Abstract
Both global and mesoscale models have provided useful information about the structure, motion and life cycle of hurricanes. The global models have horizontal resolution of roughly 80 km in the tropics, with some 25 vertical levels. The mesoscale models currently have horizontal resolution of much less than 10 km, with upwards of 50 vertical levels. These models have built in a full array of physical parameterizations, such as surface and planetary boundary layer physics (for transfer processes), cumulus parameterization, large scale condensation, radiative transfer with effect of clouds, water vapor, carbon dioxide and ozone, surface energy balance, air-sea interactions, inclusion of topography and sub-grid scale diffusive processes.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
References
DeMaria, M., Mainelli, M., Shay, L.K., Knaff, J.A., Kaplan, J.: Further improvement to the statistical hurricane intensity prediction scheme (SHIPS). Weather Forecast. 20(4), 531–543 (2005)
Haltiner, G.J., Williams, R.T.: Numerical Prediction and Dynamic Meteorology. Wiley, New York (1980). 477pp
Hawkins, H.F., Rubsam, D.T.: Hurricane Hilda, 1964, II. Structure and budgets of the hurricane on October 1, 1964. Mon. Weather Rev. 97, 617–636 (1968)
Jordan, C.L.: Mean soundings for the West Indies area. J. Meteor. 15, 91–97 (1958)
Kalnay, E.: Atmospheric Modeling, Data Assimilation, and Predictability. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge (2002). 341pp
Kalnay, E., Kanamitsu, M., Baker, W.: Global numerical weather prediction at the national meteorological center. Bull. Am. Meteor. Soc. 71, 1410–1428 (1990)
Krishnamurti, T.N., Pattnaik, S., Biswas, M.K., Kramer, M., Bensman, E., Surgi, N., Vijay Kumar, T.S.V., Pasch, R., Franklin, J.: Hurricane forecasts with a mesoscale suite of models. Tellus 62, 633–646 (2010)
Krishnamurti, T.N., Biswas, M.K., Mackey, B.P., Ellingson, R.G., Ruscher, P.H.: Hurricane forecasts using a suite of large-scale models. Tellus (2011). doi:10.111/j.1600-0870.2011.00519.x
Kurihara, Y., Bender, M.A., Ross, R.J.: An initialization scheme of hurricane models by vortex specification. Mon. Weather Rev. 121, 2030–2045 (1993)
Kurihara, Y., Bender, M.A., Tuleya, R.E., Ross, R.J.: Improvements in the GFDL hurricane prediction system. Mon. Weather Rev. 123, 2791–2801 (1995)
Lord, J.S., Willoughby, H.E., Piotrowicz, J.M.: Role of a parameterized ice phase microphysics in an axisymmetric, non-hydrostatic tropical cyclone model. J. Atmos. Sci. 41, 2836–2848 (1984)
Ooyama, K.: A dynamic model for the study of tropical cyclone development. Geophys. Int. 4, 187–198 (1963)
Pielke, R.A. (ed.): Mesoscale Meteorological Modeling. International Geophysics Series, vol. 78. Academic, London (2001). 676pp
Rao, D.V.B., Ashok, K.: Simulation of tropical cyclone circulation over the Bay of Bengal using the Arakawa-Schubert cumulus parameterization. Part I—description of the model, initial data and results of the control experiment. Pure Appl. Geophys. 156, 525–542 (1999)
Rao, D.V.B., Ashok, K.: Simulation of tropical cyclone circulation over the Bay of Bengal using the Arakawa-Schubert cumulus parameterization. Part II: some sensitivity experiments. Pure Appl. Geophys. 158, 1017–1046 (2001)
Rosenthal, S.L.: Numerical experiments with a multi-level primitive equation model designed to simulate the development of tropical cyclones. Experiment I. U.S. Department. of Commerse, ESSA Technical Memorandum No. NHRL-82, 32pp. (1969)
Vijaya Kumar, T.S.V., Krishnamurti, T.N., Fiorino, M., Nagata, M.: Multimodel superensemble forecasting of tropical cyclones in the Pacific. Mon. Weather Rev. 131, 574–583 (2003)
Yamasaki, M.: Detailed analysis of a tropical cyclone simulated with a 13 layer model. Pap. Meteorol. Geophys. 19, 559–585 (1968)
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2013 Springer Science+Business Media New York
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Krishnamurti, T.N., Stefanova, L., Misra, V. (2013). Modeling and Forecasting of Hurricanes. In: Tropical Meteorology. Springer Atmospheric Sciences. Springer, New York, NY. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4614-7409-8_17
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4614-7409-8_17
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, New York, NY
Print ISBN: 978-1-4614-7408-1
Online ISBN: 978-1-4614-7409-8
eBook Packages: Earth and Environmental ScienceEarth and Environmental Science (R0)