Skip to main content
Log in

Existence of positive periodic solutions of an SEIR model with periodic coefficients

  • Published:
Applications of Mathematics Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

An SEIR model with periodic coefficients in epidemiology is considered. The global existence of periodic solutions with strictly positive components for this model is established by using the method of coincidence degree. Furthermore, a sufficient condition for the global stability of this model is obtained. An example based on the transmission of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is included.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  1. M.R. Al-Ajam, A.R. Bizri, J. Mokhbat, J. Weedon, L. Lutwick: Mucormycosis in the Eastern Mediterranean: a seasonal disease. Epidemiol. Infect. 134 (2006), 341–346.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  2. R.M. Anderson, R.M. May: Population biology of infectious diseases, Part 1. Nature 280 (1979), 361.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  3. R.M. Anderson, R.M. May: Infectious Diseases of Humans, Dynamics and Control. Oxford University, Oxford, 1991.

    Google Scholar 

  4. A. J. Arenas, G. Gonzalez, L. Jódar: Existence of periodic solutions in a model of respiratory syncytial virus RSV. J. Math. Anal. Appl. 344 (2008), 969–980.

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  5. O. Diekmann, J.A. P. Heesterbeek, J.A. J. Metz: On the definition and the computation of the basic reproduction ratio R 0 in models for infectious diseases in heterogeneous populations. J. Math. Biol. 28 (1990), 365–382.

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  6. O. Diekmann, J.A. P. Heesterbeek: Mathematical Epidemiology of Infectious Diseases: Model Building, Analysis and Interpretation. John Wiley & Sons, Chichester, 2000.

    Google Scholar 

  7. P. van den Driessche, J. Watmough: Reproduction numbers and sub-threshold endemic equilibria for compartmental models of disease transmission. Math. Biosci. 180 (2002), 29–48.

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  8. D. J.D. Earn, J. Dushoff, S.A. Levin: Ecology and evolution of the flu. Trends in Ecology and Evolution 17 (2002), 334–340.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. M. Fan, K. Wang: Periodicity in a delayed ratio-dependent predator-prey system. J. Math. Anal. Appl. 262 (2001), 179–190.

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  10. R.E. Gaines, J. L. Mawhin: Coincidence Degree, and Nonlinear Differential Equations. Springer, Berlin, 1977.

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  11. J.K. Hale: Ordinary Differential Equations. Wiley-Interscience, New York, 1969.

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  12. G. Herzog, R. Redheffer: Nonautonomous SEIRS and Thron models for epidemiology and cell biology. Nonlinear Anal., Real World Appl. 5 (2004), 33–44.

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  13. H.W. Hethcote: The mathematics of infectious diseases. SIAM Review 42 (2000), 599–653.

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  14. L. Jódar, R. J. Villanueva, A. Arenas: Modeling the spread of seasonal epidemiological diseases: Theory and applications. Math. Comput. Modelling 48 (2008), 548–557.

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  15. Y. Li, Y. Kuang: Periodic solutions of periodic delay Lotka-Volterra equations and Systems. J. Math. Anal. Appl. 255 (2001), 260–280.

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  16. M.Y. Li, J. S. Muldowney: Global stability for the SEIR model in epidemiology. Math. Biosci. 125 (1995), 155–164.

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  17. W. London, J.A. Yorke: Recurrent outbreaks of measles, chickenpox and mumps. 1. Seasonal variation in contact rates. Am. J. Epidemiol. 98 (1973), 453–468.

    Google Scholar 

  18. J. Ma, Z. Ma: Epidemic threshold conditions for seasonally forced SEIR models. Math. Biosci. Eng. 3 (2006), 161–172.

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  19. M. Nuño, Z. Feng, M. Martcheva, C.C. Carlos: Dynamics of two-strain influenza with isolation and partial cross-immunity. SIAM J. Appl. Math. 65 (2005), 964–982.

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  20. Z. Teng: On the periodic solutions of periodic multi-species competitive systems with delays. Appl. Math. Comput. 127 (2002), 235–247.

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  21. Z. Teng, L. Chen: Permanence and extinction of periodic predator-prey systems in a patchy environment with delay. Nonlinear Anal., Real World Appl. 4 (2003), 335–364.

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  22. A. Weber, M. Weber, P. Milligan: Modeling epidemics caused by respiratory syncytial virus (RSV). Math. Biosci. 172 (2001), 95–113.

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  23. X. Zhang, L. Chen: The periodic solution of a class of epidemic models. Comput. Math. Appl. 38 (1999), 61–71.

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  24. T. Zhang, J. Liu, Z. Teng: Stability of Hopf bifurcation of a delayed SIRS epidemic model with stage structure. Nonlinear Anal., Real World Appl. 11 (2010), 293–306.

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  25. J. Zhang, Z. Ma: Global dynamics of an SEIR epidemic model with saturating contact rate. Math. Biosci. 185 (2003), 15–32.

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  26. T. Zhang, Z. Teng: On a nonautonomous SEIRS model in epidemiology. Bull. Math. Biol. 69 (2007), 2537–2559.

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Tailei Zhang.

Additional information

This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of P.R.China (11001215, 10961022, 11101323).

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Zhang, T., Liu, J. & Teng, Z. Existence of positive periodic solutions of an SEIR model with periodic coefficients. Appl Math 57, 601–616 (2012). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10492-012-0036-5

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10492-012-0036-5

Keywords

MSC 2010

Navigation