. Substantial resources are being invested in prevention projects, but, due to geographical and demographical complexity, incompleteness of data, and small number of samples, a quantitative analysis on the number of geological disasters and the entity of investments in their prevention is a difficult problem. In this work, the relation is studied between the amount of resources invested in prevention and the number of geological disasters in subsequent years. The analysis is performed on historical data, using statistical methods and a LSTM recurrent neural network.
Authors acknowledge the financial support provided by the Research grant of Università Parthenope, DR no. 953, november 28th, 2016.
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Fiore, U., Marino, Z., Perla, F., Pietroluongo, M., Scognamiglio, S., Zanetti, a.P. (2021). Effectiveness of Investments in Prevention of Geological Disasters. In: Kotsireas, I.S., Nagurney, A., Pardalos, P.M., Tsokas, A. (eds) Dynamics of Disasters. Springer Optimization and Its Applications, vol 169. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-64973-9_6
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