Abstract
The radically-emergent event is not part of a previous range of possibilities.1 It produces its own causes or the very possibilities of which it could be later identified as a member.2 An explanation or an account of the event — literally the count of possibilities of which the event is thought to be a ‘realization’ — is always given after the event, in what might be called a backward narrative.
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Notes
Henri Bergson, Creative Evolution (New York: Dover Publications, 1998),
Nelson Goodman, Fact, Fiction and Forecast (Cambridge, Massachusetts: Harvard University Press, 1955),
Bas van Fraassen, Laws and Symmetry (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1989).
Michel Bitbol, Quantum Mechanics as Generalized Theory of Probabilities, translated by Robin Mackay, Collapse, VIII, 2014.
Michael Jubien, Possibility (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2009).
Gilles Deleuze, The Logic of Sense, translated by Mark Lester (New York: Columbia University Press, 1990).
David Deutsch, The Beginning of Infinity: Explanations that Transform the World (New York: Penguin, 2011).
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© 2015 Elie Ayache
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Ayache, E. (2015). The End of Probability. In: The Medium of Contingency. Palgrave Macmillan, London. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-137-28656-7_2
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-137-28656-7_2
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