Abstract
During the past few decades, climate scientists have been warning about changes in global climate with intense impacts on agriculture, livelihood, water resources, ecosystem, energy, and other socioeconomic affairs. Meteorological information and observations of vulnerable entities such as glacier melting unequivocally substantiate the projections. The recent forecast of IPCC reveals that global mean temperature is expected to increase by 2.4°C by the end of this century resulting in consequential effects on sea-level rise, volume and pattern of precipitation and, magnitude and frequency of extreme events such as cyclones (IPCC 2007a). Studies also suggest that the rate of change of climate parameters observed during the past few decades is unprecedented which may result in irreversible changes in the global ecosystem. Bangladesh is one of the most vulnerable countries with respect to the impacts of climate change. The country’s vulnerability stems from its exposure to a wide range of climate change parameters, geographical setup, and socioeconomic conditions. Germanwatch identified Bangladesh as the most vulnerable country on the basis of Climate Risk Index score (Germanwatch 2008). Government of Bangladesh has identified climate change as a priority issue and initiated formulating strategies. In this connection, assessing the potential risk and comparison among alternate options are the prime requirements. For this purpose, climate change impact models are widely used. This paper summarizes the findings of application of such models in Bangladesh.
Keywords
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.
Buying options
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Learn about institutional subscriptionsReferences
Agrawala S, Ota T, Ahmed AU, Smith J, Aalst MV (2003) Development and climate change in Bangladesh: focus on coastal flooding and the sundarbans, OECD
Alam M, Nishat A, Siddique SM (1999) Water resources vulnerability to climate change with special references to inundation. In: Huq S, Karim Z, Asaduzzaman M, Mahtab F (eds) Vulnerability and adaptation to climate change for Bangladesh. Kluwer, Dordrecht, The Netherlands
IPCC (2007a) Climate change 2007: Synthesis Report, IPCC Plenary XXVII, Valencia, Spain, November 2007
IPCC (2007b) Climate Change 2007: impacts, adaptation and vulnerability. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
Islam MN, Uyeda H (2007) Use of TRMM in determining the climate characteristics of rainfall over Bangladesh, Remote Sensing of Environment, vol. 108. Elsevier, pp. 264-276. doi:10.1016/j.rse.2006.11.011
Germanwatch (2008) Global Climate Risk 2009: weather related loss events and their impacts on countries in and in a long-term comparison. Germanwatch e.V., Bonn, Germany
NAPA (2005) National Adaptation Programme of Action, Ministry of Environment and Forest, Government of the People’s Republic of Bangladesh
SMRC (2003) The vulnerability assessment of the SAARC Coastal Region due to sea level rise: Bangladesh case, SMRC-No.3, SMRC Publication, Dhaka, Bangladesh
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2010 Springer Science+Business Media B.V.
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Alam, M.J.B., Ahmed, F. (2010). Modeling Climate Change: Perspective and Applications in the Context of Bangladesh. In: Charabi, Y. (eds) Indian Ocean Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-90-481-3109-9_3
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-90-481-3109-9_3
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Dordrecht
Print ISBN: 978-90-481-3108-2
Online ISBN: 978-90-481-3109-9
eBook Packages: Earth and Environmental ScienceEarth and Environmental Science (R0)