All Issue

2018 Vol.51, Issue 3 Preview Page
Analysis of drought propagation using hydrometeorological data: from meteorological drought to agricultural drought

수문기상 정보를 이용한 가뭄 전이 분석: 기상학적 가뭄에서 농업적 가뭄

Myungsu Yua*
,
Younghyun Choa
,
Tae-Woong Kimb
,
Hyo-Sok Chaec
유 명수a*
,
조 영현a
,
김 태웅b
,
채 효석c
aHydrometeorological Cooperation Center, K-water
bDepartment of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Hanyang University
cDepartment of R&D Planning and Management, K-water Institute
a한국수자원공사 통합물정보처 수문기상협력센터
b한양대학교 공학대학 건설환경공학과
cK-water융합연구원 기술경영처
*교신저자. *Corresponding Author. 
31 March 2018. pp. 195-205
PDF XML Citation
Abstract

Drought is a complex phenomenon caused by various factors which can be classified into natural and anthropogenic causes. In Korea, the natural drought typically occurs when the high pressure of the Pacific Ocean develops rapidly or becomes stronger than usual in summer, resulting in a short-lived monsoon season. Drought also can be classified into meteorological, agricultural, hydrological, and socioeconomic drought depending on the development process and consequences. Each type of droughts can influence the other drought types directly or indirectly. Drought propagation refers a phenomenon that changes from meteorological drought to agricultural or hydrological drought. In this study, the occurrence and patterns of drought propagation are evaluated. The relationship between meteorological and agricultural droughts was assessed using hydrometeorological data. We classified the types of drought into five categories to evaluate the occurrence and characteristics of drought propagation. As results, we found drought propagation did not occur or delayed until three months, depending on the type of drought. The further generalized relationship of drought propagation is expected to be used for predicting agricultural drought from the preceding meteorological drought.

Keywords
Drought propagation
Meteorological drought
Agricultural drought
SPI
ARDI

가뭄은 여러 가지 요인에 의해 복합적으로 발생하는 현상으로 자연적 원인과 인위적 원인으로 구분할 수 있다. 우리나라는 기후학적 특성상 여름철에 태평양 고기압의 발달 시기가 빠르거나 평년보다 강하면 장마 기간이 짧아져 자연적인 원인에 의해 가뭄이 발생한다. 가뭄은 발생과정과 피해 영향에 따라 기상학적, 농업적, 수문학적, 사회경제적 가뭄으로 구분할 수 있으며 직 ․ 간접적으로 다른 가뭄에 영향을 미친다. 가뭄의 종류가 기상학적 가뭄에서 농업적 가뭄 혹은 기상학적 가뭄에서 수문학적 가뭄으로 변화되는 현상을 가뭄 전이라 한다. 본 연구에서는 국내의 가뭄 전이 발생 여부와 발생 패턴을 검토하기 위해 수문기상 정보를 이용하여 기상학적 가뭄에서 농업적 가뭄으로의 전이 관계를 분석하였다. 가뭄 전이 발생 현황 및 특성 분석을 위해 가뭄 발생의 유형을 5가지로 구분하였으며, 유형에 따라 가뭄 전이가 발생하지 않거나 최대 3개월까지 지체되는 것을 확인하였다. 향후 더 많은 가뭄 지표들과의 분석을 통해 가뭄 전이 관계를 일반화한다면 기상학적 가뭄 발생 시 농업적 가뭄 예측을 위한 인자로 활용할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

키워드
가뭄 전이
기상학적 가뭄
농업적 가뭄
SPI
ARDI
References
1
Beran, M. A., and Rodier, J. A. (1985). Hydrological aspects of drought.UNESCO-WMO Studies and Reports in Hydrology, pp. 39-149.
2
Changnon, S. A. Jr. (1987). Detecting drought conditions in Illinois. Illinois State Water Survey, p. 169.
3
Dracup, J. A., Lee, K. S., and Paulson, E. G. Jr. (1980). “On the definition of droughts.” Water Resources Research, Vol. 16, No. 2, pp. 297-302.
4
Eltahir, E. A., and Yeh, P. J. F. (1999). “On the asymmetric response of aquifer water level to floods and droughts in Illinois.” Water Resources Research, Vol. 35, No. 4, pp. 1199-1217.
5
Guttman, N. B. (1999). “Accepting the standardized precipitation index: a calculation algorithm.” Journal of the American Water Resources Association, Vol. 35, No. 2, pp. 311-322.
6
Huschke, R. E. (1959). Glossary of meteorology: Boston. American Meteorological Society, p. 638.
7
Joseph, S., Sahai, A. K., and Goswami, B. N. (2009). “Eastward propagating MJO during boreal summer and Indian monsoon droughts.” Climate Dynamics, Vol. 32, No. 7-8, pp. 1139-1153.
8
KEI (2013). A study of climate change adaptation policies for different types of droughts.
9
Kim, H. S., Kim, H. S., Jeon, G. I., and Gang, S. U. (2016). “Evaluation of drought; 2014-15.” Water for Future, KWRA, Vol. 49, No. 7, pp. 61-75.
10
K-water (1996). Drought survey report: ’94-’95.
11
K-water (2002). A study on the comprehensive measures for drought management.
12
Lee, J. H., Kwon, H. H., Jang, H. W., and Kim, T. W. (2016). “Future changes in drought characteristics under extreme climate change over South Korea.” Advances in Meteorology, pp. 1-19.
13
Mckee, T. B., Doesken, N. J., and Kleist, J. (1993). “The relationship of drought frequency and duration to time scales.” Proceedings of the Eighth Conference on Applied Climatology, pp. 179-184.
14
Park, C. G. (2009). “How will you make a decision the drought?” Water for Future, KWRA, Vol. 42, No. 6, pp.21-30.
15
Peters, E. (2003). Propagation of drought through the groundwater systems. Ph.D. Thesis, Illustrated in the Pang (UK) and Upper- Guadiana (ES) catchments, Wageningen University.
16
Rosenberg, N. J. (1979). “Drought in the great plains: research on impacts and strategies: proceedings of the workshop on research in great plains drought management strategies.” University of Nebraska, Lincoln, March 26-28: Littleton, Colorado, Water Resources Publications, p. 225.
17
Trenberth, K., Overpeck, J., and Solomon, S. (2004). “Exploring drought and its implications for the future.” Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union, Vol. 85, No. 3, p. 27.
18
Van Loon, A. F., and Van Lane, H. A. (2012). “A process-based typology of hydrological drought.” Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, Vol. 16, No. 7, pp. 1915-1946.
19
Van Loon, A. F., Van Lanen, H. A., Tallaksen, L. M., Hanel, M., Fendeková, M., Machlica, M., Sapriza, G., Koutroulis, A., Van Huijgevoort, M. H. J., Bermúdez, J. J., Tsanis, L., and Hisdal, H. (2011). Propagation of drought through the hydrological cycle. WATCH Technical Report, p. 32.
20
Warwick, R. A. (1975). Drought hazard in the United States: a research assessment. Nsf/Ra/E-75/004. Boulder, CO: University of Colorado, Institute of Behavioral Science.
21
Wilhite, D. A., and Glantz, M. H. (1985). “Understanding: the drought phenomenon: the role of definitions.” Water International, Vol. 10, No. 3, pp. 111-120.
22
WMO (2012). Standardized precipitation index user guide.
23
Yevjevich Vujica, H. W. A., and Salas, J. D. (1977). “Drought research needs.” Proceedings of the Conference on Drought Research Needs, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, Colorado, p. 276.
24
Zargar, A., Sadiq, R., Naser, B., and Khan, F. I. (2011). “A review of drought indices.” Environmental Reviews, Vol. 19, pp. 333-349.
25
Zhao, L., Lyu, A., Wu, J., Hayes, M., Tang, Z., He, B., Liu, J., and Liu, M. (2014). “Impact of meteorological drought on streamflow drought in Jinghe river basin of China.” Chinese Geographical Science, Vol. 24, No. 6, pp. 694-705.
Information
  • Publisher :KOREA WATER RESOURECES ASSOCIATION
  • Publisher(Ko) :한국수자원학회
  • Journal Title :Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
  • Journal Title(Ko) :한국수자원학회 논문집
  • Volume : 51
  • No :3
  • Pages :195-205
  • Received Date : 2017-11-22
  • Revised Date : 2017-12-11
  • Accepted Date : 2017-12-11
  • DOI :https://doi.org/10.3741/JKWRA.2018.51.3.195
Journal Informaiton Journal of Korea Water Resources Association Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
Online Submission
Archives
  • scopus
  • KCI-수자원
  • NRF
  • KOFST
  • KISTI Current Status
  • KISTI Cited-by
  • crosscheck
  • orcid
  • open access
  • ccl
Journal Informaiton Journal Informaiton - close