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  • 學位論文

金融海嘯前後對財務受限公司的影響

The Impact of Financial Tsunami on Financially Constrained Firms

指導教授 : 林允永

摘要


2008年的金融海嘯為眾所周知的重大金融事件,起因於美國次級房貸,當時美國市場利率連續上升以及房市降溫,信用貸款的違約率上升,並且對全球股市造成衝擊,迫使多國央行多次大規模向金融市場注入巨額資金,惟仍無法阻止此場金融危機於2008年9月失去控制的爆發,造成多間大型金融機構倒閉或被政府接管,引發經濟衰退。 本研究資料取自台灣新報資料庫中採用1968年至2017年台灣全體上市上櫃公司的財報資料計算出各公司的WW指數,並以WW指數將樣本公司劃分為財務高受限、低受限與非受限,將數值高的前40%視為低受限公司,數值的後40%視為高受限公司,利用事件研究法分析異常報酬,研究受限程度不同的企業在事件發生前後的表現情形。 本文利用事件研究法探討異常報酬,以2008年的金融風暴作為研究事件,將公司分為財務高受限、低受限與非受限三類,檢視不同受限程度的企業在事件發生前後的財務受限變動狀況,選擇2008金融風暴的原因為金融危機的事件層出不窮,例如1973年的石油危機、1987年的美國股災、1997年的亞洲金融風暴到2008年的金融危機,幾乎以十年一次的頻率發生,故採用距今最近的2008年金融危機作為事件研究,觀察在金融危機的情況下具備何種財務特性的企業更能保全自己。

並列摘要


The 2008 financial tsunami was a well-known major financial event, which was caused by the US subprime mortgage. At that time, the US market interest rate continued to rise and the housing market cooled, the default rate of credit loans rose, and the impact on global stock markets, forcing many central banks to The scale injected huge amounts of money into the financial market, but it still could not stop the outbreak of the financial crisis in September 2008, causing many large financial institutions to close down or be taken over by the government, triggering a recession. The research data was obtained from the Taiwan Xinbao database using the financial report data of all listed companies in Taiwan from 1968 to 2017 to calculate the WW index of each company, and the WW index was used to classify the sample company into financially high and low restricted. Unrestricted, the top 40% of the high value is regarded as a low-constrained company, and the last 40% of the value is regarded as a highly restricted company. The event research method is used to analyze abnormal returns, and companies with different degrees of restriction are studied before and after the event. Performance situation. This paper uses the event research method to explore risk premium remuneration. The 2008 financial turmoil is used as a research event. The company is divided into three categories: financially restricted, low-restricted and unrestricted. Enterprises with different degrees of restriction are examined before and after the event. The limited financial situation, the reason for the 2008 financial turmoil is the emergence of financial crisis events, such as the oil crisis of 1973, the US stock market crash of 1987, the Asian financial turmoil of 1997, and the financial crisis of 2008, almost once every ten years. The frequency of the occurrence, so the recent 2008 financial crisis as an event study, to observe the financial characteristics of the situation in the case of financial enterprises can better protect themselves.

參考文獻


參考文獻
英文文獻:
1. Allayannis, George and Abon Mozumdar, (2004), The Impact of Negative Cash Flow and Influential Observations on Investment–Cash Flow Sensitivity Estimates, Journal of Banking and Finance 28 (5), 901–930.
2. Ball, R. and P. Brown (1968), "An Empirical Evaluation of Accounting Income Numbers." Journal of Accounting Research, 5, No. 1, pp. 159-78.
3. Barber, B. M., and J.D. Lyon, (1997), ‘‘Detecting long-run abnormal stock returns: The empirical power and specification of test-statistics’’, Journal of Financial Economics, 43, 341–372.

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