Summary
This paper uses the concise summary obtained from a two part model of daily rainfall to compare the rainfall climate of eleven places on a north-south transect in West Africa. The number of rainy days is analysed separately from the amounts of rain. Curves are fitted to the probability of rain and these curves are geographically consistent. The mean length of dry spells and of wet spells vary systematically during the year. In the rainy season there is a nearly constant mean interval of about 4 days between the start of successive rainy spells. The amounts of rain are described by gamma distributions. The mean rainfall per rainy day is relatively constant and variation in the probability of rain is therefore the most important component of seasonal variation and of differences between places.
Zusammenfassung
Die Arbeit bringt eine Zusammenfassung der mit einem zweiteiligen Modell des täglichen Niederschlags zum Vergleich des Regenklimas von 11 Orten in einem Nord-Süd-Schnitt durch Westafrika erhaltenen Ergebnisse. Die Zahl der Regentage wurde gesondert von den Regenmengen analysiert. Es wurden Kurven der Wahrscheinlichkeit von Regen angepaßt; diese Kurven sind geographisch vereinbar. Die mittlere Länge der Trockenperioden und der Feuchteperioden variiert systematisch im Jahresgang. In der Regenzeit besteht ein nahezu konstantes mittleres Intervall von 4 Tagen zwischen dem Beginn aufeinanderfolgender Regenperioden. Regenmengen werden durch Gamma-Verteilungen beschrieben. Die mittlere Regenmenge pro Regentag ist verhältnismäßig konstant und die Änderung der Regenwahrscheinlichkeit ist daher die bedeutendste Komponente der jahreszeitlichen Änderung und der Differenzen zwischen den Orten.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Baker, R. J., Nelder, J. A.: The GLIM System Release 3. Oxford: Numerical Algorithms Group 1978.
Buishand, T. A.: Stochastic Modelling of Daily Rainfall Sequences. Mededelingen Landbouwhogeschool77-3 (1977).
Buishand, T. A.: Some Remarks on the Use of Daily Rainfall Models. J. Hydrol.36, 295–308 (1978).
Bunting, A. H., Dennett, M. D., Elston, J., Milford, J. R.: Rainfall Trends in the West African Sahel. Quart. J. R. Met. Soc.102, 59–64 (1976).
Burpee, R. W.: Characteristics of North African Easterly Waves During the Summers of 1968 and 1969. J. Atmos. Sci.31, 1556–1570 (1974).
Cochemé, J., Franquin, P.: An Agroclimatological Survey of a Semi-arid Area in Africa South of the Sahara. Geneva, WMO No. 210, 1967.
Cox, D. R.: The Analysis of Binary Data. London: Methuen 1970.
Cox, D. R., Miller, H. R.: The Theory of Stochastic Processes. London: Chapman and Hall 1965.
Das, S. C.: The Fitting of Type III Curves to Daily Rainfall Data. Aust. J. Phys.8, 679–681 (1955).
Eldridge, R. H.: A Synoptic Study of West African Disturbance Lines. Quart. J. R. Met. Soc.83, 303–314 (1957).
Gabriel, K. R., Neumann, J.: A Markov Chain Model for Daily Rainfall Occurrence at Tel Aviv. Quart. J. R. Met. Soc.88, 90–95 (1962).
Haan, C. T., Allen, D. M., Street, J. O.: A Markov Chain Model for Daily Rainfall. Water Resources Research12, 443–449 (1976).
Katz, R. W.: Computing Probabilities Associated with the Markov Chain Model for Precipitation. J. Appl. Met.13, 953–954 (1974).
Katz, R. W.: Precipitation as a Chain-dependent Process. J. Appl. Met.16, 671–676 (1977).
Kowal, J. A., Kassam, A. H.: Agricultural Ecology of Savanna — a Study of West Africa. Oxford University Press 1978.
Lund, I. A., Grantham, D. D.: Persistence, Runs and Recurrence of Precipitation. J. Appl. Met.16, 346–358 (1977).
Nelder, J. A., Wedderburn, R. W. M.: Generalized Linear Models. J. R. Statist. Soc. A135, 370–384 (1972).
Ojo, O.: Climates of West Africa. London: Heinemann 1977.
ORSTOM: Précipitations journalières de l'origine des stations à 1965 — République du Niger, Paris 1973.
ORSTOM: Précipitations journalières de l'origine des stations à 1965 — République du Mali, Paris 1973.
ORSTOM: Précipitations journalières de l'origine des stations à 1965 — République du Dahomey, Paris 1973.
Pedgley, D. E., Krishnamurti, T. N.: Structure and Behaviour of a Monsoon Cyclone Over West Africa. Mon. Weath. Rev.104, 149–167 (1976).
Stern, R. D.: Analysis of Daily Rainfall at Sarnaru, Nigeria, Using a Two-part Model. Arch. Met. Geoph. Biokl., Ser. B28, 123–135 (1980).
Stern, R. D.: The Calculation of Probability Distributions for Models of Daily Precipitation. Arch. Met. Geoph. Biokl., Ser. B28, 137–147 (1980).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Additional information
With 10 Figures
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Garbutt, D.J., Stern, R.D., Dennett, M.D. et al. A comparison of the rainfall climate of eleven places in West Africa using a two-part model for daily rainfall. Arch. Met. Geoph. Biocl., Ser. B 29, 137–155 (1981). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02278197
Received:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02278197