Abstract
Time series arise in different fields of the economy and forecasting of them is important part of decision making. However, their intrinsic complexity and nonlinear behavior makes prediction in that field a challenging task. Hybrid artificial intelligence models are among the most powerful tools in handling such complex dynamics. This paper introduces a novel model which uses the empirical mode decomposition as a denoising and decomposition framework for the ensemble multidimensional Gaussian based neuro-fuzzy model in order to achieve better accuracy. The computational experimental results show clear advantages of the proposed approach - better prediction accuracy, faster error decay with preserving of the generalization abilities and reasonable computational overhead.
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Vlasenko, A., Vlasenko, N., Vynokurova, O., Peleshko, D. (2020). An Empirical Mode Decomposition Based Method to Synthesize Ensemble Multidimensional Gaussian Neuro-Fuzzy Models in Financial Forecasting. In: Babichev, S., Peleshko, D., Vynokurova, O. (eds) Data Stream Mining & Processing. DSMP 2020. Communications in Computer and Information Science, vol 1158. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-61656-4_9
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