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  • 學位論文

由中共國防白皮書剖析解放軍軍事改革意涵(2012-2019)

The Implications of PLA Military Reform from The Perspectives of PRC’s White Paper (2012-2019)

指導教授 : 李大中

摘要


習近平 2015 年宣示裁軍 30 萬,進而啟動軍事改革(簡稱軍改),裁軍員額雖非歷次之最,然而其自指揮機制、管理體制層面上,皆進行大幅度調整,透過中共歷次國防白皮書的梳理,將有助於了解其戰略意圖與發展脈絡。 本研究除蒐整中共官方文件、報告外,另針對中華民國、美國等國家出版之官方文件,各國學者及網路資訊等資料進行研究,透過資料分析歸納,從中探討相關文獻之意義與涵義,同時以客觀角度加以評析,避免受到相關資料的主觀影響, 使本研究能達到客觀且公正的結果。 研究發現中共雖一貫秉持「積極防禦」戰略方針,但是其各軍種戰略要求,卻有所改變,從「國土防衛」向確保「海外利益」發展,不斷加強自身戰略投送、遠程戰略預警、反區域拒止能力,其能力發展企圖與所標榜的「和平崛起」事實上則大逕相庭。 現階段解放軍雖仍在進行組織機構磨合、政策法規精進以及加強部隊實戰化訓練,尚不具備三軍聯合指揮作戰能力,且欠缺實戰來檢驗「軍改」成果,但其軍事實力成長已是不爭之現實,未來若無發生重大變故,其能力只會越來強,這是必須正視面對的。

並列摘要


Xi Jinping announced the disarmament of 300,000 in 2015, and then initiated military reforms. Although the number of disarmament posts is not the highest in history, it has undergone significant adjustments at the level of its command mechanism and management system. The review of the CCP’s previous national defense white papers will help Understand its strategic intentions and development context. In addition to collecting official documents and reports of the Communist Party of China, this research also focuses on official documents published by the Republic of China, the United States and other countries, scholars from various countries, and Internet information. Through data analysis and induction, the meaning and meaning of relevant documents are explored. At the same time, it is evaluated and analyzed from an objective perspective to avoid subjective influence from related materials, so that this research can achieve objective and fair results. The study found that although the CCP has always adhered to the "active defense" strategic policy, the strategic requirements of its various services have changed. From "national defense" to ensuring "overseas interests", it has continuously strengthened its own strategic projection, long-range strategic early warning, and countermeasures. Regional denial of capability, and its capability development attempt is in fact very different from the advertised "peaceful rise". Although the People’s Liberation Army is still conducting organizational structure adjustments, improving policies and regulations, and strengthening the actual combat training of its troops, it does not yet have the ability to command the operations of the three services and lack actual combat to test the results of the "military reform", but its military strength growth is indisputable. In reality, if there are no major changes in the future, its ability will only become stronger. This must be faced squarely.

參考文獻


一、中文部分
于川信主編,2015。《國防建設學》。北京:軍事科學出版社。
中央軍委政治工作部編,2017。《習近平論強軍興軍》。北京:解放軍出版社。
王保存,1999。《世界新軍事革命》。北京市:解放軍出版社。
朱建新,2004。《軍隊規模結構研究》。北京:高等教育出版社。

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