Skip to main content

Towards Probabilistic Argumentation

  • Chapter
  • First Online:

All arguments share certain key similarities: they have a goal and some support for the goal, although the form of the goal and support may vary dramatically. Human argumentation is also typically enthymematic, i.e., people produce and expect arguments that omit easily inferable information. In this chapter, we draw on the insights obtained from a decade of research to formulate requirements common to computational systems that interpret human arguments and generate their own arguments. To ground our discussion, we describe how some of these requirements are addressed by two probabilistic argumentation systems developed by the User Modeling and Natural Language (UMNL) Group at Monash University: the argument generation system nag (Nice Argument Generator) [18, 19, 20, 38, 39, 40], and the argument interpretation system bias (Bayesian Interactive Argumentation System) [7, 8, 34, 35, 36, 37].

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.

Buying options

Chapter
USD   29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD   129.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD   169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD   169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Learn about institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  1. J. R. Anderson. The Architecture of Cognition. Harvard University Press, Cambridge, Massachusetts, 1983.

    Google Scholar 

  2. E. Charniak and R. Goldman. A Bayesian model of plan recognition. Artificial Intelligence, 64(1):53–79, 1993.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  3. J. Chu-Carroll and S. Carberry. Response generation in collaborative negotiation. In Proceedings of the 33rd Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics, pages 136–143, 1995.

    Google Scholar 

  4. J. Chu-Carroll and S. Carberry. Conflict resolution in collaborative planning dialogues. International Journal of Human Computer Studies, 6(56):969–1015, 2000.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  5. T. Dean and M. Boddy. An analysis of time-dependent planning. In AAAI88 – Proceedings of the 7th National Conference on Artificial Intelligence, pages 49–54, St. Paul, Minnesota, 1988.

    Google Scholar 

  6. J. Evans. Bias in human reasoning: Causes and consequences. Lawrence Erlbaum Associates, Hillsdale, New Jersey, 1989.

    Google Scholar 

  7. S. George, I. Zukerman, and M. Niemann. Modeling suppositions in users’ arguments. In UM05 – Proceedings of the 10th International Conference on User Modeling, pages 19–29, Edinburgh, Scotland, 2005.

    Google Scholar 

  8. S. George, I. Zukerman, and M. Niemann. Inferences, suppositions and explanatory extensions in argument interpretation. User Modeling and User-Adapted Interaction, 17(5):439–474, 2007.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. A. Gertner, C. Conati, and K. VanLehn. Procedural help in Andes: Generating hints using a Bayesian network student model. In AAAI98 – Proceedings of the 15th National Conference on Artificial Intelligence, pages 106–111, Madison, Wisconsin, 1998.

    Google Scholar 

  10. N. Green and S. Carberry. A hybrid reasoning model for indirect answers. In Proceedings of the 32nd Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics, pages 58–65, Las Cruces, New Mexico, 1994.

    Google Scholar 

  11. J. R. Hobbs, M. E. Stickel, D. E. Appelt, and P. Martin. Interpretation as abduction. Artificial Intelligence, 63(1-2):69–142, 1993.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  12. H. Horacek. How to avoid explaining obvious things (without omitting central information). In ECAI94 – Proceedings of the 11th European Conference on Artificial Intelligence, pages 520–524, Amsterdam, The Netherlands, 1994.

    Google Scholar 

  13. E. Horvitz and T. Paek. A computational architecture for conversation. In UM99 – Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on User Modeling, pages 201–210, Banff, Canada, 1999.

    Google Scholar 

  14. E. Horvitz, H. Suermondt, and G. Cooper. Bounded conditioning: flexible inference for decision under scarce resources. In UAI89 – Proceedings of the 1989 Workshop on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence, pages 182–193, Windsor, Canada, 1989.

    Google Scholar 

  15. X. Huang and A. Fiedler. Proof verbalization as an application of NLG. In IJCAI97 – Proceedings of the 15th International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence, pages 965–970, Nagoya, Japan, 1997.

    Google Scholar 

  16. D. Kahneman, P. Slovic, and A. Tversky. Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. Cambridge University Press, 1982.

    Google Scholar 

  17. K. Korb and A. Nicholson. Bayesian Artificial Intelligence. Chapman & Hall/CRC, 2004.

    Google Scholar 

  18. K. B. Korb, R. McConachy, and I. Zukerman. A cognitive model of argumentation. In Proceedings of the 19th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, pages 400–405, Stanford, California, 1997.

    Google Scholar 

  19. R. McConachy, K. B. Korb, and I. Zukerman. Deciding what not to say: An attentional-probabilistic approach to argument presentation. In Proceedings of the 20th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, pages 669–674, Madison, Wisconsin, 1998.

    Google Scholar 

  20. R. McConachy and I. Zukerman. Towards a dialogue capability in a Bayesian argumentation system. ETAI 3 – Electronic Transactions of Artificial Intelligence (Section D), pages 89–124, 1999.

    Google Scholar 

  21. S. Mehl. Forward inferences in text generation. In ECAI94 – Proceedings of the 11th European Conference on Artificial Intelligence, pages 525–529, Amsterdam, The Netherlands, 1994.

    Google Scholar 

  22. H. Ng and R. Mooney. On the role of coherence in abductive explanation. In AAAI90 – Proceedings of the 8th National Conference on Artificial Intelligence, pages 337–342, Boston, Massachusetts, 1990.

    Google Scholar 

  23. S. H. Nielsen and S. Parsons. An application of formal argumentation: Fusing Bayesian networks in multi-agent systems. Artificial Intelligence, 171:754–775, 2007.

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  24. R. Nisbett, E. Borgida, R. Crandall, and H. Reed. Popular induction: Information is not necessarily informative. In J. Carroll and J. Payne, editors, Cognition and social behavior, pages 113–133. Hillsdale, NJ: LEA, 1976.

    Google Scholar 

  25. N. Oren, T. Norman, and A. Preece. Subjective logic and arguing with evidence. Artificial Intelligence, 171:838–854, 2007.

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  26. J. Pearl. Probabilistic Reasoning in Intelligent Systems. Morgan Kaufmann Publishers, San Mateo, California, 1988.

    Google Scholar 

  27. A. Quilici. Detecting and responding to plan-oriented misconceptions. In A. Kobsa and W. Wahlster, editors, User Models in Dialog Systems, pages 108–132. Springer-Verlag, 1989.

    Google Scholar 

  28. C. Reed and D. Long. Content ordering in the generation of persuasive discourse. In IJCAI97 – Proceedings of the 15th International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence, pages 1022–1027, Nagoya, Japan, 1997.

    Google Scholar 

  29. G. Rowe and C. Reed. Argument diagramming: The Araucaria project. In A. Okada, S. Buckingham Shum, and A. Sherborne, editors, Knowledge Cartography, pages 163–181. Springer, 2008.

    Google Scholar 

  30. R. H. Thomason, J. R. Hobbs, and J. D. Moore. Communicative goals. In Proceedings of ECAI96 Workshop – Gaps and Bridges: New Directions in Planning and NLG, pages 7–12, Budapest, Hungary, 1996.

    Google Scholar 

  31. T. van Gelder. Teaching critical thinking: some lessons from cognitive science. College Teaching, 45(1):1–6, 2005.

    Google Scholar 

  32. G. Vreeswijk. iacas: An interactive argumentation system. Technical Report CS 94-03, Department of Computer Science, University of Limburg, 1994.

    Google Scholar 

  33. C. Wallace. Statistical and Inductive Inference by Minimum Message Length. Springer, Berlin, Germany, 2005.

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  34. I. Zukerman. An integrated approach for generating arguments and rebuttals and understanding rejoinders. In UM01 – Proceedings of the 8th International Conference on User Modeling, pages 84–94, Sonthofen, Germany, 2001.

    Google Scholar 

  35. I. Zukerman. Discourse interpretation as model selection – a probabilistic approach. In B. Bouchon-Meunier, C. Marsala, M. Rifqi, and R. Yager, editors, Uncertainty and Intelligent Information Systems, pages 61–73. World Scientific, 2008.

    Google Scholar 

  36. I. Zukerman and S. George. A probabilistic approach for argument interpretation. User Modeling and User-Adapted Interaction, Special Issue on Language-Based Interaction, 15(1-2):5–53, 2005.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  37. I. Zukerman, S. George, and M. George. Incorporating a user model into an information theoretic framework for argument interpretation. In UM03 – Proceedings of the 9th International Conference on User Modeling, pages 106–116, Johnstown, Pennsylvania, 2003.

    Google Scholar 

  38. I. Zukerman, R. McConachy, and K. B. Korb. Bayesian reasoning in an abductive mechanism for argument generation and analysis. In AAAI98 – Proceedings of the 15th National Conference on Artificial Intelligence, pages 833–838, Madison, Wisconsin, 1998.

    Google Scholar 

  39. I. Zukerman, R. McConachy, and K. B. Korb. Using argumentation strategies in automated argument generation. In INLG’2000 – Proceedings of the 1st International Conference on Natural Language Generation, pages 55–62, Mitzpe Ramon, Israel, 2000.

    Google Scholar 

  40. I. Zukerman, R. McConachy, K. B. Korb, and D. A. Pickett. Exploratory interaction with a Bayesian argumentation system. In IJCAI99 – Proceedings of the 16th International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence, pages 1294–1299, Stockholm, Sweden, 1999.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgements

The author thanks her collaborators on the research described in this chapter: Sarah George, Natalie Jitnah, Kevin Korb, Richard McConachy and Michael Niemann. This research was supported in part by grants A49531227, A49927212 and DP0344013 from the Australian Research Council, and by the ARC Centre for Perceptive and Intelligent Machines in Complex Environments.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Ingrid Zukerman .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2009 Springer-Verlag US

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Zukerman, I. (2009). Towards Probabilistic Argumentation. In: Simari, G., Rahwan, I. (eds) Argumentation in Artificial Intelligence. Springer, Boston, MA. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-0-387-98197-0_22

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-0-387-98197-0_22

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Boston, MA

  • Print ISBN: 978-0-387-98196-3

  • Online ISBN: 978-0-387-98197-0

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics