Abstract
This chapter presents an analysis of the exterior context in which investing, company building, finance, and economics are currently operating. It brings to the forefront the biggest task of our time, namely solving the tension between: (1) our current economic model that is based on inflation, ongoing growth and debt in order to survive in the short-term at the expense of growing inequality, loss of asset value, and future generations while risking humanity’s existence; (2) exponentially growing technologies that are massively deflationary while creating abundance; and (3) the global grand challenges with massive existential threats. Therefore, I invite you to look at the hidden evolutionary forces operating under the cover in terms of past and future progress and how disruptive technologies, the compounded ingenuity of humanity’s collective evolution, are currently contributing positively to our planet’s health and humanity’s well-being. Whether the context is health, mobility, transportation, the connected world, the Internet of Things (IoT), robotics, artificial intelligence, augmented intelligence, virtual reality (VR), augmented reality (AR), brain-computer interfaces, or the convergence of them all, I suspect you will consider the result of the analysis to be rather promising. Evolutionary forces have endowed humanity with the necessary resources, technological know-how, innovation, creativity, and massive amounts of capital to create mindboggling technology and evolving mindsets that can conspire to address existential threats.
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Notes
- 1.
An earlier version of this section was published on medium.com, see Bozesan (31 March 2020).
- 2.
- 3.
- 4.
- 5.
https://tinyurl.com/urzk5dd min. 20:51
- 6.
- 7.
- 8.
- 9.
- 10.
- 11.
See, for example, free Ivy League courses at https://tinyurl.com/yx4quugj
- 12.
- 13.
- 14.
Scudelari (19 March 2020).
- 15.
- 16.
- 17.
- 18.
- 19.
Yanis Varoufakis, minute 0:47–1:16. Viewed at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jm97g0RqYGM
- 20.
- 21.
- 22.
- 23.
World Economic Forum (2020).
- 24.
Global Sustainable Investment Alliance (December 2019).
- 25.
- 26.
Galaz et al. (2018).
- 27.
See, for example, the Edelman Trust Barometer (2019) at https://tinyurl.com/t9kutqv
- 28.
Pinker (2018, p. 39).
- 29.
World Economic Forum (2020, Figure IV, p. 8).
- 30.
- 31.
- 32.
- 33.
Meadows et al. (1972).
- 34.
- 35.
Beckerman (1992, p. 482).
- 36.
- 37.
Nordhaus (1992, p. 45).
- 38.
Gore (1992).
- 39.
Viewed July 5, 2019 at https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kyoto_Protocol
- 40.
- 41.
See, for example, IPCC (2020).
- 42.
International Energy Agency (2018).
- 43.
- 44.
- 45.
See, for example, https://fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/IF10668.pdf
- 46.
- 47.
- 48.
World Commission on Environment and Development (2009, p. 43).
- 49.
- 50.
- 51.
- 52.
- 53.
Von Weizsäcker and Wijkman (2018).
- 54.
- 55.
- 56.
Martin (2015).
- 57.
- 58.
Stiglitz et al. (2018).
- 59.
- 60.
See, for example, https://tinyurl.com/y2qq6syw, https://tinyurl.com/rkz92zx, and https://tinyurl.com/tfkv6cd
- 61.
- 62.
- 63.
Rosling et al. (2018, pp. 27–39).
- 64.
Roser (2018), & (2018e).
- 65.
- 66.
- 67.
- 68.
Ritchie and Roser (2018).
- 69.
- 70.
Roser and Ortiz-Ospina (2017a/2013a).
- 71.
Roser (2018b). Viewed 5 July 2019 at https://ourworldindata.org/economic-growth
- 72.
Roser (2018a), https://tinyurl.com/y7lq78m2
- 73.
Roser and Ortiz-Ospina (2018).
- 74.
- 75.
- 76.
Hasell and Roser (2018).
- 77.
- 78.
Rosling et al. (2018, pp. 27–39).
- 79.
Brynjolfsson and McAfee (2014)
- 80.
Rifkin (2011).
- 81.
Schwab (2016).
- 82.
Kurzweil (2005, p. 67).
- 83.
Kurzweil (2005, p. 11).
- 84.
Deikman (1998).
- 85.
Oxtoby et al. (May 1958).
- 86.
Kurzweil (2005, p. 11).
- 87.
Kurzweil asks on p. 46 of The Age of Spiritual Machines (1999), “Can an intelligence create an intelligence more intelligent than itself?”
- 88.
Kurzweil (2005, p. 14).
- 89.
Kurzweil (2005, p. 21).
- 90.
Tegmark (2017, p. 48).
- 91.
Tegmark (2017, p. 22).
- 92.
Tegmark (2017, pp. 22–48).
- 93.
Kurzweil (2005, p. 15).
- 94.
Tegmark (2017, p. 26).
- 95.
Kurzweil (2005, p. 15).
- 96.
- 97.
- 98.
Kurzweil (2005, p. 17)
- 99.
- 100.
Kurzweil (2005, p. 21).
- 101.
Bostrom (2014).
- 102.
Tegmark (2017, p. 135).
- 103.
- 104.
- 105.
Moore (1965).
- 106.
- 107.
- 108.
Diamandis and Kotler (2015).
- 109.
- 110.
- 111.
- 112.
- 113.
Global Alliance for Buildings and Construction, IEA and UNEP (2019, p. 3).
- 114.
- 115.
- 116.
Schwab (2016).
- 117.
- 118.
Robinson and Dunning Hotopp (1 October 2016).
- 119.
- 120.
- 121.
- 122.
https://tinyurl.com/rhfqvuc viewed 3 April 2020.
- 123.
Poinar et al. (2019).
- 124.
Rooney et al. (2018).
- 125.
Regalado (24 August 2018).
- 126.
Li et al. (2019), https://tinyurl.com/ycctkyg3
- 127.
Li et al. (2019), https://tinyurl.com/ycctkyg3
- 128.
Cyranoski and Ledford (26 November 2018) and YouTube video https://tinyurl.com/qrkpf2b
- 129.
Xue et al. (2018).
- 130.
Lander et al. (2019).
- 131.
- 132.
Yamaguchi et al. (9 February 2017).
- 133.
Oberbauer et al. (2015).
- 134.
- 135.
- 136.
- 137.
- 138.
- 139.
- 140.
- 141.
- 142.
- 143.
- 144.
- 145.
Kurzweil and Grossman (2004).
- 146.
Kurzweil and Grossman (2004).
- 147.
Kurzweil and Grossman (2009).
- 148.
See Kurzweil quote from video at minute 17:30. Viewed 5 August 2018 at https://tinyurl.com/ued3sfn
- 149.
Perera et al. (2016).
- 150.
- 151.
- 152.
Durairaj et al. (2012).
- 153.
Cavalcanti et al. (2008).
- 154.
Kurzweil and Grossman (2009, pp. 403–406).
- 155.
De Grey and Rae (2007).
- 156.
- 157.
- 158.
- 159.
Commission on Growth, Structural Change and Employment-Final Report. Viewed 6 July 2019 at https://tinyurl.com/y49xcs8s
- 160.
- 161.
- 162.
- 163.
- 164.
- 165.
- 166.
- 167.
Korthauer (2018).
- 168.
Tesla SEC filing. Viewed 12 March 2019 at http://ir.tesla.com/node/18941/html
- 169.
- 170.
See 42% of Global Coal Power Plants Run at a Loss, Finds World-first Study (30 November 2018). Viewed 3 April 2020 at https://tinyurl.com/vwzf47j
- 171.
From the Abundance 360 conference 2019 introduction https://tinyurl.com/y2trxgxf
- 172.
Willett (19 January 2019). See https://tinyurl.com/sublssc and https://tinyurl.com/t3huy2c
- 173.
Roser and Ortiz-Ospina (2017a/2013).
- 174.
- 175.
- 176.
- 177.
- 178.
- 179.
- 180.
- 181.
- 182.
- 183.
Lynch and Pierrehumbert (2019).
- 184.
Moore and Phillips (2012).
- 185.
- 186.
Austin et al. (2018).
- 187.
Hundertmark et al. (2018).
- 188.
De Pee et al. (June 2018, p. 7).
- 189.
De Pee et al. (June 2018, p. 7).
- 190.
- 191.
- 192.
- 193.
- 194.
Berret (1 October 2018).
- 195.
- 196.
Heineke et al. (January 2019).
- 197.
- 198.
- 199.
Lee T. (2018b).
- 200.
Arbib and Seba (2017).
- 201.
- 202.
- 203.
- 204.
Pizzuto L et al. (2019).
- 205.
- 206.
Byton founder Carsten Breitfeld. Viewed 17 March 2019 at https://tinyurl.com/y2xgblcj
- 207.
Carsten Breitfeld. Viewed 17 March 2019 at https://tinyurl.com/y2xgblcj
- 208.
- 209.
Adamchuck (2013).
- 210.
Sylvester (2018).
- 211.
- 212.
- 213.
- 214.
- 215.
- 216.
- 217.
- 218.
Arbib and Seba (2017).
- 219.
- 220.
- 221.
- 222.
- 223.
- 224.
- 225.
- 226.
- 227.
- 228.
- 229.
- 230.
- 231.
- 232.
- 233.
- 234.
- 235.
- 236.
Gerardo et al. (2018).
- 237.
- 238.
- 239.
- 240.
- 241.
- 242.
- 243.
- 244.
- 245.
- 246.
- 247.
- 248.
- 249.
- 250.
- 251.
- 252.
- 253.
- 254.
- 255.
- 256.
- 257.
- 258.
- 259.
- 260.
- 261.
- 262.
Kelly et al. (2019, January).
- 263.
- 264.
See, for example, https://hbr.org/2018/03/how-augmented-reality-will-make-surgery-safer
- 265.
Orcutt (2018, p. 18).
- 266.
Proust (2009).
- 267.
Naudé (January 2009).
- 268.
Casey and Vigna (2018, pp. 10–16).
- 269.
- 270.
Allen (2013).
- 271.
- 272.
Casey and Vigna (2018, pp. 10–16).
- 273.
- 274.
- 275.
- 276.
Casey and Vigna (2018, p. 14).
- 277.
Ibid.
- 278.
Ibid.
- 279.
Brunnhuber (2019, pp. 10–11).
- 280.
- 281.
Surowiecki (May/June 2018, p. 28).
- 282.
Surowiecki (May/June 2018, p. 30).
- 283.
- 284.
- 285.
- 286.
- 287.
- 288.
- 289.
- 290.
Stoll et al. (December 2018).
- 291.
Miles (May/June 2018, p. 33).
- 292.
Fedorov et al. (19 November 2018).
- 293.
- 294.
Tegmark (2017, p. 22).
- 295.
- 296.
- 297.
- 298.
- 299.
- 300.
Bostrom (2014, p. 259).
- 301.
- 302.
- 303.
Bostrom (2014, pp. 12–13).
- 304.
Silver et al. (19 October 2017, p. 354).
- 305.
- 306.
Lee, K.-F. (2018a). Refer to page 136 for a “balance of capabilities between the United States and China across the four waves of AI, currently and estimated for 5 years in the future.” For a more recent comparison by Lee, see his presentation during the a360 (Abundance 360) conference from January 2019. Viewed October 17, 2019 at https://tinyurl.com/yyh9h9a6
- 307.
Lee, K.-F. (2018a, p. 139).
- 308.
Nadler et al. (2018).
- 309.
Lee, K.-F. (2018a, p. 68).
- 310.
- 311.
- 312.
- 313.
Lee, K.-F. (2018a, p. 128).
- 314.
Lee, K.-F. (2018a, p. 136).
- 315.
O’Meara (21August 2019).
- 316.
Rumelhart et al. (9 October 1986).
- 317.
Krizhevsky et al. (3 December 2012).
- 318.
- 319.
Tegmark (2017, pp. 86–89).
- 320.
Mnih et al. (26 February 2015).
- 321.
- 322.
Wilber (2000).
- 323.
Agbas (30 August 2018).
- 324.
- 325.
- 326.
- 327.
Nilsson (2009, p. 319).
- 328.
Nilsson (2009, p. 319).
- 329.
Tegmark (2017, p. 50).
- 330.
Moravec (1992/1988, p. 15).
- 331.
- 332.
Tegmark (2017, p. 133).
- 333.
Bostrom (2014, p. 52).
- 334.
Bostrom (2014, pp. 18–21).
- 335.
- 336.
Bostrom (2014, p. 259).
- 337.
- 338.
- 339.
- 340.
- 341.
Musk (2019, Minute 12:19). Viewed 25 October 2019 at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f3lUEnMaiAU
- 342.
- 343.
- 344.
Tegmark (2017, p. 48).
- 345.
Tegmark (2017, p. 32).
- 346.
Tegmark (2017, p. 39).
- 347.
Tegmark (2017, p. 315).
- 348.
- 349.
- 350.
- 351.
- 352.
- 353.
- 354.
Snowden (2019, p. 208).
- 355.
Snowden (2019, p. 209).
- 356.
- 357.
- 358.
Calo (2017, p. 9).
- 359.
- 360.
- 361.
- 362.
- 363.
Harari (2017).
- 364.
- 365.
- 366.
Snowden (2019, p. 223).
- 367.
Snowden (2019, pp. 223–224).
- 368.
Russell (2019, p. xi).
- 369.
Chase (2015, p. 164).
- 370.
Russell (2019, p.173).
- 371.
- 372.
Kurzweil (2005).
- 373.
Pope Francis (2015).
- 374.
Pinker (2018).
- 375.
Von Weizsäcker and Wijkman (2018).
- 376.
Göpel (2016).
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Bozesan, M. (2020). The Context of Investing. In: Integral Investing. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-54016-6_1
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