Gouverner c’est prévoir: Foresight als ganzheitlicher Prozess zur strategischen Steuerung am Beispiel des Kantons Aargau

In 2012, the Canton of Aargau launched the process for the development of its new long-term strategy 2013–2022 («Entwicklungsleitbild»). The development of a long-term planning poses a challenge for the executive authority since it involves setting the necessary course for an unknown future in the present; without a comprehensive and reliable factual foundation. Commissioned by the State Chancellery of the Canton of Aargau, the Institute of Public Management of the Zurich University of Applied Sciences – together with internal and external experts – established a foresight study. Models and instruments from trend research and futurology were adapted and applied to the specific tasks and challenges facing a cantonal administration. The emphasis was placed on trend, scenario and consequences analysis. As a result, recommendations for the three core political fields of action (society, economy and state) were formulated for the attention of the government.