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2013, vol. 11, br. 4, str. 217-223
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Uticaj kosmičke radijacije na pouzdanost i bezbednost u vazduhoplovstvu
Impact of cosmic radiation on aviation reliability and safety
Sažetak
Glavni cilj ovog rada je razmatranje da je za zajednicu koja se bavi pouzdanošću naučni pristup jedini put napred kada su u pitanju pouzdanost i bezbednost ukoliko su istinita predviđanja u vezi sa pojavom negativnih funkcionalnih događaja koji nastaju i koji se kasnije utvrđuju tokom operacionih procesa budućih sistema koji su napravljeni, a kasnije i upravljani i održavani od strane čoveka. Za takva dešavanja, neophodno je naučno razumevanje mehanizama iz okolne prirodne sredine koji uzrokuju pojave funkcionalnih događaja. Tada i samo tada, mogu se utvrditi i u potpunosti shvatiti predviđanja u vezi sa pouzdanošću i bezbednošću, omogućavajući ostvarenje krajnjeg cilja, a to je smanjenje verovatnoće pojave otkaza tokom životnog veka sistema koji su napravljeni, a kasnije i upravljani i održavani od strane čoveka. Ovaj rad se fokusira na naučna razumevanja relevantne kosmičke radijacije na pouzdanost i bezbednost u vazduhoplovstvu.
Abstract
The main objective of this paper is to argue that the scientific approach to reliability and safety is the only way forward for the reliability community if accurate predictions regarding occurrences of negative functionability events are to be made and subsequently verified during the operational processes of the future man made, managed and maintained systems. For that to happen, a scientific understanding of the mechanisms that cause occurrences of functionability events of the surrounding natural environment are required. Then and only then, can accurate and meaningful reliability and safety predictions become possible, enabling the ultimate goal of reducing the probability of failure event occurrences during the life of man made, managed and maintained systems. This paper focuses on the scientific understandings of the relevant cosmic radiation on aviation reliability and safety.
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