Overview
- Is the first book to address these issues in a single volume
- Addresses an essential understanding of the effects of catastrophes, from slow to fast (climate change to earthquakes), as well as of diseases such as cancer, in the context of science policy
- Covers key analytical aspects of information and knowledge relevant to science policy
- Shows the commonalities among analyses of seemingly diverse events and outcomes
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About this book
Public health policy prospectively and retrospectively addresses the consequences of events ranging from the commonplace to the catastrophic. Informing policymakers and stakeholders by enhancing their understanding of complex causation to justify remedial or precautionary actions is a critical science-policy task. In this book, the key aspects of catastrophes (regardless of their nature) and routine events are identified through a common framework for their analyses, and the analyses of the consequences associated with the potential occurrence of these events also are discussed. The book is not about disaster planning; instead, it is focused on analysis and causation in the context of informing – rather than formulating – public health policy.
The author aggregates and fuses scientific information and knowledge in public health policy-science using alternative but complementary methods. The book first focuses on the analysis of catastrophes and commonplace events; the focus then shifts to causal models of multifactorial diseases, particularly at low doses or dose-rates, associated with these events. Topics explored among the chapters include:
- Policy and Legal Aspects of Precautionary Choices
- Catastrophes, Disasters, and Calamities: Concepts for Their Assessment
- Uncertainty: Probabilistic and Statistical Aspects
- Aggregating Judgments to Inform Precautionary Decision-making
The aim of the book is to show that the analyses of events are fundamentally similar, regardless of whether the concern is a global catastrophe or commonplace.
Analysis of Catastrophes and Their Public Health Consequences is a text that should engage students, instructors, and researchers in public health, science policy, and preparedness research, as well as serve as a useful resource for policy analysts, practitioners, and risk managers.
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Keywords
- natural disasters
- public health policy
- earthquakes
- floods
- avalanches
- tsunamis
- nuclear energy
- coal-burning power plants
- dams
- black swans and gray swans
- dragon kings
- catastrophes
- emergencies
- preparedness
- quantitative and qualitative research methods
- epidemiology
- data analysis
- policy-science
- causal models
- incertitude vs. uncertainty
Table of contents (8 chapters)
Reviews
Authors and Affiliations
About the author
Bibliographic Information
Book Title: Analysis of Catastrophes and Their Public Health Consequences
Book Subtitle: Descriptions, Predictions, and Aggregation of Expert Judgment Supporting Science Policy
Authors: Paolo F. Ricci
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-48066-0
Publisher: Springer Cham
eBook Packages: Medicine, Medicine (R0)
Copyright Information: Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2020
Hardcover ISBN: 978-3-030-48065-3Published: 31 July 2020
Softcover ISBN: 978-3-030-48068-4Published: 01 August 2021
eBook ISBN: 978-3-030-48066-0Published: 30 July 2020
Edition Number: 1
Number of Pages: XXII, 187
Number of Illustrations: 29 b/w illustrations, 24 illustrations in colour
Topics: Public Health, Research Methodology, Climate Change, Epidemiology