Skip to main content
Log in

Looking for age-related growth decline in natural forests: unexpected biomass patterns from tree rings and simulated mortality

  • Ecosystem ecology - Original research
  • Published:
Oecologia Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Forest biomass growth is almost universally assumed to peak early in stand development, near canopy closure, after which it will plateau or decline. The chronosequence and plot remeasurement approaches used to establish the decline pattern suffer from limitations and coarse temporal detail. We combined annual tree ring measurements and mortality models to address two questions: first, how do assumptions about tree growth and mortality influence reconstructions of biomass growth? Second, under what circumstances does biomass production follow the model that peaks early, then declines? We integrated three stochastic mortality models with a census tree-ring data set from eight temperate forest types to reconstruct stand-level biomass increments (in Minnesota, USA). We compared growth patterns among mortality models, forest types and stands. Timing of peak biomass growth varied significantly among mortality models, peaking 20–30 years earlier when mortality was random with respect to tree growth and size, than when mortality favored slow-growing individuals. Random or u-shaped mortality (highest in small or large trees) produced peak growth 25–30 % higher than the surviving tree sample alone. Growth trends for even-aged, monospecific Pinus banksiana or Acer saccharum forests were similar to the early peak and decline expectation. However, we observed continually increasing biomass growth in older, low-productivity forests of Quercus rubra, Fraxinus nigra, and Thuja occidentalis. Tree-ring reconstructions estimated annual changes in live biomass growth and identified more diverse development patterns than previous methods. These detailed, long-term patterns of biomass development are crucial for detecting recent growth responses to global change and modeling future forest dynamics.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Acker SA, Halpern CB, Harmon ME, Dyrness CT (2002) Trends in bole biomass accumulation, net primary production and tree mortality in Pseudotsuga menziesii forests of contrasting age. Tree Physiol 22:213–217

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Applequist MB (1958) A simple pith locator for using with off-center increment cores. J For 56:141

    Google Scholar 

  • Binkley D, Stape JL, Ryan MG, Barnard HR, Fownes J (2002) Age-related decline in forest ecosystem growth: an individual-tree, stand-structure hypothesis. Ecosystems 5:58–67

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bormann FH, Likens GE (1979) Catastrophic disturbance and the steady-state in Northern hardwood forests. Am Sci 67:660–669

    Google Scholar 

  • Bradford JB, Kastendick DN (2010) Age-related patterns of forest complexity and carbon storage in pine and aspen-birch ecosystems of northern Minnesota, USA. Can J For Res 40:401–409

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Brienen RJW, Gloor E, Zuidema PA (2012) Detecting evidence for CO2 fertilization from tree ring studies: the potential role of sampling biases. Glob Biogeochem Cycles 26:GB1025

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Buchman RG, Pederson SP, Walters NR (1983) A tree survival model with application to species of the Great Lakes region. Can J For Res 13:601–608

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bunn AG (2008) A dendrochronology program library in R (dplR). Dendrochronologia 26:115–124

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Caspersen JP, Pacala SW, Jenkins JC, Hurtt GC, Moorcroft PR, Birdsey RA (2000) Contributions of land-use history to carbon accumulation in US forests. Science 290:1148–1151

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Caspersen JP, Vanderwel MC, Cole WG, Purves DW (2011) How stand productivity results from size- and competition-dependent growth and mortality. PLoS ONE 6:e28660

    Article  CAS  PubMed Central  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Clark DA, Brown S, Kicklighter DW, Chambers JQ, Thomlinson JR, Jian N (2001) Measuring net primary production in forests: concepts and field methods. Ecol Appl 11:356–370

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Clark JS, Wolosin M, Dietze M, Ibanez I, LaDeau S, Welsh M, Kloeppel B (2007) Tree growth inference and prediction from diameter censuses and ring widths. Ecol Appl 17:1942–1953

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Cole CT, Anderson JE, Lindroth RL, Waller DM (2010) Rising concentrations of atmospheric CO2 have increased growth in natural stands of quaking aspen (Populus tremuloides). Glob Change Biol 16:2186–2197

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cook ER, Peters K (1981) The smoothing spline: a new approach to standardizing forest interior tree-ring width series for dendroclimatic studies. Tree-Ring Bull 41:45–53

    Google Scholar 

  • Coomes DA, Holdaway RJ, Kobe RK, Lines ER, Allen RB (2012) A general integrative framework for modeling woody biomass production and carbon sequestration rates in forests. J Ecol 100:42–64

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Davis SC, Hessl AE, Scott CJ, Adams MB, Thomas RB (2009) Forest carbon sequestration changes in response to timber harvest. For Ecol Manage 258:2101–2109

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dixon GE, Keyser CE (2011) Northeast (NE) variant overview forest vegetation simulator. U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Forest Service Management Service Center, Fort Collins

  • Duchesne L, Ouimet R, Morneau C (2003) Assessment of sugar maple health based on basal area growth pattern. Can J For Res 33:2074–2080

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Foster JR, Burton JI, Forrester JA, Liu F, Muss JD, Sabatini FM, Scheller RM, Mladenoff DJ (2010) Evidence for a recent increase in forest growth is questionable. Proc Natl Acad Sci 107:E86–E87

    Article  CAS  PubMed Central  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Fraver S, Jonsson BG, Jönsson M, Esseen PA (2008) Demographics and disturbance history of a boreal old-growth Picea abies forest. J Veg Sci 19:789–798

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Frelich LE (2002) Forest dynamics and disturbance regimes studies from temperate evergreen-deciduous forests. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Genet H, Breda N, Dufrene E (2009) Age-related variation in carbon allocation at tree and stand scales in beech (Fagus sylvatica L.) and sessile oak (Quercus petraea (Matt.) Liebl.) using a chronosequence approach. Tree Physiol 30:177–192

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Goulden ML, McMillan AMS, Winston GC, Rocha AV, Manies KL, Harden JW, Bond-Lamberty BP (2011) Patterns of NPP, GPP, respiration, and NEP during boreal forest succession. Glob Change Biol 17:855–871

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gower ST, McMurtrie RE, Murty D (1996) Above-ground net primary production decline with stand age: potential causes. Trends Ecol Evol Res 11:378–382

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Gustafson EJ, Sturtevant BR (2013) Modeling forest mortality caused by drought stress: implications for climate change. Ecosystems 16:60–74

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hartmann H (2011) Will a 385 million year-struggle for light become a struggle for water and for carbon? - How trees may cope with more frequent climate change-type drought events. Glob Change Biol 17:642–655

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Holmes RL (1983) Computer-assisted quality control in tree-ring dating and measurement. Tree-Ring Bull 43:69–78

    Google Scholar 

  • Holzwarth F, Kahl A, Bauhus J, Wirth C (2012) Many ways to die, partitioning tree mortality dynamics in a near-natural mixed deciduous forest. J Ecol. doi:10.1111/1365-2745.12015

    Google Scholar 

  • Hurst JM, Allen RB, Coomes DA, Duncan RP (2011) Size-specific tree mortality varies with neighborhood crowding and disturbance in a montane Nothofagus forest. PLoS ONE 6:e26670

    Article  CAS  PubMed Central  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Jenkins JC, Chojnacky DC, Heath LS, Birdsey RA (2004) Comprehensive database of diameter-based biomass regressions for North American tree species. Gen Tech Rep NE-319. U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Northeastern Research Station, Newtown Square

  • Johnson SE, Abrams MD (2009) Age class, longevity and growth rate relationships: protracted growth increases in old trees in the eastern United States. Tree Physiol 29:1317–1328

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Johnson EA, Miyanishi K (2008) Testing the assumptions of chronosequences in succession. Ecol Lett 11:419–431

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Kira T, Shidei T (1967) Primary production and turnover of organic matter in different forest ecosystems of the Western Pacific. Ecol Soc Jpn 17:70–87

    Google Scholar 

  • Lichstein JW, Wirth C, Horn HS, Pacala SW (2009) Biomass chronosequences of United States forests: implications for carbon storage and forest management. In: Wirth C, Gleixner G, Heimann M (eds) Old-growth forests: function, fate and value. Ecological studies vol. 207. Springer, Berlin, pp 301–341

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • Lines ER, Coomes DA, Purves DW (2010) Influences of forest structure, climate and species composition on tree mortality across the eastern US. PLoS ONE 5(10):e13212

    Article  PubMed Central  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Lorimer CG, Dahir SE, Nordheim EV (2001) Tree mortality rates and longevity in mature and old-growth hemlock-hardwood forests. J Ecol 89:960–971

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Luyssaert S, Schulze-Detlef E, Borner A, Knohl A, Hessenmoller D, Law BE, Ciais P, Grace J (2008) Old-growth forests as global carbon sinks. Nature 455:213–215

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Malhi Y, Baker TR, Phillips OL, Almeidas S, Alvarez E, Arroyo L, Chave J, Czimczik CI, Di Fiore A, Higuchi N, Killeen TJ, Laurance SG, Laurance WF, Lewis SL, Montoya LMM, Monteagudo A, Neill DA, Vargas PN, Patino S, Pitman NCA, Quesada CA, Salomao R, Silva JNM, Lezama AT, Martinez RV, Terborgh J, Vince B, Lloyd J (2004) The above-ground coarse wood productivity of 104 Neotropical forest plots. Glob Change Biol 10:563–591

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • McCune B, Grace JB (2002) Analysis of ecological communities. MjM Software Design, Gleneden Beach

    Google Scholar 

  • McCune G, Mefford MJ (2011) PC-ORD. Multivariate analysis of ecological data. Version 6.0. MjM Software, Gleneden Beach

    Google Scholar 

  • Metsaranta JM, Lieffers VJ (2010) Patterns of inter-annual variation in the size asymmetry of growth in Pinus banksiana. Oecologia 163:737–745

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Odum E (1969) The strategy of ecosystem development. Science 164:262–270

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Pacala SW, Canham CD, Silander JA Jr (1993) Forest models defined by field measurements. I. The design of a northeastern forest simulator. Can J For Res 23:1980–1988

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Phipps RL, Whiton JC (1988) Decline in long-term growth trends of white oak. Can J For Res 18:24–32

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Pregitzer KS, Euskirchen ES (2004) Carbon cycling and storage in world forests: biome patterns related to forest age. Glob Change Biol 10:2052–2077

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • R Development Core Team (2011) R: a language and environment for statistical computing. R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna. ISBN 3-900051-07-0, URL http://www.R-project.org/

  • Rhemtulla JM, Mladenoff DJ, Clayton MK (2009) Historical forest baselines reveal potential for continued carbon sequestration. Proc Natl Acad Sci 106:6082–6087

    Article  CAS  PubMed Central  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Runkle JR (1985) Disturbance regimes in temperate forests. In: Pickett STA, White PS (eds) The ecology of natural disturbance and patch dynamics. Academic Press, San Diego, pp 17–33

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • Ryan MG, Binkley D, Fownes JH (1997) Age-related decline in forest productivity: pattern and process. Adv Ecol Res 27:213–262

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ryan MG, Binkley D, Fownes JH, Giardina CP, Senock RS (2004) An experimental test of the causes of forest growth decline with stand age. Ecol Monogr 74:393–414

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Smith FW, Long JN (2001) Age-related decline in forest growth: an emergent property. For Ecol Manage 144:175–181

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Taylor SL, MacLean DA (2005) Rate and causes of decline of mature and overmature balsam fir and spruce stands in New Brunswick, Canada. Can J For Res 35:2479–2490

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Vanderwel MC, Coomes DA, Purves DW (2013) Quantifying variation in forest disturbance and its effects on aboveground biomass dynamics, across the eastern United States. Glob Change Biol 19:1504–1517

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Williams AP, Allen CD, Miller CI, Swetnam TW, Michaelson J, Still CJ, Leavitt SW (2010) Forest responses to increasing aridity and warmth in the southwestern United States. Proc Natl Acad Sci 107:21289–21294

    Article  CAS  PubMed Central  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Wirth C (2009) Old-growth forests: function, fate and value, a synthesis. In: Wirth C, Gleixner G, Heimann M (eds) Old-growth forests: function, fate and value. Ecological studies vol 207. Springer, Berlin, pp 465–491

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • Xu C, Turnbull MH, Tissue DT, Lewis JD, Carson R, Schuster WSF, Whitehead D, Walcroft AS, Li J, Griffin KL (2012) Age-related decline of stand biomass accumulation is primarily due to mortality and not to reduction in NPP associated with individual tree physiology, tree growth or stand structure in a Quercus-dominated forest. J Ecol 100:428–440

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Yamaguchi DK (1991) A simple method for cross-dating increment cores from living trees. Can J For Res 21:414–416

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgments

Funding for this research was provided by the American Revenue Recovery Act and the US Department of Interior Northeast Climate Science Center. Nick Jensen, Mike Reinikainen, John Segari, Kyle Gill, Amy Milo and others collected field data and/or measured and cross-dated tree rings. We thank Bruce Anderson and the Superior National Forest for logistical support and Shawn Fraver and two anonymous reviewers for reviewing this manuscript. Any use of trade, product, or firm names is for descriptive purposes only and does not imply endorsement by the U.S. Government.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Jane R. Foster.

Additional information

Communicated by Ram Oren.

Electronic supplementary material

Below is the link to the electronic supplementary material.

Supplementary material 1 (PDF 1284 kb)

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Foster, J.R., D’Amato, A.W. & Bradford, J.B. Looking for age-related growth decline in natural forests: unexpected biomass patterns from tree rings and simulated mortality. Oecologia 175, 363–374 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00442-014-2881-2

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00442-014-2881-2

Keywords

Navigation